Süper Lig · 2025Sun, 30 Nov 2025, 17:00 UTCFull timeVefa StadiumFull-time recap
02Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricFatih KaragümrükBeşiktaş
Shots7 shots/match27 shots/match
Shots on target0 shots/match12 shots/match
Expected goals0.47 xG/match3.14 xG/match
Possession38%62%
Corners2 corners/match9 corners/match
Fouls11 fouls/match11 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Orkun Kökçü · Beşiktaş · 90′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedOrkun Kökçü · Beşiktaş · 11′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedVáclav Černý · Beşiktaş · 34′ · 0.01 xG · on targetMatías Kranevitter · Fatih Karagümrük · 24′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJota Silva · Beşiktaş · 41′ · 0.02 xG · goalOrkun Kökçü · Beşiktaş · 48′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOrkun Kökçü · Beşiktaş · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetGökhan Sazdağı · Beşiktaş · 48′ · 0.03 xG · on targetGabriel Paulista · Beşiktaş · 54′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCengiz Ünder · Beşiktaş · 69′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOrkun Kökçü · Beşiktaş · 84′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOrkun Kökçü · Beşiktaş · 17′ · 0.04 xG · on targetSerginho · Fatih Karagümrük · 23′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAndre Gray · Fatih Karagümrük · 65′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMilot Rashica · Beşiktaş · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJota Silva · Beşiktaş · 8′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedEl Bilal Touré · Beşiktaş · 69′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBerkay Özcan · Fatih Karagümrük · 89′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedCengiz Ünder · Beşiktaş · 5′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDavid Datro Fofana · Fatih Karagümrük · 27′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedOrkun Kökçü · Beşiktaş · 69′ · 0.07 xG · on targetGabriel Paulista · Beşiktaş · 8′ · 0.08 xG · on targetBerkay Özcan · Fatih Karagümrük · 79′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJota Silva · Beşiktaş · 82′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedCengiz Ünder · Beşiktaş · 53′ · 0.12 xG · on targetVáclav Černý · Beşiktaş · 40′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedEmirhan Topçu · Beşiktaş · 54′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedCengiz Ünder · Beşiktaş · 21′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedCengiz Ünder · Beşiktaş · 77′ · 0.16 xG · on targetBaris Kalayci · Fatih Karagümrük · 88′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedCengiz Ünder · Beşiktaş · 59′ · 0.24 xG · on targetEl Bilal Touré · Beşiktaş · 71′ · 0.36 xG · goalTammy Abraham · Beşiktaş · 81′ · 0.36 xG · off target or blockedCengiz Ünder · Beşiktaş · 58′ · 0.82 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Fatih Karagümrük: 7 shots, 0 on target, 0.46 xG. Beşiktaş: 27 shots, 12 on target, 3.16 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Jota Silva · Beşiktaş · 41′El Bilal Touré · Beşiktaş · 71′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Fatih Karagümrük 0.46 xG · Beşiktaş 3.16 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Beşiktaş's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Beşiktaş show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Beşiktaş's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.2 shots/matchShotsFatih Karagümrük · Beşiktaş14.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFatih KaragümrükBeşiktaşBaseline
Shots11.2 shots/match14.8 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against15.4 shots/match11.4 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Fatih Karagümrük favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Beşiktaş in 11 · 3 too close

0.93 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 14/141.71 goals/match
1.86 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 14/141.21 goals/match
1.05 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 14/141.98 xG/match
1.72 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 14/141.01 xG/match
11.2 shots/matchShotsseason · 14/1414.8 shots/match
15.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 14/1411.4 shots/match
2.86 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 14/145.5 shots/match
6.29 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 14/143.43 shots/match
46.9%Possessionseason · 14/1453.3%
3.86 corners/matchCornersseason · 14/145.14 corners/match
6 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 14/145.21 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
14.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 14/1414.1 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
7%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 14/1421%
50%Scoring frequencyseason · 14/1486%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Fatih Karagümrük25
Beşiktaş75
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Fatih Karagümrük12
Beşiktaş81.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Fatih Karagümrük8.3
Beşiktaş72.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Fatih Karagümrük30.6
Beşiktaş75
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Fatih Karagümrük80.6
Beşiktaş63.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Fatih Karagümrük11.1
Beşiktaş58.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Fatih Karagümrük28.5
Beşiktaş71.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.8 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.2 goals/match
1.23 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.98 xG/match
10 shots/matchShots5/516.6 shots/match
1.8 shots/matchShots on target5/55.6 shots/match
42.2%Possession5/555.2%
3.4 corners/matchCorners5/53.4 corners/match
Cards0/0
15 fouls/matchFouls5/511.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.1 goals/matchGoals scored10/102 goals/match
1.9 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101 goals/match
1.13 xG/matchExpected goals10/102 xG/match
10.9 shots/matchShots10/1014 shots/match
2.7 shots/matchShots on target10/105.6 shots/match
44%Possession10/1050.6%
3.7 corners/matchCorners10/104.1 corners/match
Cards0/0
15.7 fouls/matchFouls10/1014.2 fouls/match

Window

Season

14 / 14 matches
0.93 goals/matchGoals scored14/141.71 goals/match
1.86 goals/matchGoals allowed14/141.21 goals/match
1.05 xG/matchExpected goals14/141.98 xG/match
11.2 shots/matchShots14/1414.8 shots/match
2.86 shots/matchShots on target14/145.5 shots/match
46.9%Possession14/1453.3%
3.86 corners/matchCorners14/145.14 corners/match
Cards0/0
14.6 fouls/matchFouls14/1414.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

8 / 8 matches
0.88 goals/matchGoals scored8/81.63 goals/match
1.88 goals/matchGoals allowed8/81 goals/match
1.08 xG/matchExpected goals8/81.98 xG/match
10.5 shots/matchShots8/815.1 shots/match
2.63 shots/matchShots on target8/85.88 shots/match
50.1%Possession8/855%
3.25 corners/matchCorners8/84.88 corners/match
Cards0/0
14.9 fouls/matchFouls8/814.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.12 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.12 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 30 Nov 2025, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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