PitchMath
Süper Lig · 2025Eyüp Stadium

Eyüpspor 1–1 Fatih Karagümrük · Süper Lig

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Eyüpspor and Fatih Karagümrük drew 1–1.

Shots
129
Shots on target
42
Expected goals
1.121.66
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Eyüpspor and Fatih Karagümrük drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Eyüpspor – Fatih Karagümrük): shots 12–9, shots on target 4–2, expected goals 1.12–1.66, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Fatih Karagümrük's recent record differs from the season

weak

Fatih Karagümrük's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1 goal/match1.13 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots9 shotsEyüpspor 12 shots, Fatih Karagümrük 9 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots2 shotsEyüpspor 4 shots, Fatih Karagümrük 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.12 xG1.66 xGEyüpspor 1.12 xG, Fatih Karagümrük 1.66 xG
  • Possession55%45%Eyüpspor 55%, Fatih Karagümrük 45%
  • Corners5 corners6 cornersEyüpspor 5 corners, Fatih Karagümrük 6 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls18 foulsEyüpspor 16 fouls, Fatih Karagümrük 18 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Emir Ortakaya · Eyüpspor · 17′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRobin Yalçın · Eyüpspor · 55′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEmre Akbaba · Eyüpspor · 56′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTaras Stepanenko · Eyüpspor · 31′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Johnson · Fatih Karagümrük · 87′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMame Thiam · Eyüpspor · 54′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMarius Tresor Doh · Fatih Karagümrük · 80′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEmre Akbaba · Eyüpspor · 60′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedBerkay Özcan · Fatih Karagümrük · 78′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedTiago Çukur · Fatih Karagümrük · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedEmre Akbaba · Eyüpspor · 48′ · 0.09 xG · on targetEnzo Roco · Fatih Karagümrük · 90′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedUmut Bozok · Eyüpspor · 45′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedKerem Demirbay · Eyüpspor · 32′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedBerkay Özcan · Fatih Karagümrük · 14′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedEmre Akbaba · Eyüpspor · 66′ · 0.16 xG · goalMame Thiam · Eyüpspor · 52′ · 0.17 xG · on targetDavid Datro Fofana · Fatih Karagümrük · 63′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedMarius Tresor Doh · Fatih Karagümrük · 60′ · 0.26 xG · on targetYalçın Kayan · Eyüpspor · 88′ · 0.30 xG · off target or blockedMatías Kranevitter · Fatih Karagümrük · 90′ · 0.83 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Eyüpspor: 12 shots, 4 on target, 1.14 xG. Fatih Karagümrük: 9 shots, 2 on target, 1.71 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Emre Akbaba · Eyüpspor · 66′Matías Kranevitter · Fatih Karagümrük · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Eyüpspor 1.14 xG · Fatih Karagümrük 1.71 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Eyüpspor favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Fatih Karagümrük in 3 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Eyüpspor13 matchesFatih Karagümrük13 matches
0.54 goals/matchGoals scored13/13▲ 1 goal/match
1.23 goals/match ▲Goals allowed13/131.85 goals/match
1.09 xG/matchExpected goals13/131.1 xG/match
11.4 shots/matchShots13/1311.5 shots/match
3.69 shots/match ▲Shots on target13/133.08 shots/match
51.4% ●Possession13/1347.6%
4.23 corners/match ●Corners13/134 corners/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls13/1314.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 22 Nov 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Süper Lig

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsEyüpsporFatih Karagümrük
CompetitionSüper LigSüper Lig 2025/26
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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