Championship · 2025Carrow Road

Norwich City 0–1 Bristol City · Championship

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bristol City won 0–1.

Shots
1121
Shots on target
46
Expected goals
0.582.06
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bristol City beat Norwich City 1–0. Recorded in this match (Norwich City – Bristol City): shots 11–21, shots on target 4–6, expected goals 0.58–2.06, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Bristol City's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Bristol City's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.6 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.6 goals/match1.1 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Bristol City show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Bristol City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.8 shots/match ▲ShotsNorwich City · Bristol City14.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricNorwich CityBristol CityBaseline
Shots11.8 shots/match14.8 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against16.4 shots/match11.8 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Norwich City have a visible home split

moderate

Norwich City's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14 shots/match11.8 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots21 shotsNorwich City 11 shots, Bristol City 21 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots6 shotsNorwich City 4 shots, Bristol City 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.58 xG2.06 xGNorwich City 0.58 xG, Bristol City 2.06 xG
  • Possession61%39%Norwich City 61%, Bristol City 39%
  • Corners3 corners9 cornersNorwich City 3 corners, Bristol City 9 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls14 foulsNorwich City 11 fouls, Bristol City 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Pelle Mattsson · Norwich City · 89′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJosh Sargent · Norwich City · 65′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJack Stacey · Norwich City · 76′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMark Sykes · Bristol City · 80′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJosh Sargent · Norwich City · 18′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMatěj Jurásek · Norwich City · 23′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOscar Schwartau · Norwich City · 34′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAdam Randell · Bristol City · 80′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNeto Borges · Bristol City · 81′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPelle Mattsson · Norwich City · 23′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedScott Twine · Bristol City · 39′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGeorge Tanner · Bristol City · 81′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJosh Sargent · Norwich City · 77′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAnte Crnac · Norwich City · 77′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRob Dickie · Bristol City · 80′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNeto Borges · Bristol City · 27′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRobert Atkinson · Bristol City · 80′ · 0.06 xG · on targetEmil Riis Jacobsen · Bristol City · 73′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedScott Twine · Bristol City · 6′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedEmil Riis Jacobsen · Bristol City · 35′ · 0.08 xG · on targetNeto Borges · Bristol City · 41′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedRoss McCrorie · Bristol City · 62′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedRoss McCrorie · Bristol City · 54′ · 0.10 xG · on targetZak Vyner · Bristol City · 66′ · 0.13 xG · on targetZak Vyner · Bristol City · 81′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedEmil Riis Jacobsen · Bristol City · 87′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedMark Sykes · Bristol City · 73′ · 0.17 xG · goalZak Vyner · Bristol City · 81′ · 0.18 xG · on targetJack Stacey · Norwich City · 84′ · 0.20 xG · on targetAnis Mehmeti · Bristol City · 80′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedAnis Mehmeti · Bristol City · 73′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedEmiliano Marcondes · Norwich City · 56′ · 0.29 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Norwich City: 11 shots, 4 on target, 0.77 xG. Bristol City: 21 shots, 6 on target, 2.09 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Mark Sykes · Bristol City · 73′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Norwich City 0.77 xG · Bristol City 2.09 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Norwich City
1Draws
3Bristol City
Bristol City — Norwich City · Championship2–1
Norwich City — Bristol City · Championship0–2
Norwich City — Bristol City · Championship1–1
Bristol City — Norwich City · Championship1–2
Bristol City — Norwich City · Championship1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Norwich City favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Bristol City in 9 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Norwich City10 matchesBristol City10 matches
1.1 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲ 1.6 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲ 1 goal/match
1.25 xG/matchExpected goals10/10▲ 1.58 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots10/10▲ 14.8 shots/match
3.7 shots/matchShots on target10/103.7 shots/match
52.1% ●Possession10/1048.3%
4 corners/matchCorners10/10● 5.3 corners/match
9.2 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 18 Oct 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

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