Süper Lig · 2025Sat, 29 Nov 2025, 14:00 UTCFull timeGaziantep StadiumFull-time recap
12Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricGaziantep FKEyüpspor
Shots13 shots/match17 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match7 shots/match
Expected goals1.17 xG/match2.62 xG/match
Possession59%41%
Corners13 corners/match6 corners/match
Fouls13 fouls/match18 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Tayyip Talha Sanuç · Gaziantep FK · 25′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKerem Demirbay · Eyüpspor · 40′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlexandru Maxim · Gaziantep FK · 48′ · 0.02 xG · on targetSemih Güler · Gaziantep FK · 78′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDrissa Camara · Gaziantep FK · 78′ · 0.02 xG · on targetPrince Ampem · Eyüpspor · 87′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEmre Akbaba · Eyüpspor · 15′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKévin Rodrigues · Gaziantep FK · 39′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMame Thiam · Eyüpspor · 58′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDrissa Camara · Gaziantep FK · 72′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKacper Kozłowski · Gaziantep FK · 81′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMame Thiam · Eyüpspor · 41′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAlexandru Maxim · Gaziantep FK · 77′ · 0.04 xG · on targetDenis Drăguş · Eyüpspor · 14′ · 0.05 xG · on targetDeian Sorescu · Gaziantep FK · 79′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMame Thiam · Eyüpspor · 67′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedUmut Bozok · Eyüpspor · 71′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedEmre Akbaba · Eyüpspor · 88′ · 0.07 xG · on targetUmut Bozok · Eyüpspor · 55′ · 0.08 xG · on targetDrissa Camara · Gaziantep FK · 36′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedChristopher Lungoyi · Gaziantep FK · 43′ · 0.09 xG · on targetDenis Drăguş · Eyüpspor · 50′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedTayyip Talha Sanuç · Gaziantep FK · 29′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedUmut Bozok · Eyüpspor · 73′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedDenis Drăguş · Eyüpspor · 3′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedUmut Bozok · Eyüpspor · 60′ · 0.24 xG · on targetHalil Akbunar · Eyüpspor · 88′ · 0.30 xG · goalDenis Drăguş · Eyüpspor · 40′ · 0.37 xG · on targetEmmanuel Boateng · Gaziantep FK · 90′ · 0.57 xG · goalUmut Bozok · Eyüpspor · 10′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Gaziantep FK: 13 shots, 5 on target, 1.15 xG. Eyüpspor: 17 shots, 7 on target, 2.68 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Emmanuel Boateng · Gaziantep FK · 90′Umut Bozok · Eyüpspor · 10′Halil Akbunar · Eyüpspor · 88′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Gaziantep FK 1.15 xG · Eyüpspor 2.68 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Gaziantep FK's last-five shots average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Gaziantep FK's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Gaziantep FK's recent record differs from the season

weak

Gaziantep FK's last-five shots average is below their season average.

11 shots/matchShotsLast 5 · Season14.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots11 shots/match14.1 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Gaziantep FK have a visible home split

moderate

Gaziantep FK's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.5 shots/matchShotsHome only · Season14.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.5 shots/match14.1 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Gaziantep FK favored in 7 of 14 directional metrics · Eyüpspor in 2 · 5 too close

1.5 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 14/140.64 goals/match
1.57 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 14/141.21 goals/match
1.48 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 14/141.2 xG/match
1.44 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 14/141.48 xG/match
14.1 shots/matchShotsseason · 14/1411.8 shots/match
13.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 14/1413.1 shots/match
4.86 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 14/143.93 shots/match
4.79 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 14/144.5 shots/match
54.4%Possessionseason · 14/1450.6%
5.43 corners/matchCornersseason · 14/144.36 corners/match
4.21 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 14/146.71 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
13.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 14/1412 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
29%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 14/1421%
71%Scoring frequencyseason · 14/1443%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Gaziantep FK80.6
Eyüpspor58.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Gaziantep FK75
Eyüpspor24.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Gaziantep FK32.4
Eyüpspor47.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Gaziantep FK52.8
Eyüpspor19.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Gaziantep FK41.7
Eyüpspor13.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Gaziantep FK75
Eyüpspor30.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Gaziantep FK66.7
Eyüpspor28.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/50.6 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.2 goals/match
1.48 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.35 xG/match
11 shots/matchShots5/511.2 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target5/54.2 shots/match
53.2%Possession5/547.6%
5.2 corners/matchCorners5/53.8 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.6 fouls/matchFouls5/513.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.6 goals/matchGoals scored10/100.5 goals/match
1.3 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101 goals/match
1.6 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.23 xG/match
14.2 shots/matchShots10/1012.1 shots/match
5.4 shots/matchShots on target10/104.4 shots/match
56.1%Possession10/1050.7%
5.5 corners/matchCorners10/104.6 corners/match
Cards0/0
13 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.9 fouls/match

Window

Season

14 / 14 matches
1.5 goals/matchGoals scored14/140.64 goals/match
1.57 goals/matchGoals allowed14/141.21 goals/match
1.48 xG/matchExpected goals14/141.2 xG/match
14.1 shots/matchShots14/1411.8 shots/match
4.86 shots/matchShots on target14/143.93 shots/match
54.4%Possession14/1450.6%
5.43 corners/matchCorners14/144.36 corners/match
Cards0/0
13.2 fouls/matchFouls14/1412 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

8 / 7 matches
1.5 goals/matchGoals scored8/70.43 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed8/71.14 goals/match
1.63 xG/matchExpected goals8/71.1 xG/match
16.5 shots/matchShots8/712.1 shots/match
5.63 shots/matchShots on target8/73.71 shots/match
59.6%Possession8/748.3%
6.88 corners/matchCorners8/73.29 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.5 fouls/matchFouls8/713.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 29 Nov 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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