Süper Lig · 2025Sat, 14 Mar 2026, 10:30 UTCFull timeYildiz Entegre Kocaeli StadyumuFull-time recap
12Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricKocaelisporKonyaspor
Shots10 shots/match19 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match7 shots/match
Expected goals0.61 xG/match2.02 xG/match
Possession42%58%
Corners8 corners/match7 corners/match
Fouls21 fouls/match4 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Uğurcan Yazğılı · Konyaspor · 3′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKazeem Olaigbe · Konyaspor · 15′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAdamo Nagalo · Konyaspor · 43′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAhmet Oğuz · Kocaelispor · 51′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedHabib Keita · Kocaelispor · 53′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBerkan Kutlu · Konyaspor · 2′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJackson Muleka · Konyaspor · 16′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDeniz Türüç · Konyaspor · 18′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYhoan Andzouana · Konyaspor · 35′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Agyei · Kocaelispor · 77′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDarko Churlinov · Kocaelispor · 9′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDarko Churlinov · Kocaelispor · 29′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKazeem Olaigbe · Konyaspor · 42′ · 0.03 xG · on targetSerdar Dursun · Kocaelispor · 51′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJackson Muleka · Konyaspor · 13′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Agyei · Kocaelispor · 25′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTayfur Bingöl · Kocaelispor · 56′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJackson Muleka · Konyaspor · 81′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDeniz Türüç · Konyaspor · 5′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedEnis Bardhi · Konyaspor · 90′ · 0.07 xG · on targetEnis Bardhi · Konyaspor · 66′ · 0.09 xG · on targetTayfur Bingöl · Kocaelispor · 23′ · 0.10 xG · on targetMarko Jevtović · Konyaspor · 50′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJackson Muleka · Konyaspor · 74′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMarko Jevtović · Konyaspor · 67′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedBlaž Kramer · Konyaspor · 70′ · 0.20 xG · on targetSerdar Dursun · Kocaelispor · 59′ · 0.27 xG · goalBlaž Kramer · Konyaspor · 86′ · 0.28 xG · goalJackson Muleka · Konyaspor · 90′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Kocaelispor: 10 shots, 3 on target, 0.58 xG. Konyaspor: 19 shots, 7 on target, 2.05 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Serdar Dursun · Kocaelispor · 59′Blaž Kramer · Konyaspor · 86′Jackson Muleka · Konyaspor · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Kocaelispor 0.58 xG · Konyaspor 2.05 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Kocaelispor
0Draws
0Konyaspor
KonyasporKocaelispor · Süper Lig23

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Kocaelispor favored in 6 of 14 directional metrics · Konyaspor in 5 · 3 too close

0.88 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 26/261.15 goals/match
1.04 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 26/261.5 goals/match
0.93 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 26/261.27 xG/match
1 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 26/261.41 xG/match
10.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 26/2613.6 shots/match
11.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 26/2612.4 shots/match
3.27 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 26/264.08 shots/match
3.08 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 26/263.88 shots/match
48.7%Possessionseason · 26/2653.7%
4.38 corners/matchCornersseason · 26/265.23 corners/match
4.08 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 26/264.69 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
14.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 26/2611.9 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
35%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 26/2615%
62%Scoring frequencyseason · 26/2677%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Kocaelispor41.7
Konyaspor69.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Kocaelispor13.9
Konyaspor60.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Kocaelispor87
Konyaspor49.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Kocaelispor8.3
Konyaspor47.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Kocaelispor80.6
Konyaspor8.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Kocaelispor30.6
Konyaspor75
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Kocaelispor33.4
Konyaspor51.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.2 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.2 goals/match
1.12 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.55 xG/match
10.4 shots/matchShots5/511.8 shots/match
2.8 shots/matchShots on target5/53.4 shots/match
47.6%Possession5/553.2%
4.4 corners/matchCorners5/54.8 corners/match
Cards0/0
20.2 fouls/matchFouls5/512.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored10/101 goals/match
1.1 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.1 goals/match
1 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.42 xG/match
10.3 shots/matchShots10/1012.4 shots/match
2.8 shots/matchShots on target10/103.6 shots/match
46.6%Possession10/1055.6%
4.1 corners/matchCorners10/104.2 corners/match
Cards0/0
16.2 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.2 fouls/match

Window

Season

26 / 26 matches
0.88 goals/matchGoals scored26/261.15 goals/match
1.04 goals/matchGoals allowed26/261.5 goals/match
0.93 xG/matchExpected goals26/261.27 xG/match
10.4 shots/matchShots26/2613.6 shots/match
3.27 shots/matchShots on target26/264.08 shots/match
48.7%Possession26/2653.7%
4.38 corners/matchCorners26/265.23 corners/match
Cards0/0
14.9 fouls/matchFouls26/2611.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

14 / 13 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored14/131.15 goals/match
0.79 goals/matchGoals allowed14/131.85 goals/match
1.07 xG/matchExpected goals14/131.07 xG/match
11.6 shots/matchShots14/1312.8 shots/match
3.79 shots/matchShots on target14/134.23 shots/match
49.6%Possession14/1350.8%
4.57 corners/matchCorners14/134.92 corners/match
Cards0/0
14.3 fouls/matchFouls14/1312.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.9 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 14 Mar 2026, 14:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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