Championship · 2025Sun, 23 Nov 2025, 12:00 UTCFull timeHillsborough StadiumFull-time recap
03Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricSheffield WednesdaySheffield United
Shots5 shots/match11 shots/match
Shots on target0 shots/match7 shots/match
Expected goals0.29 xG/match2.27 xG/match
Possession59%41%
Corners4 corners/match7 corners/match
Fouls13 fouls/match8 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Tyrese Campbell · Sheffield United · 5′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAndre Brooks · Sheffield United · 88′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedThomas Cannon · Sheffield United · 90′ · 0.03 xG · goalSvante Ingelsson · Sheffield Wednesday · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCharlie McNeill · Sheffield Wednesday · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBen Mee · Sheffield United · 18′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMax Lowe · Sheffield Wednesday · 68′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTyrese Campbell · Sheffield United · 47′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSvante Ingelsson · Sheffield Wednesday · 3′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedYan Valery · Sheffield Wednesday · 69′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAndre Brooks · Sheffield United · 75′ · 0.10 xG · on targetTyrese Campbell · Sheffield United · 48′ · 0.13 xG · goalTyrese Campbell · Sheffield United · 11′ · 0.22 xG · goalDanny Ings · Sheffield United · 17′ · 0.24 xG · on targetThomas Cannon · Sheffield United · 87′ · 0.67 xG · on targetPatrick Bamford · Sheffield United · 89′ · 0.72 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Sheffield Wednesday: 5 shots, 0 on target, 0.29 xG. Sheffield United: 11 shots, 7 on target, 2.28 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Tyrese Campbell · Sheffield United · 11′Tyrese Campbell · Sheffield United · 48′Thomas Cannon · Sheffield United · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Sheffield Wednesday 0.29 xG · Sheffield United 2.28 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Sheffield United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Sheffield United's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Sheffield United's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sheffield United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season0.88 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match0.88 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Sheffield United have a visible away split

moderate

Sheffield United's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.88 shots/matchShotsAway only · Season12.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.88 shots/match12.5 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Sheffield Wednesday favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Sheffield United in 9 · 5 too close

0.75 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 16/160.88 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 16/161.63 goals/match
1.06 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 16/161.38 xG/match
1.82 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 16/161.23 xG/match
10.9 shots/matchShotsseason · 15/1512.5 shots/match
15.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 15/1512.9 shots/match
3.47 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 15/153.33 shots/match
6.13 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 15/154.4 shots/match
47.1%Possessionseason · 15/1553.5%
5.6 corners/matchCornersseason · 15/158.07 corners/match
6.13 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 15/153.93 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
12.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 14/1411.9 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
13%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 16/1625%
56%Scoring frequencyseason · 16/1656%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Sheffield Wednesday31.2
Sheffield United68.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 94%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Sheffield Wednesday11.8
Sheffield United22.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 96%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Sheffield Wednesday4.9
Sheffield United21.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 96%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Sheffield Wednesday22.9
Sheffield United27.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 94%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Sheffield Wednesday91.7
Sheffield United81.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 44%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Sheffield Wednesday81.2
Sheffield United97.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 94%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Sheffield Wednesday51.6
Sheffield United59.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 92%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.4 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.8 goals/match
0.93 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.87 xG/match
10.6 shots/matchShots5/513.8 shots/match
3.2 shots/matchShots on target5/54.4 shots/match
53.4%Possession5/551.8%
5.8 corners/matchCorners5/59.4 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.6 fouls/matchFouls5/59.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
0.7 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.3 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.3 goals/match
0.99 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.66 xG/match
10.3 shots/matchShots9/912.7 shots/match
3.11 shots/matchShots on target9/94.11 shots/match
50.9%Possession9/950.3%
6.11 corners/matchCorners9/98 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.9 fouls/matchFouls8/811.1 fouls/match

Window

Season

16 / 16 matches
0.75 goals/matchGoals scored16/160.88 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed16/161.63 goals/match
1.06 xG/matchExpected goals16/161.38 xG/match
10.9 shots/matchShots15/1512.5 shots/match
3.47 shots/matchShots on target15/153.33 shots/match
47.1%Possession15/1553.5%
5.6 corners/matchCorners15/158.07 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.2 fouls/matchFouls14/1411.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

9 / 9 matches
0.33 goals/matchGoals scored9/91.11 goals/match
2.33 goals/matchGoals allowed9/91.67 goals/match
1.05 xG/matchExpected goals9/91.26 xG/match
11.3 shots/matchShots8/89.88 shots/match
2.75 shots/matchShots on target8/82.75 shots/match
51.8%Possession8/849%
6.38 corners/matchCorners8/87.38 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.4 fouls/matchFouls8/812.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

14.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/114.9 days
0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 23 Nov 2025, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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