PitchMath
Süper Lig · 2025Kadir Has Stadium

Kayserispor 3–2 Kasımpaşa · Süper Lig

3–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Kayserispor won 3–2.

Shots
1111
Shots on target
34
Expected goals
1.320.46
Possession
44%56%

Full time

What the match recorded

Kayserispor beat Kasımpaşa 3–2. Recorded in this match (Kayserispor – Kasımpaşa): shots 11–11, shots on target 3–4, expected goals 1.32–0.46, possession 44%–56%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Kayserispor's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Kayserispor's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1 goal/match1.1 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots11 shotsKayserispor 11 shots, Kasımpaşa 11 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots4 shotsKayserispor 3 shots, Kasımpaşa 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.32 xG0.46 xGKayserispor 1.32 xG, Kasımpaşa 0.46 xG
  • Possession44%56%Kayserispor 44%, Kasımpaşa 56%
  • Corners4 corners6 cornersKayserispor 4 corners, Kasımpaşa 6 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls15 foulsKayserispor 12 fouls, Kasımpaşa 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Aaron Opoku · Kayserispor · 44′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedCafú · Kasımpaşa · 46′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJhon Espinoza · Kasımpaşa · 66′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAli Yavuz Kol · Kasımpaşa · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIndrit Tuci · Kayserispor · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGerman Onugkha · Kayserispor · 6′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAli Yavuz Kol · Kasımpaşa · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPape Habib Gueye · Kasımpaşa · 55′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKubilay Kanatsızkuş · Kasımpaşa · 67′ · 0.03 xG · goalIndrit Tuci · Kayserispor · 89′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedYusuf Barası · Kasımpaşa · 49′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedStefano Denswil · Kayserispor · 31′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNicholas Opoku · Kasımpaşa · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetKubilay Kanatsızkuş · Kasımpaşa · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetCláudio Winck · Kasımpaşa · 19′ · 0.07 xG · goalGerman Onugkha · Kayserispor · 72′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedIndrit Tuci · Kayserispor · 81′ · 0.09 xG · goalRamazan Civelek · Kayserispor · 70′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAttila Szalai · Kasımpaşa · 90′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedGerman Onugkha · Kayserispor · 18′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedStefano Denswil · Kayserispor · 32′ · 0.28 xG · goalFurkan Soyalp · Kayserispor · 11′ · 0.38 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Kayserispor: 11 shots, 3 on target, 1.30 xG. Kasımpaşa: 11 shots, 4 on target, 0.45 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Furkan Soyalp · Kayserispor · 11′Stefano Denswil · Kayserispor · 32′Indrit Tuci · Kayserispor · 81′Cláudio Winck · Kasımpaşa · 19′Kubilay Kanatsızkuş · Kasımpaşa · 67′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Kayserispor 1.30 xG · Kasımpaşa 0.45 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Kayserispor
1Draws
1Kasımpaşa
Kayserispor — Kasımpaşa · Süper Lig1–0
Kasımpaşa — Kayserispor · Süper Lig1–2
Kayserispor — Kasımpaşa · Süper Lig0–2
Kasımpaşa — Kayserispor · Süper Lig3–4
Kayserispor — Kasımpaşa · Süper Lig0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Kayserispor favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Kasımpaşa in 5 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Kayserispor11 matchesKasımpaşa11 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored11/111 goal/match
2.18 goals/matchGoals allowed11/11▲ 1.36 goals/match
1.07 xG/match ▲Expected goals11/110.94 xG/match
12.3 shots/matchShots11/1111.8 shots/match
4.36 shots/match ▲Shots on target11/112.73 shots/match
50.5% ●Possession11/1144.8%
5.55 corners/match ●Corners11/115.27 corners/match
14 fouls/matchFouls11/1115.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 2 Nov 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Süper Lig

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsKayserisporKasımpaşa
CompetitionSüper LigSüper Lig 2025/26
Head-to-headKayserispor — Kasımpaşa
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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