Süper Lig · 2025Sun, 25 Jan 2026, 14:00 UTCFull timeCaykur Didi StadiumFull-time recap
11Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricÇaykur RizesporAlanyaspor
Shots6 shots/match23 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match3 shots/match
Expected goals0.41 xG/match1.28 xG/match
Possession37%63%
Corners4 corners/match8 corners/match
Fouls14 fouls/match8 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Gaius Makouta · Alanyaspor · 20′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRuan Pereira Duarte · Alanyaspor · 32′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedCasper Højer · Çaykur Rizespor · 37′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMaestro · Alanyaspor · 40′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedÜmit Akdağ · Alanyaspor · 71′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIanis Hagi · Alanyaspor · 89′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMaestro · Alanyaspor · 31′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFidan Aliti · Alanyaspor · 40′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGaius Makouta · Alanyaspor · 55′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRuan Pereira Duarte · Alanyaspor · 61′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHwang Ui-Jo · Alanyaspor · 9′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAltin Zeqiri · Çaykur Rizespor · 15′ · 0.03 xG · on targetGüven Yalçın · Alanyaspor · 25′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGaius Makouta · Alanyaspor · 31′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedÜmit Akdağ · Alanyaspor · 40′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGüven Yalçın · Alanyaspor · 46′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLoide Augusto · Çaykur Rizespor · 18′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHwang Ui-Jo · Alanyaspor · 32′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFidan Aliti · Alanyaspor · 58′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIbrahim Kaya · Alanyaspor · 82′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIanis Hagi · Alanyaspor · 86′ · 0.05 xG · on targetSamet Akaydın · Çaykur Rizespor · 90′ · 0.06 xG · on targetGüven Yalçın · Alanyaspor · 48′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedRuan Pereira Duarte · Alanyaspor · 68′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedValentin Mihăilă · Çaykur Rizespor · 80′ · 0.09 xG · goalGüven Yalçın · Alanyaspor · 49′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedHwang Ui-Jo · Alanyaspor · 70′ · 0.11 xG · on targetQazim Laci · Çaykur Rizespor · 90′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedSteve Mounié · Alanyaspor · 89′ · 0.45 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Çaykur Rizespor: 6 shots, 3 on target, 0.38 xG. Alanyaspor: 23 shots, 3 on target, 1.31 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Valentin Mihăilă · Çaykur Rizespor · 80′Steve Mounié · Alanyaspor · 89′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Çaykur Rizespor 0.38 xG · Alanyaspor 1.31 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Çaykur Rizespor
1Draws
0Alanyaspor
AlanyasporÇaykur Rizespor · Süper Lig00

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Çaykur Rizespor favored in 3 of 14 directional metrics · Alanyaspor in 7 · 4 too close

1.16 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 19/191 goals/match
1.47 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 19/191 goals/match
1.29 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 19/191.03 xG/match
1.31 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 19/191.24 xG/match
12.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 19/1912.5 shots/match
14.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 19/1910.6 shots/match
3.21 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 19/193.84 shots/match
4.89 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 19/193.95 shots/match
49.4%Possessionseason · 19/1949%
3.79 corners/matchCornersseason · 19/194.95 corners/match
4.89 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 19/193.79 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
13.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 19/1812.8 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
26%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 19/1937%
74%Scoring frequencyseason · 19/1968%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Çaykur Rizespor47.2
Alanyaspor41.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Çaykur Rizespor32.4
Alanyaspor44.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Çaykur Rizespor24.1
Alanyaspor73.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Çaykur Rizespor41.7
Alanyaspor47.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Çaykur Rizespor80.6
Alanyaspor30.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 47%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Çaykur Rizespor8.3
Alanyaspor52.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Çaykur Rizespor36.1
Alanyaspor45.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 99%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/51 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/50.8 goals/match
1.35 xG/matchExpected goals5/50.91 xG/match
12.8 shots/matchShots5/513.2 shots/match
3.6 shots/matchShots on target5/53.8 shots/match
48%Possession5/553%
4.8 corners/matchCorners5/56.6 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.6 fouls/matchFouls5/513.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored10/100.8 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101 goals/match
1.3 xG/matchExpected goals10/100.9 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots10/1013.4 shots/match
3.1 shots/matchShots on target10/103.6 shots/match
48.7%Possession10/1052.6%
4.4 corners/matchCorners10/106 corners/match
Cards0/0
13.3 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.6 fouls/match

Window

Season

19 / 19 matches
1.16 goals/matchGoals scored19/191 goals/match
1.47 goals/matchGoals allowed19/191 goals/match
1.29 xG/matchExpected goals19/191.03 xG/match
12.3 shots/matchShots19/1912.5 shots/match
3.21 shots/matchShots on target19/193.84 shots/match
49.4%Possession19/1949%
3.79 corners/matchCorners19/194.95 corners/match
Cards0/0
13.9 fouls/matchFouls19/1812.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

10 / 10 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.1 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.3 goals/match
1.45 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.12 xG/match
13.2 shots/matchShots10/1012.9 shots/match
3.3 shots/matchShots on target10/103.6 shots/match
51.3%Possession10/1047.9%
4.1 corners/matchCorners10/104.1 corners/match
Cards0/0
15.3 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.88 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.88 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 Jan 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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