PitchMath
Süper Lig · 2025Antalya Stadium

Antalyaspor 2–2 Fenerbahçe · Süper Lig

2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Antalyaspor and Fenerbahçe drew 2–2.

Shots
914
Shots on target
45
Expected goals
0.871.46
Possession
34%66%

Full time

What the match recorded

Antalyaspor and Fenerbahçe drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Antalyaspor – Fenerbahçe): shots 9–14, shots on target 4–5, expected goals 0.87–1.46, possession 34%–66%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Antalyaspor show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Antalyaspor's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

8.58 shots/match ▲ShotsAntalyaspor · Fenerbahçe17.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAntalyasporFenerbahçeBaseline
Shots8.58 shots/match17.5 shots/match12.6 shots/match
Shots against14.3 shots/match9.96 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Antalyaspor have a visible home split

moderate

Antalyaspor's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

10.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season8.58 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.3 shots/match8.58 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Antalyaspor's recent record differs from the season

weak

Antalyaspor's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1 goal/match1.13 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots14 shotsAntalyaspor 9 shots, Fenerbahçe 14 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots5 shotsAntalyaspor 4 shots, Fenerbahçe 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.87 xG1.46 xGAntalyaspor 0.87 xG, Fenerbahçe 1.46 xG
  • Possession34%66%Antalyaspor 34%, Fenerbahçe 66%
  • Corners3 corners14 cornersAntalyaspor 3 corners, Fenerbahçe 14 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls10 foulsAntalyaspor 11 fouls, Fenerbahçe 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Dorgeles Nene · Fenerbahçe · 77′ · 0.01 xG · on targetMarco Asensio · Fenerbahçe · 58′ · 0.02 xG · on targetİsmail Yüksek · Fenerbahçe · 67′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBünyamin Balcı · Antalyaspor · 38′ · 0.03 xG · on targetSidiki Cherif · Fenerbahçe · 84′ · 0.03 xG · on targetSander van de Streek · Antalyaspor · 54′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNikola Storm · Antalyaspor · 56′ · 0.04 xG · on targetYiğit Efe Demir · Fenerbahçe · 65′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFred · Fenerbahçe · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKerem Aktürkoğlu · Fenerbahçe · 9′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDoğukan Sinik · Antalyaspor · 46′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSoner Dikmen · Antalyaspor · 64′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedKenneth Paal · Antalyaspor · 12′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedKerem Aktürkoğlu · Fenerbahçe · 33′ · 0.08 xG · on targetMarco Asensio · Fenerbahçe · 90′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedVeysel Sarı · Fenerbahçe · 69′ · 0.10 xG · goalYiğit Efe Demir · Fenerbahçe · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMert Müldür · Fenerbahçe · 42′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Ballet · Antalyaspor · 32′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedArchie Brown · Fenerbahçe · 90′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedSander van de Streek · Antalyaspor · 49′ · 0.19 xG · goalDorgeles Nene · Fenerbahçe · 90′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedNikola Storm · Antalyaspor · 64′ · 0.30 xG · on targetLevent Mercan · Antalyaspor · 43′ · 0.34 xG · goalSidiki Cherif · Fenerbahçe · 63′ · 0.43 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Antalyaspor: 10 shots, 5 on target, 1.25 xG. Fenerbahçe: 15 shots, 6 on target, 1.55 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Levent Mercan · Antalyaspor · 43′Sander van de Streek · Antalyaspor · 49′Sidiki Cherif · Fenerbahçe · 63′Veysel Sarı · Fenerbahçe · 69′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Antalyaspor 1.25 xG · Fenerbahçe 1.55 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Antalyaspor
0Draws
5Fenerbahçe
Fenerbahçe — Antalyaspor · Süper Lig2–0
Fenerbahçe — Antalyaspor · Süper Lig3–0
Antalyaspor — Fenerbahçe · Süper Lig0–2
Antalyaspor — Fenerbahçe · Süper Lig0–2
Fenerbahçe — Antalyaspor · Süper Lig3–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Antalyaspor favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Fenerbahçe in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Antalyaspor24 matchesFenerbahçe24 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored24/24▲ 2.25 goals/match
1.58 goals/matchGoals allowed24/24▲ 0.96 goals/match
0.77 xG/matchExpected goals24/24▲ 1.89 xG/match
8.58 shots/matchShots24/24▲ 17.5 shots/match
3.33 shots/matchShots on target24/24▲ 6.25 shots/match
43.1%Possession24/24● 59.1%
4.04 corners/matchCorners24/24● 6.67 corners/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls24/2412.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 1 Mar 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Süper Lig

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAntalyasporFenerbahçe
CompetitionSüper LigSüper Lig 2025/26
Head-to-headAntalyaspor — Fenerbahçe
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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