PitchMath
Championship · 2025Loftus Road Stadium

Queens Park Rangers 1–2 Southampton · Championship

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Southampton won 1–2.

Shots
209
Shots on target
52
Expected goals
1.680.68
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

Southampton beat Queens Park Rangers 2–1. Recorded in this match (Queens Park Rangers – Southampton): shots 20–9, shots on target 5–2, expected goals 1.68–0.68, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Queens Park Rangers's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Queens Park Rangers's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.21 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.21 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Southampton have a visible away split

moderate

Southampton's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.9 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.9 shots/match14 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots9 shotsQueens Park Rangers 20 shots, Southampton 9 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots2 shotsQueens Park Rangers 5 shots, Southampton 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.68 xG0.68 xGQueens Park Rangers 1.68 xG, Southampton 0.68 xG
  • Possession61%39%Queens Park Rangers 61%, Southampton 39%
  • Corners12 corners1 cornerQueens Park Rangers 12 corners, Southampton 1 corner
  • Fouls12 fouls14 foulsQueens Park Rangers 12 fouls, Southampton 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Liam Morrison · Queens Park Rangers · 21′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIlias Chair · Queens Park Rangers · 35′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJay Robinson · Southampton · 56′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIlias Chair · Queens Park Rangers · 88′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLiam Morrison · Queens Park Rangers · 24′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTom Fellows · Southampton · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRumarn Burrell · Queens Park Rangers · 57′ · 0.02 xG · on targetNicolas Madsen · Queens Park Rangers · 60′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLeo Scienza · Southampton · 69′ · 0.02 xG · goalJimmy Dunne · Queens Park Rangers · 81′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIlias Chair · Queens Park Rangers · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAdam Armstrong · Southampton · 2′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSam Field · Queens Park Rangers · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRyan Manning · Southampton · 27′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIlias Chair · Queens Park Rangers · 24′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKoki Saito · Queens Park Rangers · 33′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTaylor Harwood-Bellis · Southampton · 47′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJimmy Dunne · Queens Park Rangers · 49′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPaul Smyth · Queens Park Rangers · 62′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKaramoko Dembélé · Queens Park Rangers · 85′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKaramoko Dembélé · Queens Park Rangers · 88′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFlynn Downes · Southampton · 74′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedNicolas Madsen · Queens Park Rangers · 13′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLiam Morrison · Queens Park Rangers · 14′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Varane · Queens Park Rangers · 45′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJay Robinson · Southampton · 55′ · 0.13 xG · goalRumarn Burrell · Queens Park Rangers · 90′ · 0.32 xG · on targetFlynn Downes · Southampton · 3′ · 0.33 xG · off target or blockedRumarn Burrell · Queens Park Rangers · 73′ · 0.64 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Queens Park Rangers: 20 shots, 5 on target, 1.66 xG. Southampton: 9 shots, 2 on target, 0.69 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Rumarn Burrell · Queens Park Rangers · 73′Jay Robinson · Southampton · 55′Leo Scienza · Southampton · 69′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Queens Park Rangers 1.66 xG · Southampton 0.69 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Queens Park Rangers
0Draws
2Southampton
Queens Park Rangers — Southampton · Championship0–1
Southampton — Queens Park Rangers · Championship2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Queens Park Rangers favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Southampton in 7

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Queens Park Rangers14 matchesSouthampton14 matches
1.21 goals/match ▲Goals scored14/141.07 goals/match
1.64 goals/matchGoals allowed14/14▲ 1.43 goals/match
1.23 xG/matchExpected goals14/14▲ 1.66 xG/match
13.2 shots/matchShots13/13▲ 14 shots/match
3.69 shots/matchShots on target13/13▲ 4.38 shots/match
49.7%Possession13/13● 57.4%
5 corners/matchCorners13/13● 5.54 corners/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls12/1212.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 5 Nov 2025, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsQueens Park RangersSouthampton
CompetitionChampionshipChampionship 2025/26
Head-to-headQueens Park Rangers — Southampton
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required