Championship · 2025Sat, 13 Sept 2025, 14:00 UTCFull timeHillsborough StadiumFull-time recap
03Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricSheffield WednesdayBristol City
Shots6 shots/match9 shots/match
Shots on target0 shots/match4 shots/match
Expected goals0.83 xG/match1.39 xG/match
Possession50%50%
Corners4 corners/match1 corners/match
Fouls19 fouls/match9 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Bristol City's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. A second useful context is: Bristol City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Bristol City have a visible away split

weak

Bristol City's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.67 shots/matchShotsAway only · Season14.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.67 shots/match14.4 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Bristol City show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Bristol City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.6 shots/matchShotsSheffield Wednesday · Bristol City14.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSheffield WednesdayBristol CityBaseline
Shots11.6 shots/match14.4 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against15.2 shots/match11.8 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Sheffield Wednesday favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Bristol City in 10 · 3 too close

0.6 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 5/52.4 goals/match
2.4 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 5/50.8 goals/match
1.21 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 5/51.53 xG/match
1.72 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 5/51.43 xG/match
11.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 5/514.4 shots/match
15.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 5/511.8 shots/match
3.2 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 5/53.6 shots/match
7 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 5/53.8 shots/match
43.6%Possessionseason · 5/547.6%
4.8 corners/matchCornersseason · 5/54.2 corners/match
6.2 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 5/56.6 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
13.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 5/58 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 5/540%
40%Scoring frequencyseason · 5/580%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Sheffield Wednesday14.6
Bristol City31.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Sheffield Wednesday24.3
Bristol City74.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Sheffield Wednesday10.4
Bristol City57.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Sheffield Wednesday60.4
Bristol City81.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Sheffield Wednesday77.1
Bristol City2.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Sheffield Wednesday47.9
Bristol City27.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Sheffield Wednesday47.4
Bristol City39.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/52.4 goals/match
2.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/50.8 goals/match
1.21 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.53 xG/match
11.6 shots/matchShots5/514.4 shots/match
3.2 shots/matchShots on target5/53.6 shots/match
43.6%Possession5/547.6%
4.8 corners/matchCorners5/54.2 corners/match
Cards0/0
13.2 fouls/matchFouls5/58 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

5 / 5 matches
0.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/52.4 goals/match
2.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/50.8 goals/match
1.21 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.53 xG/match
11.6 shots/matchShots5/514.4 shots/match
3.2 shots/matchShots on target5/53.6 shots/match
43.6%Possession5/547.6%
4.8 corners/matchCorners5/54.2 corners/match
Cards0/0
13.2 fouls/matchFouls5/58 fouls/match

Window

Season

5 / 5 matches
0.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/52.4 goals/match
2.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/50.8 goals/match
1.21 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.53 xG/match
11.6 shots/matchShots5/514.4 shots/match
3.2 shots/matchShots on target5/53.6 shots/match
43.6%Possession5/547.6%
4.8 corners/matchCorners5/54.2 corners/match
Cards0/0
13.2 fouls/matchFouls5/58 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 3 matches
0 goals/matchGoals scored3/32.67 goals/match
2.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/30.67 goals/match
0.93 xG/matchExpected goals3/31.15 xG/match
10 shots/matchShots3/39.67 shots/match
2 shots/matchShots on target3/34 shots/match
46.7%Possession3/341.3%
4 corners/matchCorners3/33 corners/match
Cards0/0
15 fouls/matchFouls3/38 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

14 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/114 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 13 Sept 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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