Championship · 2025Sat, 30 Aug 2025, 14:00 UTCFull timeKassam StadiumFull-time recap

Oxford United

LLL

2–2Full-time recap

Coventry City

DWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Oxford United	Coventry City
Shots	14 shots/match	15 shots/match▲
Shots on target	3 shots/match	6 shots/match▲
Expected goals	1.04 xG/match	1.74 xG/match▲
Possession	37%	63%●
Corners	0 corners/match	5 corners/match●
Fouls	13 fouls/match	10 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Oxford United: 14 shots, 3 on target, 1.07 xG. Coventry City: 15 shots, 6 on target, 1.70 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Oxford United 1.07 xG · Coventry City 1.70 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Coventry City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Coventry City have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Coventry City show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Coventry City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.3 shots/match▲ShotsOxford United · Coventry City18 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Oxford United	Coventry City	Baseline
Shots	12.3 shots/match	18 shots/match	12.4 shots/match
Shots against	14.8 shots/match	11 shots/match	12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Coventry City have recorded the higher season possession share.

36.3%PossessionOxford United · Coventry City●56.8%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 20.5 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Oxford United	Coventry City	Baseline
Possession	36.3%	56.8%	50.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Oxford United

0Draws

2Coventry City

1 Mar 2025Oxford United — Coventry City · Championship2–3

16 Aug 2024Coventry City — Oxford United · Championship3–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Oxford United favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Coventry City in 0 · 13 too close

1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 4/43.5 goals/match

1.75 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 4/41.5 goals/match

0.95 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/41.93 xG/match

1.63 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/40.89 xG/match

12.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 4/418 shots/match

14.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 4/411 shots/match

3.5 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 4/46.75 shots/match

4.5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 4/42.75 shots/match

36.3%Possessionseason · 4/4●56.8%

3.25 corners/matchCornersseason · 4/4●6.75 corners/match

5.75 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 4/43 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

13.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 4/410.8 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 4/425%

50%Scoring frequencyseason · 4/475%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Oxford United2.1

Coventry City77.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Oxford United41.7

Coventry City97.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Oxford United25

Coventry City59.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Oxford United93.8

Coventry City85.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Oxford United77.1

Coventry City35.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Oxford United8.3

Coventry City93.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Oxford United44.8

Coventry City81.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Oxford United4 matchesCoventry City4 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲3.5 goals/match

1.75 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲1.5 goals/match

0.95 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲1.93 xG/match

12.3 shots/matchShots4/4▲18 shots/match

3.5 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲6.75 shots/match

36.3%Possession4/4●56.8%

3.25 corners/matchCorners4/4●6.75 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13.3 fouls/matchFouls4/410.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Oxford United2 matchesCoventry City2 matches

—Goals scored2/2—

—Goals allowed2/2—

—Expected goals2/2—

—Shots2/2—

—Shots on target2/2—

—Possession2/2—

—Corners2/2—

—Cards0/0—

—Fouls2/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited

Season samples4 / 4home / away teams

Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 30 Aug 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4