PitchMath
Süper Lig · 2025Yildiz Entegre Kocaeli Stadyumu

Kocaelispor 2–1 Antalyaspor · Süper Lig

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Kocaelispor won 2–1.

Shots
76
Shots on target
31
Expected goals
0.770.4
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

Kocaelispor beat Antalyaspor 2–1. Recorded in this match (Kocaelispor – Antalyaspor): shots 7–6, shots on target 3–1, expected goals 0.77–0.4, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Antalyaspor's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Antalyaspor's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.94 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.94 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Antalyaspor have a visible away split

moderate

Antalyaspor's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

6.11 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season8.35 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots6.11 shots/match8.35 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Antalyaspor show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Antalyaspor's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.2 shots/match ▲ShotsKocaelispor · Antalyaspor8.35 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricKocaelisporAntalyasporBaseline
Shots10.2 shots/match8.35 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against10.9 shots/match14.5 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots6 shotsKocaelispor 7 shots, Antalyaspor 6 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots1 shotKocaelispor 3 shots, Antalyaspor 1 shot
  • Expected goals0.77 xG0.4 xGKocaelispor 0.77 xG, Antalyaspor 0.4 xG
  • Possession46%54%Kocaelispor 46%, Antalyaspor 54%
  • Corners4 corners2 cornersKocaelispor 4 corners, Antalyaspor 2 corners
  • Fouls0 fouls1 foulKocaelispor 0 fouls, Antalyaspor 1 foul

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Habib Keita · Kocaelispor · 17′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKarol Linetty · Kocaelispor · 45′ · 0.01 xG · on targetAhmet Oğuz · Kocaelispor · 3′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRamzi Safuri · Antalyaspor · 26′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSander van de Streek · Antalyaspor · 29′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRamzi Safuri · Antalyaspor · 31′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDoğukan Sinik · Antalyaspor · 85′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTayfur Bingöl · Kocaelispor · 3′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDario Šarić · Antalyaspor · 29′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDarko Churlinov · Kocaelispor · 60′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedTayfur Bingöl · Kocaelispor · 37′ · 0.18 xG · goalLautaro Giannetti · Antalyaspor · 32′ · 0.22 xG · goalHrvoje Smolčić · Kocaelispor · 24′ · 0.36 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Kocaelispor: 7 shots, 3 on target, 0.76 xG. Antalyaspor: 6 shots, 1 on target, 0.42 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Hrvoje Smolčić · Kocaelispor · 24′Tayfur Bingöl · Kocaelispor · 37′Lautaro Giannetti · Antalyaspor · 32′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Kocaelispor 0.76 xG · Antalyaspor 0.42 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Kocaelispor favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Antalyaspor in 2 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Kocaelispor17 matchesAntalyaspor17 matches
0.88 goals/matchGoals scored17/17▲ 0.94 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed17/171.82 goals/match
0.88 xG/match ▲Expected goals17/170.75 xG/match
10.2 shots/match ▲Shots17/178.35 shots/match
3.53 shots/matchShots on target17/173.47 shots/match
49.8% ●Possession17/1743.6%
4.53 corners/match ●Corners17/173.88 corners/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls17/1711.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 19 Dec 2025, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Süper Lig

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsKocaelisporAntalyaspor
CompetitionSüper LigSüper Lig 2025/26
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required