Süper Lig · 2025Kadir Has Stadium

Kayserispor 1–0 Antalyaspor · Süper Lig

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Kayserispor won 1–0.

Shots
1511
Shots on target
53
Expected goals
2.020.96
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Kayserispor beat Antalyaspor 1–0. Recorded in this match (Kayserispor – Antalyaspor): shots 15–11, shots on target 5–3, expected goals 2.02–0.96, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Kayserispor's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Kayserispor's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.78 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.78 goals/match1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Antalyaspor have a visible away split

moderate

Antalyaspor's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

6.83 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season8.57 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots6.83 shots/match8.57 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots11 shotsKayserispor 15 shots, Antalyaspor 11 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots3 shotsKayserispor 5 shots, Antalyaspor 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.02 xG0.96 xGKayserispor 2.02 xG, Antalyaspor 0.96 xG
  • Possession54%46%Kayserispor 54%, Antalyaspor 46%
  • Corners5 corners5 cornersKayserispor 5 corners, Antalyaspor 5 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls10 foulsKayserispor 12 fouls, Antalyaspor 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

László Bénes · Kayserispor · 11′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNikola Storm · Antalyaspor · 31′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLautaro Giannetti · Antalyaspor · 39′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMiguel Cardoso · Kayserispor · 90′ · 0.01 xG · on targetDoğukan Sinik · Antalyaspor · 8′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNikola Storm · Antalyaspor · 10′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFurkan Soyalp · Kayserispor · 32′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDenis Makarov · Kayserispor · 49′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNikola Storm · Antalyaspor · 61′ · 0.02 xG · on targetFedor Chalov · Kayserispor · 78′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMiguel Cardoso · Kayserispor · 64′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDario Šarić · Antalyaspor · 24′ · 0.04 xG · on targetSoner Dikmen · Antalyaspor · 84′ · 0.04 xG · on targetGerman Onugkha · Kayserispor · 5′ · 0.05 xG · on targetStefano Denswil · Kayserispor · 51′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedGerman Onugkha · Kayserispor · 8′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDenis Makarov · Kayserispor · 89′ · 0.07 xG · on targetTalha Sariarslan · Kayserispor · 89′ · 0.10 xG · goalGerman Onugkha · Kayserispor · 21′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedSoner Dikmen · Antalyaspor · 54′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedSander van de Streek · Antalyaspor · 15′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedYohan Boli · Antalyaspor · 87′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedMiguel Cardoso · Kayserispor · 83′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedSander van de Streek · Antalyaspor · 33′ · 0.43 xG · off target or blockedFedor Chalov · Kayserispor · 73′ · 0.43 xG · off target or blockedLászló Bénes · Kayserispor · 69′ · 0.82 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Kayserispor: 15 shots, 5 on target, 2.05 xG. Antalyaspor: 11 shots, 3 on target, 0.99 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Talha Sariarslan · Kayserispor · 89′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Kayserispor 2.05 xG · Antalyaspor 0.99 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Kayserispor
3Draws
1Antalyaspor
Antalyaspor — Kayserispor · Süper Lig1–1
Kayserispor — Antalyaspor · Süper Lig3–1
Antalyaspor — Kayserispor · Süper Lig2–0
Kayserispor — Antalyaspor · Süper Lig1–1
Antalyaspor — Kayserispor · Süper Lig1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Kayserispor favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Antalyaspor in 6 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Kayserispor23 matchesAntalyaspor23 matches
0.78 goals/matchGoals scored23/23▲ 0.96 goals/match
1.87 goals/matchGoals allowed23/23▲ 1.57 goals/match
1.07 xG/match ▲Expected goals23/230.76 xG/match
11.6 shots/match ▲Shots23/238.57 shots/match
3.78 shots/match ▲Shots on target23/233.3 shots/match
47% ●Possession23/2343.5%
4.74 corners/match ●Corners23/234.09 corners/match
12.7 fouls/matchFouls23/2312 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 22 Feb 2026, 14:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Süper Lig

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