Süper Lig · 2025Atatürk Olympic Stadium

Fatih Karagümrük 2–0 Fenerbahçe · Süper Lig

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Fatih Karagümrük won 2–0.

Shots
916
Shots on target
53
Expected goals
1.50.69
Possession
32%68%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fatih Karagümrük beat Fenerbahçe 2–0. Recorded in this match (Fatih Karagümrük – Fenerbahçe): shots 9–16, shots on target 5–3, expected goals 1.5–0.69, possession 32%–68%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Fatih Karagümrük's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Fatih Karagümrük's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.92 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.92 goals/match1.12 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Fenerbahçe show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Fenerbahçe's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.9 shots/match ▲ShotsFatih Karagümrük · Fenerbahçe17.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFatih KaragümrükFenerbahçeBaseline
Shots10.9 shots/match17.3 shots/match12.7 shots/match
Shots against14.4 shots/match10 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Fenerbahçe have a visible away split

moderate

Fenerbahçe's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

14.6 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season17.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.6 shots/match17.3 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots16 shotsFatih Karagümrük 9 shots, Fenerbahçe 16 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots3 shotsFatih Karagümrük 5 shots, Fenerbahçe 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.5 xG0.69 xGFatih Karagümrük 1.5 xG, Fenerbahçe 0.69 xG
  • Possession32%68%Fatih Karagümrük 32%, Fenerbahçe 68%
  • Corners2 corners14 cornersFatih Karagümrük 2 corners, Fenerbahçe 14 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls7 foulsFatih Karagümrük 16 fouls, Fenerbahçe 7 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Fred · Fenerbahçe · 30′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Musaba · Fenerbahçe · 47′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBerkay Özcan · Fatih Karagümrük · 56′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBartuğ Elmaz · Fatih Karagümrük · 8′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFred · Fenerbahçe · 9′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBartuğ Elmaz · Fatih Karagümrük · 15′ · 0.03 xG · goalMarco Asensio · Fenerbahçe · 62′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMattéo Guendouzi · Fenerbahçe · 69′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLevent Mercan · Fenerbahçe · 32′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLevent Mercan · Fenerbahçe · 40′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Musaba · Fenerbahçe · 71′ · 0.04 xG · on targetBerkay Özcan · Fatih Karagümrük · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetLevent Mercan · Fenerbahçe · 27′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSidiki Cherif · Fenerbahçe · 35′ · 0.05 xG · on targetYiğit Efe Demir · Fenerbahçe · 60′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Musaba · Fenerbahçe · 72′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Musaba · Fenerbahçe · 79′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMattéo Guendouzi · Fenerbahçe · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBaris Kalayci · Fatih Karagümrük · 36′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedYiğit Efe Demir · Fenerbahçe · 58′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSam Larsson · Fatih Karagümrük · 18′ · 0.08 xG · on targetİsmail Yüksek · Fenerbahçe · 31′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedSerginho · Fatih Karagümrük · 52′ · 0.13 xG · on targetIgor Lichnovsky · Fatih Karagümrük · 45′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedSerginho · Fatih Karagümrük · 45′ · 0.99 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Fatih Karagümrük: 9 shots, 5 on target, 1.55 xG. Fenerbahçe: 16 shots, 3 on target, 0.70 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Bartuğ Elmaz · Fatih Karagümrük · 15′Serginho · Fatih Karagümrük · 45′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Fatih Karagümrük 1.55 xG · Fenerbahçe 0.70 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Fatih Karagümrük
0Draws
5Fenerbahçe
Fenerbahçe — Fatih Karagümrük · Süper Lig2–1
Fatih Karagümrük — Fenerbahçe · Süper Lig1–2
Fenerbahçe — Fatih Karagümrük · Süper Lig2–1
Fatih Karagümrük — Fenerbahçe · Süper Lig1–2
Fenerbahçe — Fatih Karagümrük · Süper Lig5–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fatih Karagümrük favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Fenerbahçe in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fatih Karagümrük26 matchesFenerbahçe26 matches
0.92 goals/matchGoals scored26/26▲ 2.19 goals/match
1.77 goals/matchGoals allowed26/26▲ 1.04 goals/match
1.01 xG/matchExpected goals26/26▲ 1.82 xG/match
10.9 shots/matchShots26/26▲ 17.3 shots/match
3.38 shots/matchShots on target26/26▲ 6.08 shots/match
45.9%Possession26/26● 59.3%
4 corners/matchCorners26/26● 6.96 corners/match
14 fouls/matchFouls26/2612.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 13 Mar 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Süper Lig

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