Süper Lig · 2025Sat, 9 May 2026, 17:00 UTCFull timeMedas Konya Büyüksehir Belediyesi StadiumFull-time recap
03Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricKonyasporFenerbahçe
Shots10 shots/match23 shots/match
Shots on target2 shots/match11 shots/match
Expected goals0.64 xG/match3.19 xG/match
Possession43%57%
Corners6 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls16 fouls/match7 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Talisca · Fenerbahçe · 5′ · 0.01 xG · on targetMarko Jevtović · Konyaspor · 49′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTalisca · Fenerbahçe · 55′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDeniz Türüç · Konyaspor · 49′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTalisca · Fenerbahçe · 20′ · 0.03 xG · on targetTalisca · Fenerbahçe · 7′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNélson Semedo · Fenerbahçe · 25′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDeniz Türüç · Konyaspor · 62′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKazeem Olaigbe · Konyaspor · 62′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMarco Asensio · Fenerbahçe · 87′ · 0.04 xG · on targetEnis Bardhi · Konyaspor · 12′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedEnis Bardhi · Konyaspor · 47′ · 0.05 xG · on targetTalisca · Fenerbahçe · 56′ · 0.05 xG · on targetKerem Aktürkoğlu · Fenerbahçe · 64′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFred · Fenerbahçe · 48′ · 0.06 xG · on targetKerem Aktürkoğlu · Fenerbahçe · 50′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedİsmail Yüksek · Fenerbahçe · 78′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Musaba · Fenerbahçe · 35′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedYhoan Andzouana · Konyaspor · 41′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJo Jin-ho · Konyaspor · 75′ · 0.08 xG · on targetKerem Aktürkoğlu · Fenerbahçe · 67′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedİsmail Yüksek · Fenerbahçe · 89′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedKerem Aktürkoğlu · Fenerbahçe · 61′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedArchie Brown · Fenerbahçe · 56′ · 0.11 xG · goalKerem Aktürkoğlu · Fenerbahçe · 45′ · 0.12 xG · on targetKazeem Olaigbe · Konyaspor · 5′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedRayyan Baniya · Konyaspor · 86′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedMert Müldür · Fenerbahçe · 90′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedMarco Asensio · Fenerbahçe · 90′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedFred · Fenerbahçe · 13′ · 0.28 xG · goalTalisca · Fenerbahçe · 73′ · 0.31 xG · on targetOğuz Aydın · Fenerbahçe · 88′ · 0.38 xG · on targetFred · Fenerbahçe · 71′ · 0.85 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Konyaspor: 10 shots, 2 on target, 0.64 xG. Fenerbahçe: 23 shots, 11 on target, 3.21 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Fred · Fenerbahçe · 13′Archie Brown · Fenerbahçe · 56′Fred · Fenerbahçe · 71′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Konyaspor 0.64 xG · Fenerbahçe 3.21 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Konyaspor's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Fenerbahçe's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Konyaspor's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Konyaspor's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.27 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.27 goals/match1.27 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Fenerbahçe show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Fenerbahçe's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13 shots/matchShotsKonyaspor · Fenerbahçe17.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricKonyasporFenerbahçeBaseline
Shots13 shots/match17.1 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against13 shots/match10.5 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Konyaspor
0Draws
1Fenerbahçe
FenerbahçeKonyaspor · Süper Lig40

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Konyaspor favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Fenerbahçe in 11 · 3 too close

1.27 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 33/332.24 goals/match
1.45 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 33/331.03 goals/match
1.31 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 33/331.92 xG/match
1.45 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 33/330.89 xG/match
13 shots/matchShotsseason · 33/3317.1 shots/match
13 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 33/3310.5 shots/match
4.18 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 33/336.21 shots/match
4.18 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 33/333.39 shots/match
51.6%Possessionseason · 33/3358.4%
4.97 corners/matchCornersseason · 33/336.97 corners/match
4.7 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 33/334.24 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
12.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 33/3312 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
21%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 33/3333%
79%Scoring frequencyseason · 33/3388%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Konyaspor63.9
Fenerbahçe91.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Konyaspor56.5
Fenerbahçe95.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Konyaspor43.5
Fenerbahçe88.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Konyaspor47.2
Fenerbahçe86.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Konyaspor30.6
Fenerbahçe8.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Konyaspor63.9
Fenerbahçe97.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Konyaspor52.8
Fenerbahçe75
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/52.4 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.2 goals/match
1.24 xG/matchExpected goals5/52.08 xG/match
10.4 shots/matchShots5/516.6 shots/match
4.8 shots/matchShots on target5/56.6 shots/match
43%Possession5/552.8%
3.8 corners/matchCorners5/55.6 corners/match
Cards0/0
16.4 fouls/matchFouls5/511.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.5 goals/matchGoals scored10/102.2 goals/match
1.3 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.3 goals/match
1.55 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.94 xG/match
11.6 shots/matchShots10/1015.8 shots/match
4.5 shots/matchShots on target10/106 shots/match
47.5%Possession10/1057.4%
4.6 corners/matchCorners10/108.4 corners/match
Cards0/0
14 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.9 fouls/match

Window

Season

33 / 33 matches
1.27 goals/matchGoals scored33/332.24 goals/match
1.45 goals/matchGoals allowed33/331.03 goals/match
1.31 xG/matchExpected goals33/331.92 xG/match
13 shots/matchShots33/3317.1 shots/match
4.18 shots/matchShots on target33/336.21 shots/match
51.6%Possession33/3358.4%
4.97 corners/matchCorners33/336.97 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.6 fouls/matchFouls33/3312 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

17 / 17 matches
1.24 goals/matchGoals scored17/172.18 goals/match
1.12 goals/matchGoals allowed17/171.06 goals/match
1.39 xG/matchExpected goals17/171.57 xG/match
13.6 shots/matchShots17/1714.7 shots/match
4.24 shots/matchShots on target17/175.47 shots/match
53.9%Possession17/1755.4%
5.59 corners/matchCorners17/176.41 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.1 fouls/matchFouls17/1712.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.12 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 9 May 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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