PitchMath
Süper Lig · 2025Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium

Başakşehir FK 3–0 Samsunspor · Süper Lig

3–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Başakşehir FK won 3–0.

Shots
199
Shots on target
61
Expected goals
3.310.32
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

Başakşehir FK beat Samsunspor 3–0. Recorded in this match (Başakşehir FK – Samsunspor): shots 19–9, shots on target 6–1, expected goals 3.31–0.32, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Samsunspor's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Samsunspor's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.3 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.3 goals/match1.27 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots9 shotsBaşakşehir FK 19 shots, Samsunspor 9 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots1 shotBaşakşehir FK 6 shots, Samsunspor 1 shot
  • Expected goals3.31 xG0.32 xGBaşakşehir FK 3.31 xG, Samsunspor 0.32 xG
  • Possession40%60%Başakşehir FK 40%, Samsunspor 60%
  • Corners2 corners5 cornersBaşakşehir FK 2 corners, Samsunspor 5 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls13 foulsBaşakşehir FK 13 fouls, Samsunspor 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Miguel Crespo · Başakşehir FK · 36′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLogi Tomasson · Samsunspor · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Makoumbou · Samsunspor · 36′ · 0.02 xG · on targetEldor Shomurodov · Başakşehir FK · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYusuf Sarı · Başakşehir FK · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOlivier Kemen · Başakşehir FK · 45′ · 0.02 xG · on targetToni Borevković · Samsunspor · 59′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarius Mouandilmadji · Samsunspor · 68′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBertuğ Yıldırım · Başakşehir FK · 14′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedElayis Tavsan · Samsunspor · 32′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedYunus Emre Çift · Samsunspor · 41′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedYusuf Sarı · Başakşehir FK · 70′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCarlo Holse · Samsunspor · 64′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedElayis Tavsan · Samsunspor · 82′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDavie Selke · Başakşehir FK · 67′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedBertuğ Yıldırım · Başakşehir FK · 19′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDavie Selke · Başakşehir FK · 85′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAfonso Sousa · Samsunspor · 90′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedYusuf Sarı · Başakşehir FK · 29′ · 0.13 xG · on targetYusuf Sarı · Başakşehir FK · 67′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedOlivier Kemen · Başakşehir FK · 78′ · 0.16 xG · on targetKazımcan Karataş · Başakşehir FK · 81′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedAmine Harit · Başakşehir FK · 47′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedDavie Selke · Başakşehir FK · 54′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedOlivier Kemen · Başakşehir FK · 65′ · 0.28 xG · off target or blockedYusuf Sarı · Başakşehir FK · 43′ · 0.29 xG · goalAbbosbek Fayzullaev · Başakşehir FK · 78′ · 0.76 xG · goalEldor Shomurodov · Başakşehir FK · 6′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Başakşehir FK: 19 shots, 6 on target, 3.51 xG. Samsunspor: 9 shots, 1 on target, 0.32 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0240′HT90′Eldor Shomurodov · Başakşehir FK · 6′Yusuf Sarı · Başakşehir FK · 43′Abbosbek Fayzullaev · Başakşehir FK · 78′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Başakşehir FK 3.51 xG · Samsunspor 0.32 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Başakşehir FK
1Draws
1Samsunspor
Samsunspor — Başakşehir FK · Süper Lig0–2
Başakşehir FK — Samsunspor · Süper Lig4–0
Samsunspor — Başakşehir FK · Süper Lig2–0
Başakşehir FK — Samsunspor · Süper Lig1–0
Samsunspor — Başakşehir FK · Süper Lig0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Başakşehir FK favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Samsunspor in 3 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Başakşehir FK33 matchesSamsunspor33 matches
1.7 goals/match ▲Goals scored33/331.3 goals/match
1.03 goals/match ▲Goals allowed33/331.36 goals/match
1.57 xG/match ▲Expected goals33/331.26 xG/match
13.6 shots/match ▲Shots33/3312.9 shots/match
4.82 shots/match ▲Shots on target33/333.94 shots/match
54.6% ●Possession33/3354%
4.88 corners/matchCorners33/33● 5.85 corners/match
13.1 fouls/matchFouls33/3315.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 9 May 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Süper Lig

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBaşakşehir FKSamsunspor
CompetitionSüper LigSüper Lig 2025/26
Head-to-headBaşakşehir FK — Samsunspor
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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