PitchMath
Championship · 2025Swansea.com Stadium

Swansea City 2–2 Hull City · Championship

2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Swansea City and Hull City drew 2–2.

Shots
915
Shots on target
26
Expected goals
11.61
Possession
65%35%

Full time

What the match recorded

Swansea City and Hull City drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Swansea City – Hull City): shots 9–15, shots on target 2–6, expected goals 1–1.61, possession 65%–35%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Swansea City have recorded the higher season possession share.

57.8% ●PossessionSwansea City · Hull City49.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricSwansea CityHull CityBaseline
Possession57.8%49.2%49.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots15 shotsSwansea City 9 shots, Hull City 15 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots6 shotsSwansea City 2 shots, Hull City 6 shots
  • Expected goals1 xG1.61 xGSwansea City 1 xG, Hull City 1.61 xG
  • Possession65%35%Swansea City 65%, Hull City 35%
  • Corners5 corners2 cornersSwansea City 5 corners, Hull City 2 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls5 foulsSwansea City 8 fouls, Hull City 5 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ethan Galbraith · Swansea City · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEnis Destan · Hull City · 87′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCameron Burgess · Swansea City · 7′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedŽan Vipotnik · Swansea City · 15′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOliver McBurnie · Hull City · 18′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJosh Key · Swansea City · 61′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJoe Gelhardt · Hull City · 65′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJohn Egan · Hull City · 84′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedZeidane Inoussa · Swansea City · 32′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKyle Joseph · Hull City · 55′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGonçalo Franco · Swansea City · 77′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJoel Ndala · Hull City · 88′ · 0.04 xG · on targetKyle Joseph · Hull City · 56′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedOliver McBurnie · Hull City · 70′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Belloumi · Hull City · 80′ · 0.06 xG · on targetŽan Vipotnik · Swansea City · 40′ · 0.07 xG · goalJohn Egan · Hull City · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLiam Cullen · Swansea City · 72′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedEnis Destan · Hull City · 85′ · 0.10 xG · on targetJoe Gelhardt · Hull City · 49′ · 0.12 xG · on targetRegan Slater · Hull City · 90′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedJohn Egan · Hull City · 90′ · 0.23 xG · goalOliver McBurnie · Hull City · 45′ · 0.55 xG · goalRonald · Swansea City · 57′ · 0.63 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Swansea City: 9 shots, 2 on target, 0.98 xG. Hull City: 15 shots, 6 on target, 1.56 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Žan Vipotnik · Swansea City · 40′Ronald · Swansea City · 57′Oliver McBurnie · Hull City · 45′John Egan · Hull City · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Swansea City 0.98 xG · Hull City 1.56 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Swansea City
2Draws
1Hull City
Swansea City — Hull City · Championship1–0
Hull City — Swansea City · Championship2–1
Hull City — Swansea City · Championship0–1
Swansea City — Hull City · Championship2–2
Hull City — Swansea City · Championship1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Swansea City favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Hull City in 4

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Swansea City5 matchesHull City5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲ 1.4 goals/match
0.8 goals/match ▲Goals allowed5/52.2 goals/match
0.84 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲ 1.41 xG/match
10.6 shots/matchShots5/5▲ 13.8 shots/match
3.4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲ 5.4 shots/match
57.8% ●Possession5/549.2%
5 corners/match ●Corners5/54.2 corners/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls5/59.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 13 Sept 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSwansea CityHull City
CompetitionChampionshipChampionship 2025/26
Head-to-headSwansea City — Hull City
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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