Süper Lig · 2025Sun, 2 Nov 2025, 11:30 UTCFull timeMedas Konya Büyüksehir Belediyesi StadiumFull-time recap
13Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricKonyasporSamsunspor
Shots23 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots on target7 shots/match3 shots/match
Expected goals1.45 xG/match1.78 xG/match
Possession60%40%
Corners9 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match12 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Alassane Ndao · Konyaspor · 25′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedUmut Nayir · Konyaspor · 28′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedEnis Bardhi · Konyaspor · 64′ · 0.01 xG · on targetYhoan Andzouana · Konyaspor · 68′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedEnis Bardhi · Konyaspor · 69′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJo Jin-ho · Konyaspor · 76′ · 0.01 xG · on targetJackson Muleka · Konyaspor · 30′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJackson Muleka · Konyaspor · 45′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJosafat Mendes · Samsunspor · 86′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarius Mouandilmadji · Samsunspor · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGuilherme Haubert Sityá · Konyaspor · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCelil Yüksel · Samsunspor · 11′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEnis Bardhi · Konyaspor · 29′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJackson Muleka · Konyaspor · 41′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMelih Bostan · Konyaspor · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJosafat Mendes · Samsunspor · 84′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCherif Ndiaye · Samsunspor · 55′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJo Jin-ho · Konyaspor · 79′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJackson Muleka · Konyaspor · 17′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedEnis Bardhi · Konyaspor · 61′ · 0.07 xG · on targetJackson Muleka · Konyaspor · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedUmut Nayir · Konyaspor · 59′ · 0.09 xG · goalUmut Nayir · Konyaspor · 42′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedRiechedly Bazoer · Samsunspor · 57′ · 0.10 xG · goalPedrinho · Konyaspor · 82′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Musaba · Samsunspor · 8′ · 0.12 xG · on targetLogi Tomasson · Samsunspor · 58′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMarius Ștefănescu · Konyaspor · 90′ · 0.12 xG · on targetJackson Muleka · Konyaspor · 38′ · 0.14 xG · on targetCherif Ndiaye · Samsunspor · 44′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedEmre Kılınç · Samsunspor · 51′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Musaba · Samsunspor · 84′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedJackson Muleka · Konyaspor · 86′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedUmut Nayir · Konyaspor · 47′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Musaba · Samsunspor · 5′ · 0.26 xG · goalCherif Ndiaye · Samsunspor · 13′ · 0.66 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Konyaspor: 23 shots, 7 on target, 1.43 xG. Samsunspor: 13 shots, 4 on target, 1.85 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Umut Nayir · Konyaspor · 59′Anthony Musaba · Samsunspor · 5′Cherif Ndiaye · Samsunspor · 13′Riechedly Bazoer · Samsunspor · 57′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Konyaspor 1.43 xG · Samsunspor 1.85 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Konyaspor's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Konyaspor's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Konyaspor's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.64 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.64 goals/match1.1 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6 corners/matchCornersKonyaspor · Samsunspor6 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricKonyasporSamsunsporBaseline
Corners6 corners/match6 corners/match4.95 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Konyaspor favored in 4 of 14 directional metrics · Samsunspor in 4 · 6 too close

1.64 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 11/111.55 goals/match
1.64 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 11/111 goals/match
1.23 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 11/111.45 xG/match
1.44 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 11/110.96 xG/match
14.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 11/1113.4 shots/match
12.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 11/1113.2 shots/match
4.91 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 11/114.09 shots/match
3.73 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 11/113.55 shots/match
52.9%Possessionseason · 11/1150.5%
6 corners/matchCornersseason · 11/116 corners/match
5.27 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 11/115.27 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
12 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 11/1113.8 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
9%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 11/1127%
91%Scoring frequencyseason · 11/1182%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Konyaspor69.4
Samsunspor55.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Konyaspor81.5
Samsunspor61.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Konyaspor50.9
Samsunspor63.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Konyaspor75
Samsunspor58.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Konyaspor16.7
Samsunspor58.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Konyaspor91.7
Samsunspor91.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Konyaspor66.7
Samsunspor65.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.8 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51 goals/match
1.16 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.81 xG/match
16 shots/matchShots5/514.4 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target5/54.4 shots/match
56.8%Possession5/543.4%
7.4 corners/matchCorners5/56 corners/match
Cards0/0
12 fouls/matchFouls5/513.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.5 goals/match
1.7 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101 goals/match
1.16 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.48 xG/match
14.5 shots/matchShots10/1013.8 shots/match
4.9 shots/matchShots on target10/104.2 shots/match
54.5%Possession10/1049.4%
5.9 corners/matchCorners10/106.4 corners/match
Cards0/0
12 fouls/matchFouls10/1014 fouls/match

Window

Season

11 / 11 matches
1.64 goals/matchGoals scored11/111.55 goals/match
1.64 goals/matchGoals allowed11/111 goals/match
1.23 xG/matchExpected goals11/111.45 xG/match
14.6 shots/matchShots11/1113.4 shots/match
4.91 shots/matchShots on target11/114.09 shots/match
52.9%Possession11/1150.5%
6 corners/matchCorners11/116 corners/match
Cards0/0
12 fouls/matchFouls11/1113.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 5 matches
1.5 goals/matchGoals scored6/52 goals/match
1.83 goals/matchGoals allowed6/51 goals/match
1.33 xG/matchExpected goals6/51.43 xG/match
16.3 shots/matchShots6/512 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target6/54 shots/match
55.7%Possession6/544%
6.5 corners/matchCorners6/56.8 corners/match
Cards0/0
13.5 fouls/matchFouls6/514.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.77 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 2 Nov 2025, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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