Süper Lig · 2025Yildiz Entegre Kocaeli Stadyumu

Kocaelispor 1–2 Trabzonspor · Süper Lig

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Trabzonspor won 1–2.

Shots
1510
Shots on target
53
Expected goals
1.490.54
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

Trabzonspor beat Kocaelispor 2–1. Recorded in this match (Kocaelispor – Trabzonspor): shots 15–10, shots on target 5–3, expected goals 1.49–0.54, possession 43%–57%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Trabzonspor's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Trabzonspor's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.94 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.6 goals/match1.94 goals/match1.23 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Trabzonspor have a visible away split

moderate

Trabzonspor's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

12.8 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season15.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.8 shots/match15.9 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots10 shotsKocaelispor 15 shots, Trabzonspor 10 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots3 shotsKocaelispor 5 shots, Trabzonspor 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.49 xG0.54 xGKocaelispor 1.49 xG, Trabzonspor 0.54 xG
  • Possession43%57%Kocaelispor 43%, Trabzonspor 57%
  • Corners4 corners3 cornersKocaelispor 4 corners, Trabzonspor 3 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls14 foulsKocaelispor 16 fouls, Trabzonspor 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ernest Muçi · Trabzonspor · 7′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMassadio Haïdara · Kocaelispor · 54′ · 0.01 xG · on targetOleksandr Zubkov · Trabzonspor · 60′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTayfur Bingöl · Kocaelispor · 32′ · 0.02 xG · on targetRigoberto Rivas · Kocaelispor · 36′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedShow · Kocaelispor · 65′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedErnest Muçi · Trabzonspor · 36′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOleksandr Zubkov · Trabzonspor · 66′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOleksandr Zubkov · Trabzonspor · 67′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOleksandr Zubkov · Trabzonspor · 89′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedErnest Muçi · Trabzonspor · 90′ · 0.04 xG · goalFelipe Augusto · Trabzonspor · 44′ · 0.05 xG · goalMassadio Haïdara · Kocaelispor · 3′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Agyei · Kocaelispor · 50′ · 0.06 xG · on targetKarol Linetty · Kocaelispor · 83′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedCan Keleş · Kocaelispor · 83′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedBruno Petković · Kocaelispor · 16′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedKarol Linetty · Kocaelispor · 53′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedErnest Muçi · Trabzonspor · 20′ · 0.11 xG · on targetTayfur Bingöl · Kocaelispor · 16′ · 0.13 xG · on targetTayfur Bingöl · Kocaelispor · 51′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Agyei · Kocaelispor · 3′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedOleksandr Zubkov · Trabzonspor · 41′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedKarol Linetty · Kocaelispor · 78′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedBruno Petković · Kocaelispor · 18′ · 0.36 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Kocaelispor: 15 shots, 5 on target, 1.50 xG. Trabzonspor: 10 shots, 3 on target, 0.53 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Bruno Petković · Kocaelispor · 18′Felipe Augusto · Trabzonspor · 44′Ernest Muçi · Trabzonspor · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Kocaelispor 1.50 xG · Trabzonspor 0.53 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Kocaelispor
0Draws
1Trabzonspor
Trabzonspor — Kocaelispor · Süper Lig1–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Kocaelispor favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Trabzonspor in 5 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Kocaelispor18 matchesTrabzonspor18 matches
0.89 goals/matchGoals scored18/18▲ 1.94 goals/match
1.06 goals/match ▲Goals allowed18/181.17 goals/match
0.92 xG/matchExpected goals18/18▲ 1.53 xG/match
10.5 shots/matchShots18/18▲ 15.9 shots/match
3.61 shots/matchShots on target18/18▲ 5.89 shots/match
49.4%Possession18/18● 54.3%
4.5 corners/match ●Corners18/184.28 corners/match
13.4 fouls/matchFouls18/1812 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Jan 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Süper Lig

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