PitchMath
Championship · 2025Loftus Road Stadium

Queens Park Rangers 3–2 Hull City · Championship

3–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Queens Park Rangers won 3–2.

Shots
268
Shots on target
84
Expected goals
3.021.12
Possession
42%58%

Full time

What the match recorded

Queens Park Rangers beat Hull City 3–2. Recorded in this match (Queens Park Rangers – Hull City): shots 26–8, shots on target 8–4, expected goals 3.02–1.12, possession 42%–58%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Queens Park Rangers show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Queens Park Rangers's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14 shots/match ▲ShotsQueens Park Rangers · Hull City11.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricQueens Park RangersHull CityBaseline
Shots14 shots/match11.5 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against12.5 shots/match16.3 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Queens Park Rangers's recent record differs from the season

weak

Queens Park Rangers's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.25 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.25 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Queens Park Rangers have a visible home split

moderate

Queens Park Rangers's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.4 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season14 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.4 shots/match14 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots26 shots8 shotsQueens Park Rangers 26 shots, Hull City 8 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots4 shotsQueens Park Rangers 8 shots, Hull City 4 shots
  • Expected goals3.02 xG1.12 xGQueens Park Rangers 3.02 xG, Hull City 1.12 xG
  • Possession42%58%Queens Park Rangers 42%, Hull City 58%
  • Corners9 corners5 cornersQueens Park Rangers 9 corners, Hull City 5 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls9 foulsQueens Park Rangers 8 fouls, Hull City 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Karamoko Dembélé · Queens Park Rangers · 37′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIlias Chair · Queens Park Rangers · 41′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRyan Giles · Hull City · 73′ · 0.01 xG · on targetJimmy Dunne · Queens Park Rangers · 2′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKaramoko Dembélé · Queens Park Rangers · 2′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIlias Chair · Queens Park Rangers · 29′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAmadou Salif Mbengue · Queens Park Rangers · 38′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJoe Gelhardt · Hull City · 85′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKaramoko Dembélé · Queens Park Rangers · 13′ · 0.03 xG · on targetNicolas Madsen · Queens Park Rangers · 23′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKaramoko Dembélé · Queens Park Rangers · 56′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRumarn Burrell · Queens Park Rangers · 87′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIlias Chair · Queens Park Rangers · 40′ · 0.04 xG · on targetSteve Cook · Queens Park Rangers · 75′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRhys Norrington-Davies · Queens Park Rangers · 41′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJoe Gelhardt · Hull City · 17′ · 0.06 xG · goalIlias Chair · Queens Park Rangers · 53′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRhys Norrington-Davies · Queens Park Rangers · 60′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJoel Ndala · Hull City · 65′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedIlias Chair · Queens Park Rangers · 59′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedKaramoko Dembélé · Queens Park Rangers · 38′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDarko Gyabi · Hull City · 89′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedIlias Chair · Queens Park Rangers · 66′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedJoel Ndala · Hull City · 71′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedJimmy Dunne · Queens Park Rangers · 55′ · 0.19 xG · goalRumarn Burrell · Queens Park Rangers · 53′ · 0.20 xG · on targetRichard Kone · Queens Park Rangers · 21′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedRayan Kolli · Queens Park Rangers · 81′ · 0.23 xG · on targetEnis Destan · Hull City · 51′ · 0.25 xG · goalRichard Kone · Queens Park Rangers · 7′ · 0.37 xG · off target or blockedRumarn Burrell · Queens Park Rangers · 7′ · 0.40 xG · on targetIlias Chair · Queens Park Rangers · 38′ · 0.40 xG · goalKyle Joseph · Hull City · 77′ · 0.46 xG · on targetRumarn Burrell · Queens Park Rangers · 66′ · 0.49 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Queens Park Rangers: 26 shots, 8 on target, 3.24 xG. Hull City: 8 shots, 4 on target, 1.08 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Ilias Chair · Queens Park Rangers · 38′Jimmy Dunne · Queens Park Rangers · 55′Rumarn Burrell · Queens Park Rangers · 66′Joe Gelhardt · Hull City · 17′Enis Destan · Hull City · 51′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Queens Park Rangers 3.24 xG · Hull City 1.08 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Queens Park Rangers
0Draws
3Hull City
Hull City — Queens Park Rangers · Championship1–2
Queens Park Rangers — Hull City · Championship1–3
Hull City — Queens Park Rangers · Championship3–0
Queens Park Rangers — Hull City · Championship2–0
Hull City — Queens Park Rangers · Championship3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Queens Park Rangers favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Hull City in 4

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Queens Park Rangers16 matchesHull City16 matches
1.25 goals/matchGoals scored16/16▲ 1.75 goals/match
1.56 goals/match ▲Goals allowed16/161.69 goals/match
1.31 xG/matchExpected goals16/16▲ 1.38 xG/match
14 shots/match ▲Shots15/1511.5 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target15/15▲ 4.47 shots/match
48.5% ●Possession15/1547.4%
5.27 corners/match ●Corners15/154.6 corners/match
10.7 fouls/matchFouls14/1510.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 22 Nov 2025, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsQueens Park RangersHull City
CompetitionChampionshipChampionship 2025/26
Head-to-headQueens Park Rangers — Hull City
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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