Süper Lig · 2025Antalya Stadium

Antalyaspor 2–1 Gençlerbirliği · Süper Lig

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Antalyaspor won 2–1.

Shots
1112
Shots on target
32
Expected goals
1.150.9
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

Antalyaspor beat Gençlerbirliği 2–1. Recorded in this match (Antalyaspor – Gençlerbirliği): shots 11–12, shots on target 3–2, expected goals 1.15–0.9, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Gençlerbirliği's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Gençlerbirliği's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.21 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.21 goals/match1.21 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Antalyaspor have a visible home split

moderate

Antalyaspor's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

10.9 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season8.42 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.9 shots/match8.42 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots12 shotsAntalyaspor 11 shots, Gençlerbirliği 12 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots2 shotsAntalyaspor 3 shots, Gençlerbirliği 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.15 xG0.9 xGAntalyaspor 1.15 xG, Gençlerbirliği 0.9 xG
  • Possession48%52%Antalyaspor 48%, Gençlerbirliği 52%
  • Corners8 corners2 cornersAntalyaspor 8 corners, Gençlerbirliği 2 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls20 foulsAntalyaspor 16 fouls, Gençlerbirliği 20 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Franco Tongya · Gençlerbirliği · 13′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDimitris Goutas · Gençlerbirliği · 23′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNikola Storm · Antalyaspor · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDario Šarić · Antalyaspor · 16′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMetehan Mimaroğlu · Gençlerbirliği · 54′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDario Šarić · Antalyaspor · 10′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRamzi Safuri · Antalyaspor · 11′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMetehan Mimaroğlu · Gençlerbirliği · 28′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDoğukan Sinik · Antalyaspor · 71′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFranco Tongya · Gençlerbirliği · 35′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMetehan Mimaroğlu · Gençlerbirliği · 74′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedM'Baye Niang · Gençlerbirliği · 47′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSekou Koita · Gençlerbirliği · 13′ · 0.06 xG · goalSamet Karakoc · Antalyaspor · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Ballet · Antalyaspor · 73′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedPedro Pereira · Gençlerbirliği · 59′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedSekou Koita · Gençlerbirliği · 75′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedDario Šarić · Antalyaspor · 26′ · 0.10 xG · goalSekou Koita · Gençlerbirliği · 34′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedSander van de Streek · Antalyaspor · 74′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedSamet Karakoc · Antalyaspor · 36′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedSander van de Streek · Antalyaspor · 63′ · 0.40 xG · goalOğulcan Ülgün · Gençlerbirliği · 30′ · 0.41 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Antalyaspor: 11 shots, 3 on target, 1.16 xG. Gençlerbirliği: 12 shots, 2 on target, 0.93 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Dario Šarić · Antalyaspor · 26′Sander van de Streek · Antalyaspor · 63′Sekou Koita · Gençlerbirliği · 13′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Antalyaspor 1.16 xG · Gençlerbirliği 0.93 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Antalyaspor
0Draws
1Gençlerbirliği
Antalyaspor — Gençlerbirliği · Turkish Cup0–1
Gençlerbirliği — Antalyaspor · Süper Lig0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Antalyaspor favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Gençlerbirliği in 6 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Antalyaspor19 matchesGençlerbirliği19 matches
0.95 goals/matchGoals scored19/19▲ 1.21 goals/match
1.68 goals/matchGoals allowed19/19▲ 1.42 goals/match
0.77 xG/matchExpected goals19/19▲ 1.06 xG/match
8.42 shots/matchShots19/19▲ 10.7 shots/match
3.37 shots/matchShots on target19/193.47 shots/match
43.7% ●Possession19/1941.6%
4.11 corners/match ●Corners19/193.95 corners/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls19/1912.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 Jan 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Süper Lig

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