PitchMath
Süper Lig · 2025Bahcesehir Okullari Stadium

Alanyaspor 2–0 Fatih Karagümrük · Süper Lig

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Alanyaspor won 2–0.

Shots
119
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
0.820.25
Possession
44%56%

Full time

What the match recorded

Alanyaspor beat Fatih Karagümrük 2–0. Recorded in this match (Alanyaspor – Fatih Karagümrük): shots 11–9, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 0.82–0.25, possession 44%–56%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Fatih Karagümrük's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Fatih Karagümrük's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.82 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.82 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Fatih Karagümrük show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Fatih Karagümrük's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.1 shots/match ▲ShotsAlanyaspor · Fatih Karagümrük10.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAlanyasporFatih KaragümrükBaseline
Shots12.1 shots/match10.7 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against10.8 shots/match15.4 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots9 shotsAlanyaspor 11 shots, Fatih Karagümrük 9 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsAlanyaspor 6 shots, Fatih Karagümrük 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.82 xG0.25 xGAlanyaspor 0.82 xG, Fatih Karagümrük 0.25 xG
  • Possession44%56%Alanyaspor 44%, Fatih Karagümrük 56%
  • Corners2 corners3 cornersAlanyaspor 2 corners, Fatih Karagümrük 3 corners
  • Fouls19 fouls16 foulsAlanyaspor 19 fouls, Fatih Karagümrük 16 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Serginho · Fatih Karagümrük · 5′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFlorent Hadergjonaj · Alanyaspor · 22′ · 0.01 xG · on targetGüven Yalçın · Alanyaspor · 42′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJure Balkovec · Fatih Karagümrük · 81′ · 0.01 xG · on targetHwang Ui-Jo · Alanyaspor · 8′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTiago Çukur · Fatih Karagümrük · 63′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTiago Çukur · Fatih Karagümrük · 71′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJure Balkovec · Fatih Karagümrük · 26′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedÇağtay Kurukalıp · Fatih Karagümrük · 27′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFatih Aksoy · Alanyaspor · 62′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRuan Pereira Duarte · Alanyaspor · 21′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMarius Tresor Doh · Fatih Karagümrük · 74′ · 0.04 xG · on targetRuan Pereira Duarte · Alanyaspor · 87′ · 0.04 xG · on targetBaris Kalayci · Fatih Karagümrük · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetTiago Çukur · Fatih Karagümrük · 87′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRuan Pereira Duarte · Alanyaspor · 13′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedNicolas Janvier · Alanyaspor · 46′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedGüven Yalçın · Alanyaspor · 58′ · 0.08 xG · goalFatih Aksoy · Alanyaspor · 90′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedHwang Ui-Jo · Alanyaspor · 13′ · 0.35 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Alanyaspor: 11 shots, 6 on target, 0.81 xG. Fatih Karagümrük: 9 shots, 3 on target, 0.25 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Hwang Ui-Jo · Alanyaspor · 13′Güven Yalçın · Alanyaspor · 58′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Alanyaspor 0.81 xG · Fatih Karagümrük 0.25 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Alanyaspor
2Draws
0Fatih Karagümrük
Fatih Karagümrük — Alanyaspor · Süper Lig1–1
Alanyaspor — Fatih Karagümrük · Süper Lig2–1
Alanyaspor — Fatih Karagümrük · Süper Lig2–2
Fatih Karagümrük — Alanyaspor · Süper Lig2–4
Fatih Karagümrük — Alanyaspor · Süper Lig0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Alanyaspor favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Fatih Karagümrük in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Alanyaspor17 matchesFatih Karagümrük17 matches
0.94 goals/match ▲Goals scored17/170.82 goals/match
0.88 goals/match ▲Goals allowed17/171.88 goals/match
1.04 xG/match ▲Expected goals17/170.96 xG/match
12.1 shots/match ▲Shots17/1710.7 shots/match
3.94 shots/match ▲Shots on target17/172.76 shots/match
48.4% ●Possession17/1747.5%
4.71 corners/match ●Corners17/173.71 corners/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls16/1714.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 21 Dec 2025, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Süper Lig

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAlanyasporFatih Karagümrük
CompetitionSüper LigSüper Lig 2025/26
Head-to-headAlanyaspor — Fatih Karagümrük
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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