Championship · 2025Sat, 18 Oct 2025, 14:00 UTCFull timeThe ValleyFull-time recap
21Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricCharlton AthleticSheffield Wednesday
Shots12 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match4 shots/match
Expected goals1.56 xG/match1.64 xG/match
Possession40%60%
Corners2 corners/match4 corners/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Liam Palmer · Sheffield Wednesday · 73′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSonny Carey · Charlton Athletic · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSean Fusire · Sheffield Wednesday · 74′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBarry Bannan · Sheffield Wednesday · 58′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJamal Lowe · Sheffield Wednesday · 63′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedYan Valery · Sheffield Wednesday · 12′ · 0.06 xG · on targetSonny Carey · Charlton Athletic · 17′ · 0.06 xG · on targetLloyd Jones · Charlton Athletic · 8′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedSonny Carey · Charlton Athletic · 51′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJamal Lowe · Sheffield Wednesday · 65′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedSean Fusire · Sheffield Wednesday · 69′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAmari'i Bell · Charlton Athletic · 40′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedSvante Ingelsson · Sheffield Wednesday · 51′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedReece Burke · Charlton Athletic · 8′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMacauley Gillesphey · Charlton Athletic · 87′ · 0.11 xG · on targetSvante Ingelsson · Sheffield Wednesday · 20′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedSonny Carey · Charlton Athletic · 53′ · 0.12 xG · on targetJamal Lowe · Sheffield Wednesday · 25′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedMacauley Gillesphey · Charlton Athletic · 90′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedCharlie Kelman · Charlton Athletic · 31′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedReece Burke · Charlton Athletic · 45′ · 0.22 xG · goalJamal Lowe · Sheffield Wednesday · 11′ · 0.25 xG · on targetSonny Carey · Charlton Athletic · 17′ · 0.40 xG · goalJamal Lowe · Sheffield Wednesday · 69′ · 0.72 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Charlton Athletic: 12 shots, 5 on target, 1.56 xG. Sheffield Wednesday: 12 shots, 4 on target, 1.66 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Sonny Carey · Charlton Athletic · 17′Reece Burke · Charlton Athletic · 45′Jamal Lowe · Sheffield Wednesday · 69′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Charlton Athletic 1.56 xG · Sheffield Wednesday 1.66 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Charlton Athletic's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Charlton Athletic's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Charlton Athletic's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Charlton Athletic's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1 goals/match1.1 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Charlton Athletic have a visible home split

moderate

Charlton Athletic's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.8 shots/matchShotsHome only · Season12.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.8 shots/match12.7 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Charlton Athletic show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Charlton Athletic's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.7 shots/matchShotsCharlton Athletic · Sheffield Wednesday11.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCharlton AthleticSheffield WednesdayBaseline
Shots12.7 shots/match11.1 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against12.5 shots/match16.8 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Charlton Athletic favored in 10 of 14 directional metrics · Sheffield Wednesday in 1 · 3 too close

1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 10/100.9 goals/match
0.9 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 10/102.2 goals/match
1.03 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 10/101.17 xG/match
1.08 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 10/102.05 xG/match
12.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 10/1011.1 shots/match
12.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 10/1016.8 shots/match
3.9 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 10/103.6 shots/match
2.6 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 10/106.5 shots/match
42.6%Possessionseason · 10/1043.9%
3.9 corners/matchCornersseason · 10/105.5 corners/match
3.6 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 10/106.6 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
12 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 9/912 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
40%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 10/1010%
70%Scoring frequencyseason · 10/1060%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Charlton Athletic2.1
Sheffield Wednesday18.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Charlton Athletic45.1
Sheffield Wednesday24.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Charlton Athletic77.1
Sheffield Wednesday3.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Charlton Athletic85.4
Sheffield Wednesday47.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Charlton Athletic68.8
Sheffield Wednesday68.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 45%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Charlton Athletic10.4
Sheffield Wednesday70.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Charlton Athletic47.9
Sheffield Wednesday49.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.2 goals/match
0.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/52 goals/match
0.99 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.12 xG/match
12 shots/matchShots5/510.6 shots/match
3.8 shots/matchShots on target5/54 shots/match
41.2%Possession5/544.2%
2.4 corners/matchCorners5/56.2 corners/match
Cards0/0
13 fouls/matchFouls4/410.5 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored10/100.9 goals/match
0.9 goals/matchGoals allowed10/102.2 goals/match
1.03 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.17 xG/match
12.7 shots/matchShots10/1011.1 shots/match
3.9 shots/matchShots on target10/103.6 shots/match
42.6%Possession10/1043.9%
3.9 corners/matchCorners10/105.5 corners/match
Cards0/0
12 fouls/matchFouls9/912 fouls/match

Window

Season

10 / 10 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored10/100.9 goals/match
0.9 goals/matchGoals allowed10/102.2 goals/match
1.03 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.17 xG/match
12.7 shots/matchShots10/1011.1 shots/match
3.9 shots/matchShots on target10/103.6 shots/match
42.6%Possession10/1043.9%
3.9 corners/matchCorners10/105.5 corners/match
Cards0/0
12 fouls/matchFouls9/912 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 5 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.6 goals/match
0.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.6 goals/match
1.31 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.28 xG/match
14.8 shots/matchShots5/511.6 shots/match
5.4 shots/matchShots on target5/55 shots/match
41.8%Possession5/539.4%
4.8 corners/matchCorners5/55 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.8 fouls/matchFouls4/410.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

14 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/114.1 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 18 Oct 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match