PitchMath
Süper Lig · 2025Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadium

Eyüpspor 0–1 Kocaelispor · Süper Lig

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Kocaelispor won 0–1.

Shots
115
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
1.151.6
Possession
68%32%

Full time

What the match recorded

Kocaelispor beat Eyüpspor 1–0. Recorded in this match (Eyüpspor – Kocaelispor): shots 11–5, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 1.15–1.6, possession 68%–32%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Kocaelispor's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Kocaelispor's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.88 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.88 goals/match1.12 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Eyüpspor show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Eyüpspor's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.9 shots/match ▲ShotsEyüpspor · Kocaelispor10.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricEyüpsporKocaelisporBaseline
Shots10.9 shots/match10.4 shots/match12.6 shots/match
Shots against14.3 shots/match11.2 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots5 shotsEyüpspor 11 shots, Kocaelispor 5 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsEyüpspor 3 shots, Kocaelispor 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.15 xG1.6 xGEyüpspor 1.15 xG, Kocaelispor 1.6 xG
  • Possession68%32%Eyüpspor 68%, Kocaelispor 32%
  • Corners3 corners3 cornersEyüpspor 3 corners, Kocaelispor 3 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls21 foulsEyüpspor 13 fouls, Kocaelispor 21 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Bedirhan Özyurt · Eyüpspor · 82′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedCharles-Andre Raux Yao · Eyüpspor · 84′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedEmre Akbaba · Eyüpspor · 17′ · 0.02 xG · on targetTalha Ülvan · Eyüpspor · 64′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEmre Akbaba · Eyüpspor · 77′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHabib Keita · Kocaelispor · 2′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLenny Pintor · Eyüpspor · 86′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTalha Ülvan · Eyüpspor · 33′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedHabib Keita · Kocaelispor · 46′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedEmre Akbaba · Eyüpspor · 80′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedEmre Akbaba · Eyüpspor · 20′ · 0.10 xG · on targetLenny Pintor · Eyüpspor · 11′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedDarko Churlinov · Kocaelispor · 46′ · 0.21 xG · on targetUmut Bozok · Eyüpspor · 35′ · 0.66 xG · on targetDaniel Agyei · Kocaelispor · 46′ · 0.73 xG · on targetSerdar Dursun · Kocaelispor · 6′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Eyüpspor: 11 shots, 3 on target, 1.12 xG. Kocaelispor: 5 shots, 3 on target, 1.85 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Serdar Dursun · Kocaelispor · 6′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Eyüpspor 1.12 xG · Kocaelispor 1.85 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Eyüpspor
0Draws
1Kocaelispor
Kocaelispor — Eyüpspor · Süper Lig1–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Eyüpspor favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Kocaelispor in 8 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Eyüpspor25 matchesKocaelispor25 matches
0.76 goals/matchGoals scored25/25▲ 0.88 goals/match
1.44 goals/matchGoals allowed25/25▲ 1 goal/match
1.06 xG/match ▲Expected goals25/250.94 xG/match
10.9 shots/matchShots25/2510.4 shots/match
3.72 shots/match ▲Shots on target25/253.28 shots/match
50.1% ●Possession25/2549%
3.64 corners/matchCorners25/25● 4.24 corners/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls25/2514.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 9 Mar 2026, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Süper Lig

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsEyüpsporKocaelispor
CompetitionSüper LigSüper Lig 2025/26
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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