Süper Lig · 2025Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadium

Fenerbahçe 3–1 Başakşehir FK · Süper Lig

3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Fenerbahçe won 3–1.

Shots
2215
Shots on target
94
Expected goals
2.050.89
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fenerbahçe beat Başakşehir FK 3–1. Recorded in this match (Fenerbahçe – Başakşehir FK): shots 22–15, shots on target 9–4, expected goals 2.05–0.89, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Başakşehir FK's recent record differs from the season

weak

Başakşehir FK's last-five shots average is above their season average.

16 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots16 shots/match13.5 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Fenerbahçe have a visible home split

moderate

Fenerbahçe's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

19.6 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season16.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots19.6 shots/match16.9 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Fenerbahçe show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Fenerbahçe's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.9 shots/match ▲ShotsFenerbahçe · Başakşehir FK13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFenerbahçeBaşakşehir FKBaseline
Shots16.9 shots/match13.5 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against10.6 shots/match12.8 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots22 shots15 shotsFenerbahçe 22 shots, Başakşehir FK 15 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots4 shotsFenerbahçe 9 shots, Başakşehir FK 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.05 xG0.89 xGFenerbahçe 2.05 xG, Başakşehir FK 0.89 xG
  • Possession49%51%Fenerbahçe 49%, Başakşehir FK 51%
  • Corners10 corners2 cornersFenerbahçe 10 corners, Başakşehir FK 2 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls3 foulsFenerbahçe 13 fouls, Başakşehir FK 3 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Fred · Fenerbahçe · 67′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedYusuf Sarı · Başakşehir FK · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedİsmail Yüksek · Fenerbahçe · 26′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNélson Semedo · Fenerbahçe · 41′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFred · Fenerbahçe · 54′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIvan Brnić · Başakşehir FK · 89′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Musaba · Fenerbahçe · 9′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Musaba · Fenerbahçe · 40′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBertuğ Yıldırım · Başakşehir FK · 55′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEldor Shomurodov · Başakşehir FK · 3′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAnthony Musaba · Fenerbahçe · 26′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedYusuf Sarı · Başakşehir FK · 47′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFred · Fenerbahçe · 57′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKerem Aktürkoğlu · Fenerbahçe · 87′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedÖmer Ali Şahiner · Başakşehir FK · 31′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedOlivier Kemen · Başakşehir FK · 74′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDavie Selke · Başakşehir FK · 86′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIvan Brnić · Başakşehir FK · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedİsmail Yüksek · Fenerbahçe · 14′ · 0.06 xG · on targetKazımcan Karataş · Başakşehir FK · 18′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedEldor Shomurodov · Başakşehir FK · 32′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAmine Harit · Başakşehir FK · 36′ · 0.07 xG · goalN'Golo Kanté · Fenerbahçe · 49′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedTalisca · Fenerbahçe · 72′ · 0.08 xG · goalTalisca · Fenerbahçe · 68′ · 0.09 xG · on targetAnthony Musaba · Fenerbahçe · 65′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedIvan Brnić · Başakşehir FK · 70′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedTalisca · Fenerbahçe · 77′ · 0.10 xG · on targetTalisca · Fenerbahçe · 57′ · 0.11 xG · goalDavie Selke · Başakşehir FK · 65′ · 0.11 xG · on targetDavie Selke · Başakşehir FK · 70′ · 0.11 xG · on targetJayden Oosterwolde · Fenerbahçe · 27′ · 0.12 xG · on targetAnthony Musaba · Fenerbahçe · 50′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedFred · Fenerbahçe · 81′ · 0.15 xG · on targetTalisca · Fenerbahçe · 25′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Musaba · Fenerbahçe · 28′ · 0.29 xG · on targetTalisca · Fenerbahçe · 28′ · 0.38 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Fenerbahçe: 22 shots, 9 on target, 2.18 xG. Başakşehir FK: 15 shots, 4 on target, 0.86 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Talisca · Fenerbahçe · 28′Talisca · Fenerbahçe · 57′Talisca · Fenerbahçe · 72′Amine Harit · Başakşehir FK · 36′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Fenerbahçe 2.18 xG · Başakşehir FK 0.86 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Fenerbahçe
1Draws
0Başakşehir FK
Başakşehir FK — Fenerbahçe · Süper Lig1–1
Başakşehir FK — Fenerbahçe · Süper Lig1–4
Fenerbahçe — Başakşehir FK · Süper Lig3–1
Başakşehir FK — Fenerbahçe · Süper Lig0–1
Fenerbahçe — Başakşehir FK · Süper Lig4–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fenerbahçe favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Başakşehir FK in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fenerbahçe32 matchesBaşakşehir FK32 matches
2.22 goals/match ▲Goals scored32/321.66 goals/match
1.06 goals/matchGoals allowed32/321.06 goals/match
1.88 xG/match ▲Expected goals32/321.52 xG/match
16.9 shots/match ▲Shots32/3213.5 shots/match
6.06 shots/match ▲Shots on target32/324.78 shots/match
58.4% ●Possession32/3255.1%
7.13 corners/match ●Corners32/324.97 corners/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls32/3213.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples32 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 2 May 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Süper Lig

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