Süper Lig · 2025Wed, 18 Mar 2026, 17:00 UTCFull timeRecep Tayyip Erdogan StadiumFull-time recap
01Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricEyüpsporTrabzonspor
Shots7 shots/match10 shots/match
Shots on target1 shots/match3 shots/match
Expected goals0.26 xG/match1.51 xG/match
Possession50%50%
Corners1 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls17 fouls/match15 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Seyfettin Anıl Yaşar · Eyüpspor · 45′ · 0.01 xG · on targetMateusz Łęgowski · Eyüpspor · 42′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCalegari · Eyüpspor · 60′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOzan Tufan · Trabzonspor · 64′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLenny Pintor · Eyüpspor · 77′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedUmut Nayir · Trabzonspor · 12′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFelipe Augusto · Trabzonspor · 46′ · 0.03 xG · on targetUmut Bozok · Eyüpspor · 56′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedErnest Muçi · Trabzonspor · 54′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedÁngel Torres · Eyüpspor · 8′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFelipe Augusto · Trabzonspor · 46′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedErnest Muçi · Trabzonspor · 89′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedChibuike Nwaiwu · Trabzonspor · 36′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMateusz Łęgowski · Eyüpspor · 58′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedPaul Onuachu · Trabzonspor · 75′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedChibuike Nwaiwu · Trabzonspor · 87′ · 0.30 xG · off target or blockedFelipe Augusto · Trabzonspor · 66′ · 0.78 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Eyüpspor: 7 shots, 1 on target, 0.26 xG. Trabzonspor: 10 shots, 3 on target, 1.56 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Felipe Augusto · Trabzonspor · 66′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Eyüpspor 0.26 xG · Trabzonspor 1.56 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Eyüpspor's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Eyüpspor, Trabzonspor. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Eyüpspor's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Eyüpspor's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season0.7 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.7 goals/match1.15 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Eyüpspor, Trabzonspor.

3.17 daysRest daysEyüpspor · Trabzonspor4 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricEyüpsporTrabzonsporBaseline
Rest days3.17 days4 days
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Trabzonspor show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Trabzonspor's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.7 shots/matchShotsEyüpspor · Trabzonspor15.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricEyüpsporTrabzonsporBaseline
Shots10.7 shots/match15.3 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against13.9 shots/match13.3 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Eyüpspor
0Draws
1Trabzonspor
TrabzonsporEyüpspor · Süper Lig20

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Eyüpspor favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Trabzonspor in 10 · 4 too close

0.7 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 27/271.96 goals/match
1.41 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 27/271.07 goals/match
1.03 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 27/271.56 xG/match
1.62 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 27/271.26 xG/match
10.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 27/2715.3 shots/match
13.9 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 27/2713.3 shots/match
3.52 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 27/275.59 shots/match
4.93 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 27/273.96 shots/match
50.3%Possessionseason · 27/2755.3%
3.48 corners/matchCornersseason · 27/274.7 corners/match
5.67 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 27/275.07 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
12 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 27/2712.3 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
19%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 27/2733%
48%Scoring frequencyseason · 27/2793%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Eyüpspor58.3
Trabzonspor86.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Eyüpspor17.6
Trabzonspor82.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Eyüpspor30.6
Trabzonspor58.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Eyüpspor13.9
Trabzonspor80.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Eyüpspor8.3
Trabzonspor25
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Eyüpspor2.8
Trabzonspor47.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Eyüpspor15.3
Trabzonspor58.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/52 goals/match
0.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/50.6 goals/match
0.61 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.68 xG/match
8.4 shots/matchShots5/512.8 shots/match
2.6 shots/matchShots on target5/54.2 shots/match
56.4%Possession5/556.6%
2.2 corners/matchCorners5/56 corners/match
Cards0/0
13.2 fouls/matchFouls5/511.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
0.9 goals/matchGoals scored10/102 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed10/100.9 goals/match
0.85 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.51 xG/match
9.2 shots/matchShots10/1013.6 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target10/104.8 shots/match
49.2%Possession10/1057.2%
2.3 corners/matchCorners10/105.3 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.8 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.9 fouls/match

Window

Season

27 / 27 matches
0.7 goals/matchGoals scored27/271.96 goals/match
1.41 goals/matchGoals allowed27/271.07 goals/match
1.03 xG/matchExpected goals27/271.56 xG/match
10.7 shots/matchShots27/2715.3 shots/match
3.52 shots/matchShots on target27/275.59 shots/match
50.3%Possession27/2755.3%
3.48 corners/matchCorners27/274.7 corners/match
Cards0/0
12 fouls/matchFouls27/2712.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

14 / 14 matches
0.79 goals/matchGoals scored14/142 goals/match
1.36 goals/matchGoals allowed14/141.21 goals/match
1.1 xG/matchExpected goals14/141.55 xG/match
10.9 shots/matchShots14/1413.4 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target14/145.21 shots/match
52.4%Possession14/1453.8%
3.93 corners/matchCorners14/144.64 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.3 fouls/matchFouls14/1412.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.17 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 18 Mar 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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