Süper Lig · 2025Eryaman Stadyumu

Gençlerbirliği 1–1 Samsunspor · Süper Lig

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Gençlerbirliği and Samsunspor drew 1–1.

Shots
718
Shots on target
34
Expected goals
0.751.1
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

Gençlerbirliği and Samsunspor drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Gençlerbirliği – Samsunspor): shots 7–18, shots on target 3–4, expected goals 0.75–1.1, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Samsunspor's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Samsunspor's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.28 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.28 goals/match1.23 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Gençlerbirliği have a visible home split

moderate

Gençlerbirliği's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.2 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.2 shots/match10.7 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Gençlerbirliği show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Gençlerbirliği's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.7 shots/match ▲ShotsGençlerbirliği · Samsunspor13.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricGençlerbirliğiSamsunsporBaseline
Shots10.7 shots/match13.1 shots/match12.7 shots/match
Shots against15.5 shots/match11.8 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots18 shotsGençlerbirliği 7 shots, Samsunspor 18 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots4 shotsGençlerbirliği 3 shots, Samsunspor 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.75 xG1.1 xGGençlerbirliği 0.75 xG, Samsunspor 1.1 xG
  • Possession52%48%Gençlerbirliği 52%, Samsunspor 48%
  • Corners4 corners6 cornersGençlerbirliği 4 corners, Samsunspor 6 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls14 foulsGençlerbirliği 9 fouls, Samsunspor 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Soner Gönül · Samsunspor · 14′ · 0.01 xG · on targetOlivier Ntcham · Samsunspor · 80′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTahsin Bülbül · Samsunspor · 4′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYunus Emre Çift · Samsunspor · 4′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPedro Pereira · Gençlerbirliği · 8′ · 0.02 xG · on targetYalçın Kayan · Samsunspor · 11′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOğulcan Ülgün · Gençlerbirliği · 17′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCelil Yüksel · Samsunspor · 23′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYunus Emre Çift · Samsunspor · 46′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTom Dele-Bashiru · Gençlerbirliği · 68′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarius Mouandilmadji · Samsunspor · 67′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedYalçın Kayan · Samsunspor · 11′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAli Diabaté · Samsunspor · 2′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedCelil Yüksel · Samsunspor · 46′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedElayis Tavsan · Samsunspor · 79′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedOlivier Ntcham · Samsunspor · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMetehan Mimaroğlu · Gençlerbirliği · 7′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAli Diabaté · Samsunspor · 68′ · 0.06 xG · on targetMarius Mouandilmadji · Samsunspor · 51′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMarius Mouandilmadji · Samsunspor · 51′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedOğulcan Ülgün · Gençlerbirliği · 8′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMarius Mouandilmadji · Samsunspor · 38′ · 0.14 xG · goalDimitris Goutas · Gençlerbirliği · 56′ · 0.20 xG · on targetMarius Mouandilmadji · Samsunspor · 30′ · 0.29 xG · on targetSekou Koita · Gençlerbirliği · 60′ · 0.34 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Gençlerbirliği: 7 shots, 3 on target, 0.78 xG. Samsunspor: 18 shots, 4 on target, 1.06 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Sekou Koita · Gençlerbirliği · 60′Marius Mouandilmadji · Samsunspor · 38′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Gençlerbirliği 0.78 xG · Samsunspor 1.06 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Gençlerbirliği
0Draws
1Samsunspor
Samsunspor — Gençlerbirliği · Süper Lig2–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Gençlerbirliği favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Samsunspor in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Gençlerbirliği18 matchesSamsunspor18 matches
1.22 goals/matchGoals scored18/181.28 goals/match
1.39 goals/matchGoals allowed18/18▲ 1.17 goals/match
1.07 xG/matchExpected goals18/18▲ 1.33 xG/match
10.7 shots/matchShots18/18▲ 13.1 shots/match
3.56 shots/matchShots on target18/18▲ 3.94 shots/match
41.1%Possession18/18● 50.9%
4.06 corners/matchCorners18/18● 5.83 corners/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls18/1814.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Jan 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Süper Lig

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