PitchMath
Süper Lig · 2025Gaziantep Stadium

Gaziantep FK 1–2 Trabzonspor · Süper Lig

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Trabzonspor won 1–2.

Shots
1513
Shots on target
74
Expected goals
1.521.04
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Trabzonspor beat Gaziantep FK 2–1. Recorded in this match (Gaziantep FK – Trabzonspor): shots 15–13, shots on target 7–4, expected goals 1.52–1.04, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Gaziantep FK's recent record differs from the season

weak

Gaziantep FK's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.3 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.3 goals/match1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Trabzonspor show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Trabzonspor's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.3 shots/match ▲ShotsGaziantep FK · Trabzonspor15.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricGaziantep FKTrabzonsporBaseline
Shots13.3 shots/match15.7 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against14.1 shots/match13.7 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Gaziantep FK have a visible home split

moderate

Gaziantep FK's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.4 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.4 shots/match13.3 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots13 shotsGaziantep FK 15 shots, Trabzonspor 13 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots4 shotsGaziantep FK 7 shots, Trabzonspor 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.52 xG1.04 xGGaziantep FK 1.52 xG, Trabzonspor 1.04 xG
  • Possession54%46%Gaziantep FK 54%, Trabzonspor 46%
  • Corners11 corners4 cornersGaziantep FK 11 corners, Trabzonspor 4 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls16 foulsGaziantep FK 11 fouls, Trabzonspor 16 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ernest Muçi · Trabzonspor · 18′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedChristopher Lungoyi · Gaziantep FK · 64′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKacper Kozłowski · Gaziantep FK · 74′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLuis Pérez · Gaziantep FK · 86′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedChrist Inao Oulaï · Trabzonspor · 30′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKévin Rodrigues · Gaziantep FK · 80′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKaramba Gassama · Gaziantep FK · 5′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMustafa Eskihellaç · Trabzonspor · 47′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedArseniy Batagov · Trabzonspor · 48′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLuis Pérez · Gaziantep FK · 57′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedErnest Muçi · Trabzonspor · 30′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPaul Onuachu · Trabzonspor · 35′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMustafa Eskihellaç · Trabzonspor · 48′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedErnest Muçi · Trabzonspor · 87′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedChrist Inao Oulaï · Trabzonspor · 25′ · 0.07 xG · on targetChristopher Lungoyi · Gaziantep FK · 45′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedChristopher Lungoyi · Gaziantep FK · 19′ · 0.08 xG · on targetMohamed Bayo · Gaziantep FK · 80′ · 0.08 xG · on targetAlexandru Maxim · Gaziantep FK · 14′ · 0.09 xG · on targetChristopher Lungoyi · Gaziantep FK · 36′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Bayo · Gaziantep FK · 38′ · 0.12 xG · on targetTayyip Talha Sanuç · Gaziantep FK · 72′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedPaul Onuachu · Trabzonspor · 27′ · 0.13 xG · goalChristopher Lungoyi · Gaziantep FK · 62′ · 0.14 xG · on targetMustafa Eskihellaç · Trabzonspor · 27′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedErnest Muçi · Trabzonspor · 90′ · 0.20 xG · on targetFelipe Augusto · Trabzonspor · 24′ · 0.21 xG · goalMohamed Bayo · Gaziantep FK · 22′ · 0.57 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Gaziantep FK: 15 shots, 7 on target, 1.50 xG. Trabzonspor: 13 shots, 4 on target, 1.02 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Mohamed Bayo · Gaziantep FK · 22′Felipe Augusto · Trabzonspor · 24′Paul Onuachu · Trabzonspor · 27′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Gaziantep FK 1.50 xG · Trabzonspor 1.02 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Gaziantep FK
2Draws
3Trabzonspor
Trabzonspor — Gaziantep FK · Süper Lig1–1
Trabzonspor — Gaziantep FK · Süper Lig3–2
Gaziantep FK — Trabzonspor · Süper Lig0–0
Trabzonspor — Gaziantep FK · Süper Lig4–2
Gaziantep FK — Trabzonspor · Süper Lig1–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Gaziantep FK favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Trabzonspor in 9 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Gaziantep FK23 matchesTrabzonspor23 matches
1.3 goals/matchGoals scored23/23▲ 1.96 goals/match
1.74 goals/matchGoals allowed23/23▲ 1.17 goals/match
1.36 xG/matchExpected goals23/23▲ 1.51 xG/match
13.3 shots/matchShots23/23▲ 15.7 shots/match
4.39 shots/matchShots on target23/23▲ 5.83 shots/match
51.3%Possession23/23● 54.6%
5.04 corners/match ●Corners23/234.39 corners/match
13.4 fouls/matchFouls23/2312.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 22 Feb 2026, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Süper Lig

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsGaziantep FKTrabzonspor
CompetitionSüper LigSüper Lig 2025/26
Head-to-headGaziantep FK — Trabzonspor
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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