Championship · 2025Tue, 9 Dec 2025, 19:45 UTCFull timeBramall LaneFull-time recap
11Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricSheffield UnitedNorwich City
Shots17 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match6 shots/match
Expected goals2.9 xG/match1.26 xG/match
Possession45%55%
Corners6 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls13 fouls/match13 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Kenny McLean · Norwich City · 20′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Bamford · Sheffield United · 70′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRuairi McConville · Norwich City · 14′ · 0.02 xG · on targetTahith Chong · Sheffield United · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedForson Amankwah · Norwich City · 76′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJacob Wright · Norwich City · 4′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOscar Schwartau · Norwich City · 16′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKellen Fisher · Norwich City · 16′ · 0.03 xG · on targetGustavo Hamer · Sheffield United · 69′ · 0.03 xG · on targetForson Amankwah · Norwich City · 86′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCallum O'Hare · Sheffield United · 21′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHarrison Burrows · Sheffield United · 30′ · 0.04 xG · on targetDjibril Soumaré · Sheffield United · 64′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDjibril Soumaré · Sheffield United · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDanny Ings · Sheffield United · 61′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedOliver Arblaster · Sheffield United · 43′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDanny Ings · Sheffield United · 49′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedRuairi McConville · Norwich City · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJosh Sargent · Norwich City · 25′ · 0.09 xG · on targetCallum O'Hare · Sheffield United · 21′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedTyrese Campbell · Sheffield United · 90′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedThomas Cannon · Sheffield United · 2′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedThomas Cannon · Sheffield United · 10′ · 0.18 xG · on targetDanny Ings · Sheffield United · 45′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedKenny McLean · Norwich City · 16′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedOscar Schwartau · Norwich City · 18′ · 0.20 xG · on targetJosh Sargent · Norwich City · 18′ · 0.27 xG · on targetForson Amankwah · Norwich City · 90′ · 0.30 xG · on targetDjibril Soumaré · Norwich City · 65′ · 0.34 xG · goalDanny Ings · Sheffield United · 50′ · 0.83 xG · goalDanny Ings · Sheffield United · 31′ · 0.87 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Sheffield United: 17 shots, 4 on target, 2.88 xG. Norwich City: 14 shots, 7 on target, 1.64 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Danny Ings · Sheffield United · 50′Djibril Soumaré · Norwich City · 65′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Sheffield United 2.88 xG · Norwich City 1.64 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Sheffield United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Sheffield United, Norwich City. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Sheffield United's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sheffield United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.8 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.25 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.8 goals/match1.25 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Sheffield United, Norwich City.

3.2 daysRest daysSheffield United · Norwich City3.3 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricSheffield UnitedNorwich CityBaseline
Rest days3.2 days3.3 days
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Sheffield United have a visible home split

moderate

Sheffield United's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.9 shots/matchShotsHome only · Season13.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.9 shots/match13.2 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Sheffield United favored in 9 of 14 directional metrics · Norwich City in 2 · 3 too close

1.25 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 20/201.1 goals/match
1.45 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 20/201.65 goals/match
1.53 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 20/201.32 xG/match
1.11 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 20/201.74 xG/match
13.2 shots/matchShotsseason · 19/1912.3 shots/match
12.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 19/1914.8 shots/match
3.68 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 19/194 shots/match
4.11 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 19/194.84 shots/match
51.7%Possessionseason · 19/1951.8%
8 corners/matchCornersseason · 19/194.79 corners/match
3.89 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 19/195.74 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
11.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 18/199.21 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
30%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 20/205%
65%Scoring frequencyseason · 20/2080%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Sheffield United52.1
Norwich City56.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 95%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Sheffield United45.1
Norwich City45.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Sheffield United42.4
Norwich City12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Sheffield United56.2
Norwich City35.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 95%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Sheffield United68.8
Norwich City6.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 45%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Sheffield United97.9
Norwich City39.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 95%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Sheffield United65.6
Norwich City39.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 94%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.6 goals/match
0.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/52 goals/match
2.17 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.43 xG/match
15 shots/matchShots5/514.6 shots/match
5.4 shots/matchShots on target5/55.4 shots/match
44.2%Possession5/551.4%
7.6 corners/matchCorners5/56.4 corners/match
Cards0/0
9 fouls/matchFouls5/57.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
2.1 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.1 goals/match
1.3 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.8 goals/match
1.92 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.39 xG/match
14.8 shots/matchShots9/912.9 shots/match
4.67 shots/matchShots on target9/94.33 shots/match
48.8%Possession9/951.4%
8.67 corners/matchCorners9/95.67 corners/match
Cards0/0
9.56 fouls/matchFouls9/99.22 fouls/match

Window

Season

20 / 20 matches
1.25 goals/matchGoals scored20/201.1 goals/match
1.45 goals/matchGoals allowed20/201.65 goals/match
1.53 xG/matchExpected goals20/201.32 xG/match
13.2 shots/matchShots19/1912.3 shots/match
3.68 shots/matchShots on target19/194 shots/match
51.7%Possession19/1951.8%
8 corners/matchCorners19/194.79 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.3 fouls/matchFouls18/199.21 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

10 / 11 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored10/111.18 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/111.64 goals/match
1.83 xG/matchExpected goals10/111.31 xG/match
15.9 shots/matchShots10/1011 shots/match
4.5 shots/matchShots on target10/103.9 shots/match
55.9%Possession10/1048.3%
8.4 corners/matchCorners10/104.2 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.3 fouls/matchFouls9/109.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.2 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.3 days
3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 9 Dec 2025, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

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