Championship · 2025Fri, 12 Dec 2025, 20:00 UTCFull timeThe HawthornsFull-time recap
20Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricWest Bromwich AlbionSheffield United
Shots16 shots/match11 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match3 shots/match
Expected goals2.57 xG/match1.15 xG/match
Possession48%52%
Corners8 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls8 fouls/match10 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Gustavo Hamer · Sheffield United · 12′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedMark McGuinness · Sheffield United · 9′ · 0.01 xG · on targetIsaac Price · West Bromwich Albion · 80′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Price · West Bromwich Albion · 54′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKrystian Bielik · West Bromwich Albion · 70′ · 0.02 xG · on targetIsaac Price · West Bromwich Albion · 75′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMikey Johnston · West Bromwich Albion · 42′ · 0.04 xG · on targetThomas Cannon · Sheffield United · 84′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedOliver Arblaster · Sheffield United · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAune Selland Heggebø · West Bromwich Albion · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDjibril Soumaré · Sheffield United · 42′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAune Selland Heggebø · West Bromwich Albion · 47′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Iling Junior · West Bromwich Albion · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJayson Molumby · West Bromwich Albion · 58′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedKarlan Grant · West Bromwich Albion · 61′ · 0.09 xG · goalTyrese Campbell · Sheffield United · 32′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Bamford · Sheffield United · 79′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedGustavo Hamer · Sheffield United · 8′ · 0.12 xG · on targetPatrick Bamford · Sheffield United · 42′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMikey Johnston · West Bromwich Albion · 18′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Diakité · West Bromwich Albion · 59′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Price · West Bromwich Albion · 67′ · 0.22 xG · on targetDanny Ings · Sheffield United · 88′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Diakité · West Bromwich Albion · 66′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Bamford · Sheffield United · 35′ · 0.28 xG · on targetAune Selland Heggebø · West Bromwich Albion · 50′ · 0.52 xG · goalOusmane Diakité · West Bromwich Albion · 18′ · 0.63 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

West Bromwich Albion: 16 shots, 5 on target, 2.53 xG. Sheffield United: 11 shots, 3 on target, 1.14 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Aune Selland Heggebø · West Bromwich Albion · 50′Karlan Grant · West Bromwich Albion · 61′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: West Bromwich Albion 2.53 xG · Sheffield United 1.14 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Sheffield United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for West Bromwich Albion, Sheffield United. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Sheffield United's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sheffield United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.19 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.19 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for West Bromwich Albion, Sheffield United.

3.01 daysRest daysWest Bromwich Albion · Sheffield United3.01 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricWest Bromwich AlbionSheffield UnitedBaseline
Rest days3.01 days3.01 days
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Sheffield United have a visible away split

moderate

Sheffield United's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.3 shots/matchShotsAway only · Season13.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.3 shots/match13.1 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

West Bromwich Albion favored in 7 of 14 directional metrics · Sheffield United in 2 · 5 too close

1.19 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 21/211.19 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 21/211.48 goals/match
1.22 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 21/211.51 xG/match
1.16 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 21/211.18 xG/match
14 shots/matchShotsseason · 21/2013.1 shots/match
11.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 21/2012.5 shots/match
4.29 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 21/203.65 shots/match
3.67 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 21/204.15 shots/match
51.9%Possessionseason · 21/2051.7%
5.24 corners/matchCornersseason · 21/207.8 corners/match
3.76 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 21/204.1 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
9.52 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 21/1911.2 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
24%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 21/2129%
76%Scoring frequencyseason · 21/2162%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

West Bromwich Albion60.4
Sheffield United52.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 95%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

West Bromwich Albion62.5
Sheffield United41.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

West Bromwich Albion63.9
Sheffield United42.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

West Bromwich Albion68.8
Sheffield United52.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 95%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

West Bromwich Albion14.6
Sheffield United68.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 45%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

West Bromwich Albion56.2
Sheffield United97.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 95%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

West Bromwich Albion56.2
Sheffield United64.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 94%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/52.2 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51 goals/match
1.58 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.94 xG/match
17.2 shots/matchShots5/515 shots/match
6.2 shots/matchShots on target5/54.6 shots/match
50.6%Possession5/546.4%
6 corners/matchCorners5/57 corners/match
Cards0/0
8.8 fouls/matchFouls5/59.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.3 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.8 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.4 goals/match
1.4 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.91 xG/match
15.5 shots/matchShots10/1014.4 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target10/104.5 shots/match
50.6%Possession10/1049.1%
5.8 corners/matchCorners10/108.2 corners/match
Cards0/0
9.6 fouls/matchFouls10/109.6 fouls/match

Window

Season

21 / 21 matches
1.19 goals/matchGoals scored21/211.19 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed21/211.48 goals/match
1.22 xG/matchExpected goals21/211.51 xG/match
14 shots/matchShots21/2013.1 shots/match
4.29 shots/matchShots on target21/203.65 shots/match
51.9%Possession21/2051.7%
5.24 corners/matchCorners21/207.8 corners/match
Cards0/0
9.52 fouls/matchFouls21/1911.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

10 / 11 matches
1.3 goals/matchGoals scored10/111.18 goals/match
0.8 goals/matchGoals allowed10/111.73 goals/match
1.37 xG/matchExpected goals10/111.22 xG/match
16.5 shots/matchShots10/1010.3 shots/match
5.4 shots/matchShots on target10/102.8 shots/match
54.5%Possession10/1047.5%
6.4 corners/matchCorners10/107.2 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.3 fouls/matchFouls10/1012 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.01 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.01 days
3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 13 Dec 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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