PitchMath
Süper Lig · 2025Akyazı Stadium

Trabzonspor 1–0 Çaykur Rizespor · Süper Lig

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Trabzonspor won 1–0.

Shots
1011
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
1.480.67
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Trabzonspor beat Çaykur Rizespor 1–0. Recorded in this match (Trabzonspor – Çaykur Rizespor): shots 10–11, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 1.48–0.67, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Çaykur Rizespor's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Çaykur Rizespor's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.23 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.23 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Trabzonspor show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Trabzonspor's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.5 shots/match ▲ShotsTrabzonspor · Çaykur Rizespor12.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricTrabzonsporÇaykur RizesporBaseline
Shots15.5 shots/match12.5 shots/match12.7 shots/match
Shots against13.5 shots/match14.2 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots11 shotsTrabzonspor 10 shots, Çaykur Rizespor 11 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsTrabzonspor 3 shots, Çaykur Rizespor 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.48 xG0.67 xGTrabzonspor 1.48 xG, Çaykur Rizespor 0.67 xG
  • Possession56%44%Trabzonspor 56%, Çaykur Rizespor 44%
  • Corners8 corners4 cornersTrabzonspor 8 corners, Çaykur Rizespor 4 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls14 foulsTrabzonspor 11 fouls, Çaykur Rizespor 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Mithat Pala · Çaykur Rizespor · 23′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedValentin Mihăilă · Çaykur Rizespor · 85′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFelipe Augusto · Trabzonspor · 10′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOleksandr Zubkov · Trabzonspor · 62′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedValentin Mihăilă · Çaykur Rizespor · 66′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLoide Augusto · Çaykur Rizespor · 89′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTaylan Antalyalı · Çaykur Rizespor · 51′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHalil Dervişoğlu · Çaykur Rizespor · 3′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedChibuike Nwaiwu · Trabzonspor · 12′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSamet Akaydın · Çaykur Rizespor · 23′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedErnest Muçi · Trabzonspor · 35′ · 0.04 xG · on targetFelipe Augusto · Trabzonspor · 43′ · 0.05 xG · on targetTaha Şahin · Çaykur Rizespor · 23′ · 0.06 xG · on targetChibuike Nwaiwu · Trabzonspor · 35′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedEmrecan Bulut · Çaykur Rizespor · 88′ · 0.06 xG · on targetValentin Mihăilă · Çaykur Rizespor · 23′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedOzan Tufan · Trabzonspor · 7′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedFelipe Augusto · Trabzonspor · 11′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedFelipe Augusto · Trabzonspor · 54′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedFrantzdy Pierrot · Çaykur Rizespor · 87′ · 0.33 xG · on targetPaul Onuachu · Trabzonspor · 51′ · 0.97 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Trabzonspor: 10 shots, 3 on target, 1.52 xG. Çaykur Rizespor: 11 shots, 3 on target, 0.69 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Paul Onuachu · Trabzonspor · 51′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Trabzonspor 1.52 xG · Çaykur Rizespor 0.69 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Trabzonspor
0Draws
3Çaykur Rizespor
Çaykur Rizespor — Trabzonspor · Süper Lig1–2
Trabzonspor — Çaykur Rizespor · Süper Lig2–0
Çaykur Rizespor — Trabzonspor · Süper Lig3–1
Çaykur Rizespor — Trabzonspor · Süper Lig1–0
Trabzonspor — Çaykur Rizespor · Süper Lig2–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Trabzonspor favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Çaykur Rizespor in 1 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Trabzonspor26 matchesÇaykur Rizespor26 matches
2 goals/match ▲Goals scored26/261.23 goals/match
1.12 goals/match ▲Goals allowed26/261.38 goals/match
1.56 xG/match ▲Expected goals26/261.26 xG/match
15.5 shots/match ▲Shots26/2612.5 shots/match
5.69 shots/match ▲Shots on target26/263.77 shots/match
55.5% ●Possession26/2648.7%
4.69 corners/match ●Corners26/263.96 corners/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls26/2613.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 14 Mar 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Süper Lig

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsTrabzonsporÇaykur Rizespor
CompetitionSüper LigSüper Lig 2025/26
Head-to-headTrabzonspor — Çaykur Rizespor
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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