Championship · 2025Sat, 1 Nov 2025, 15:00 UTCFull timeLoftus Road StadiumFull-time recap

Queens Park Rangers

DWLWL

1–4Full-time recap

Ipswich Town

DWLLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Queens Park Rangers	Ipswich Town
Shots	12 shots/match	12 shots/match
Shots on target	5 shots/match	7 shots/match▲
Expected goals	1.56 xG/match▲	1.03 xG/match
Possession	38%	62%
Corners	3 corners/match	2 corners/match
Fouls	16 fouls/match	10 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Queens Park Rangers: 12 shots, 5 on target, 1.56 xG. Ipswich Town: 12 shots, 7 on target, 1.05 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Queens Park Rangers 1.56 xG · Ipswich Town 1.05 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Queens Park Rangers's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Queens Park Rangers's recent record differs from the season

weak

Queens Park Rangers's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.23 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1 goals/match	1.23 goals/match	1.19 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Queens Park Rangers favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Ipswich Town in 9 · 4 too close

1.23 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 13/12▲1.75 goals/match

1.62 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 13/12▲1.17 goals/match

1.2 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 13/12▲1.82 xG/match

1.22 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 13/12▲1.07 xG/match

12.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 12/11▲15.2 shots/match

12.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 12/11▲10.3 shots/match

3.58 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 12/11▲4.82 shots/match

4.08 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 12/11▲2.91 shots/match

48.8%Possessionseason · 12/1156.5%

4.42 corners/matchCornersseason · 12/115.18 corners/match

4.58 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 12/11▲4.09 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 11/1111.8 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

23%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 13/1217%

85%Scoring frequencyseason · 13/1283%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Queens Park Rangers43.8

Ipswich Town85.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 92%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Queens Park Rangers50.7

Ipswich Town93.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 94%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Queens Park Rangers32.6

Ipswich Town78.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 94%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Queens Park Rangers60.4

Ipswich Town77.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 92%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Queens Park Rangers50

Ipswich Town72.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 42%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Queens Park Rangers35.4

Ipswich Town60.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 92%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Queens Park Rangers44.8

Ipswich Town80.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 90%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.8 goals/match

1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.4 goals/match

1.27 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.87 xG/match

11.5 shots/matchShots4/4▲15.8 shots/match

2.75 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲6.25 shots/match

50%Possession4/455.3%

3.5 corners/matchCorners4/45.75 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.3 fouls/matchFouls3/411.3 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.3 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.9 goals/match

1.1 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.2 goals/match

1.35 xG/matchExpected goals10/10▲1.89 xG/match

12.8 shots/matchShots9/9▲16.2 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on target9/9▲5.67 shots/match

47.3%Possession9/958.1%

4.44 corners/matchCorners9/95.44 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.4 fouls/matchFouls8/911.2 fouls/match

Window

Season

13 / 12 matches

1.23 goals/matchGoals scored13/12▲1.75 goals/match

1.62 goals/matchGoals allowed13/12▲1.17 goals/match

1.2 xG/matchExpected goals13/12▲1.82 xG/match

12.6 shots/matchShots12/11▲15.2 shots/match

3.58 shots/matchShots on target12/11▲4.82 shots/match

48.8%Possession12/1156.5%

4.42 corners/matchCorners12/115.18 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.2 fouls/matchFouls11/1111.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 5 matches

1.17 goals/matchGoals scored6/5▲1.4 goals/match

1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed6/5▲1.2 goals/match

1.32 xG/matchExpected goals6/5▲1.42 xG/match

14.2 shots/match▲Shots6/513.2 shots/match

4.17 shots/match▲Shots on target6/53.6 shots/match

48.5%Possession6/559.8%

4.83 corners/matchCorners6/55.4 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.8 fouls/matchFouls5/512.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.04 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.15 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples13 / 12home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 1 Nov 2025, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

Shot map

Expected-goals timeline

What the record shows

Queens Park Rangers's recent record differs from the season

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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