Süper Lig · 2025Kadir Has Stadium

Kayserispor 1–3 Trabzonspor · Süper Lig

1–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Trabzonspor won 1–3.

Shots
1418
Shots on target
65
Expected goals
2.092.65
Possession
32%68%

Full time

What the match recorded

Trabzonspor beat Kayserispor 3–1. Recorded in this match (Kayserispor – Trabzonspor): shots 14–18, shots on target 6–5, expected goals 2.09–2.65, possession 32%–68%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Trabzonspor's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Trabzonspor's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.04 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.6 goals/match2.04 goals/match1.12 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Trabzonspor show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Trabzonspor's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.6 shots/match ▲ShotsKayserispor · Trabzonspor15.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricKayserisporTrabzonsporBaseline
Shots11.6 shots/match15.7 shots/match12.7 shots/match
Shots against14.8 shots/match13.6 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Trabzonspor have recorded the higher season possession share.

46.4%PossessionKayserispor · Trabzonspor● 55.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricKayserisporTrabzonsporBaseline
Possession46.4%55.4%49.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots18 shotsKayserispor 14 shots, Trabzonspor 18 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots5 shotsKayserispor 6 shots, Trabzonspor 5 shots
  • Expected goals2.09 xG2.65 xGKayserispor 2.09 xG, Trabzonspor 2.65 xG
  • Possession32%68%Kayserispor 32%, Trabzonspor 68%
  • Corners6 corners8 cornersKayserispor 6 corners, Trabzonspor 8 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls9 foulsKayserispor 8 fouls, Trabzonspor 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ramazan Civelek · Kayserispor · 37′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMustafa Eskihellaç · Trabzonspor · 24′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedErnest Muçi · Trabzonspor · 29′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDenis Makarov · Kayserispor · 45′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLászló Bénes · Kayserispor · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMustafa Eskihellaç · Trabzonspor · 78′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOleksandr Zubkov · Trabzonspor · 21′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedStefan Savić · Trabzonspor · 26′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOleksandr Zubkov · Trabzonspor · 65′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLászló Bénes · Kayserispor · 87′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDenis Makarov · Kayserispor · 62′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedOleksandr Zubkov · Trabzonspor · 53′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPaul Onuachu · Trabzonspor · 10′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedOleksandr Zubkov · Trabzonspor · 39′ · 0.06 xG · on targetFelipe Augusto · Trabzonspor · 41′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRamazan Civelek · Kayserispor · 56′ · 0.06 xG · on targetFedor Chalov · Kayserispor · 24′ · 0.07 xG · on targetArseniy Batagov · Trabzonspor · 19′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedFedor Chalov · Kayserispor · 12′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedErnest Muçi · Trabzonspor · 30′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedErnest Muçi · Trabzonspor · 69′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedOleksandr Zubkov · Trabzonspor · 45′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedStefano Denswil · Kayserispor · 66′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedSemih Güler · Kayserispor · 74′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedDenis Makarov · Kayserispor · 32′ · 0.16 xG · on targetSemih Güler · Kayserispor · 90′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedPaul Onuachu · Trabzonspor · 18′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedBilal Bayazit · Trabzonspor · 53′ · 0.29 xG · goalPaul Onuachu · Trabzonspor · 65′ · 0.32 xG · off target or blockedDenis Makarov · Kayserispor · 11′ · 0.40 xG · on targetPaul Onuachu · Trabzonspor · 45′ · 0.51 xG · goalGerman Onugkha · Kayserispor · 83′ · 0.80 xG · goalPaul Onuachu · Trabzonspor · 45′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Kayserispor: 14 shots, 6 on target, 2.13 xG. Trabzonspor: 19 shots, 6 on target, 2.94 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′German Onugkha · Kayserispor · 83′Paul Onuachu · Trabzonspor · 45′Paul Onuachu · Trabzonspor · 45′Bilal Bayazit · Trabzonspor · 53′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Kayserispor 2.13 xG · Trabzonspor 2.94 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Kayserispor
2Draws
2Trabzonspor
Trabzonspor — Kayserispor · Süper Lig4–0
Kayserispor — Trabzonspor · Süper Lig0–0
Trabzonspor — Kayserispor · Süper Lig2–2
Kayserispor — Trabzonspor · Süper Lig1–2
Trabzonspor — Kayserispor · Süper Lig0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Kayserispor favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Trabzonspor in 10

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Kayserispor25 matchesTrabzonspor25 matches
0.76 goals/matchGoals scored25/25▲ 2.04 goals/match
1.84 goals/matchGoals allowed25/25▲ 1.16 goals/match
1.09 xG/matchExpected goals25/25▲ 1.57 xG/match
11.6 shots/matchShots25/25▲ 15.7 shots/match
3.8 shots/matchShots on target25/25▲ 5.8 shots/match
46.4%Possession25/25● 55.4%
4.84 corners/match ●Corners25/254.56 corners/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls25/2512.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 9 Mar 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Süper Lig

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