PitchMath
Süper Lig · 2025Gursel Aksel Stadium

Göztepe 2–0 Samsunspor · Süper Lig

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Göztepe won 2–0.

Shots
105
Shots on target
20
Expected goals
0.950.3
Possession
36%64%

Full time

What the match recorded

Göztepe beat Samsunspor 2–0. Recorded in this match (Göztepe – Samsunspor): shots 10–5, shots on target 2–0, expected goals 0.95–0.3, possession 36%–64%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Samsunspor's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Samsunspor's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.29 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.29 goals/match1.21 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Samsunspor have recorded the higher season possession share.

38.3%PossessionGöztepe · Samsunspor● 51.1%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricGöztepeSamsunsporBaseline
Possession38.3%51.1%50.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

17.8 fouls/matchFoulsGöztepe · Samsunspor14.7 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricGöztepeSamsunsporBaseline
Fouls17.8 fouls/match14.7 fouls/match13.2 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots5 shotsGöztepe 10 shots, Samsunspor 5 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots0 shotsGöztepe 2 shots, Samsunspor 0 shots
  • Expected goals0.95 xG0.3 xGGöztepe 0.95 xG, Samsunspor 0.3 xG
  • Possession36%64%Göztepe 36%, Samsunspor 64%
  • Corners4 corners3 cornersGöztepe 4 corners, Samsunspor 3 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls7 foulsGöztepe 18 fouls, Samsunspor 7 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Soner Gönül · Samsunspor · 4′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMalcom Bokele · Göztepe · 78′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTaha Altıkardeş · Göztepe · 59′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEmre Kılınç · Samsunspor · 68′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIbrahim Sabra · Göztepe · 86′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Junior Dennis · Göztepe · 87′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRick Van Drongelen · Samsunspor · 89′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEmre Kılınç · Samsunspor · 47′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedHéliton · Göztepe · 39′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedArda Kurtulan · Göztepe · 68′ · 0.10 xG · goalHéliton · Göztepe · 75′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedAllan · Göztepe · 58′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMarius Mouandilmadji · Samsunspor · 44′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedEfkan Bekiroğlu · Göztepe · 46′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedArda Kurtulan · Göztepe · 23′ · 0.34 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Göztepe: 10 shots, 2 on target, 0.97 xG. Samsunspor: 5 shots, 0 on target, 0.29 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Arda Kurtulan · Göztepe · 23′Arda Kurtulan · Göztepe · 68′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Göztepe 0.97 xG · Samsunspor 0.29 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Göztepe
1Draws
1Samsunspor
Göztepe — Samsunspor · Süper Lig2–2
Samsunspor — Göztepe · Süper Lig4–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Göztepe favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Samsunspor in 2 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Göztepe17 matchesSamsunspor17 matches
1.24 goals/matchGoals scored17/171.29 goals/match
0.53 goals/match ▲Goals allowed17/171.18 goals/match
1.19 xG/matchExpected goals17/17▲ 1.34 xG/match
13.5 shots/match ▲Shots17/1712.8 shots/match
4.41 shots/match ▲Shots on target17/173.94 shots/match
38.3%Possession17/17● 51.1%
4.71 corners/matchCorners17/17● 5.82 corners/match
17.8 fouls/matchFouls16/1714.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 21 Dec 2025, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Süper Lig

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsGöztepeSamsunspor
CompetitionSüper LigSüper Lig 2025/26
Head-to-headGöztepe — Samsunspor
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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