Championship · 2025St. Mary's Stadium

Southampton 3–2 West Bromwich Albion · Championship

3–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Southampton won 3–2.

Shots
818
Shots on target
47
Expected goals
0.971.34
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Southampton beat West Bromwich Albion 3–2. Recorded in this match (Southampton – West Bromwich Albion): shots 8–18, shots on target 4–7, expected goals 0.97–1.34, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Southampton's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Southampton's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.7 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for3.2 goals/match1.7 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Southampton, West Bromwich Albion.

3.2 days ▲Rest daysSouthampton · West Bromwich Albion3.2 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricSouthamptonWest Bromwich AlbionBaseline
Rest days3.2 days3.2 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

West Bromwich Albion have a visible away split

moderate

West Bromwich Albion's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.7 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.7 shots/match13.9 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots18 shotsSouthampton 8 shots, West Bromwich Albion 18 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots7 shotsSouthampton 4 shots, West Bromwich Albion 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.97 xG1.34 xGSouthampton 0.97 xG, West Bromwich Albion 1.34 xG
  • Possession55%45%Southampton 55%, West Bromwich Albion 45%
  • Corners2 corners9 cornersSouthampton 2 corners, West Bromwich Albion 9 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls13 foulsSouthampton 12 fouls, West Bromwich Albion 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Leo Scienza · Southampton · 20′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKarlan Grant · West Bromwich Albion · 62′ · 0.01 xG · goalKarlan Grant · West Bromwich Albion · 11′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCallum Styles · West Bromwich Albion · 16′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKarlan Grant · West Bromwich Albion · 61′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJay Robinson · Southampton · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Price · West Bromwich Albion · 40′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Price · West Bromwich Albion · 37′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCameron Archer · Southampton · 67′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAdam Armstrong · Southampton · 6′ · 0.05 xG · on targetLeo Scienza · Southampton · 12′ · 0.05 xG · goalKarlan Grant · West Bromwich Albion · 27′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNathaniel Phillips · West Bromwich Albion · 37′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedNathaniel Phillips · West Bromwich Albion · 81′ · 0.06 xG · on targetIsaac Price · West Bromwich Albion · 63′ · 0.07 xG · on targetCallum Styles · West Bromwich Albion · 21′ · 0.08 xG · on targetJayson Molumby · West Bromwich Albion · 81′ · 0.08 xG · on targetIsaac Price · West Bromwich Albion · 82′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedCaspar Jander · Southampton · 29′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Price · West Bromwich Albion · 27′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Iling Junior · West Bromwich Albion · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedKrystian Bielik · West Bromwich Albion · 80′ · 0.11 xG · on targetIsaac Price · West Bromwich Albion · 58′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedAdam Armstrong · Southampton · 35′ · 0.17 xG · goalNathaniel Phillips · West Bromwich Albion · 86′ · 0.28 xG · goalAdam Armstrong · Southampton · 17′ · 0.56 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Southampton: 8 shots, 4 on target, 0.99 xG. West Bromwich Albion: 18 shots, 7 on target, 1.34 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Leo Scienza · Southampton · 12′Adam Armstrong · Southampton · 17′Adam Armstrong · Southampton · 35′Karlan Grant · West Bromwich Albion · 62′Nathaniel Phillips · West Bromwich Albion · 86′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Southampton 0.99 xG · West Bromwich Albion 1.34 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Southampton
1Draws
0West Bromwich Albion
Southampton — West Bromwich Albion · Championship3–1
West Bromwich Albion — Southampton · Championship0–0
West Bromwich Albion — Southampton · Championship0–2
Southampton — West Bromwich Albion · Championship2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Southampton favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · West Bromwich Albion in 4 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Southampton20 matchesWest Bromwich Albion20 matches
1.7 goals/match ▲Goals scored20/201.15 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed20/201.4 goals/match
1.78 xG/match ▲Expected goals20/201.16 xG/match
14.3 shots/matchShots19/2013.9 shots/match
5.26 shots/match ▲Shots on target19/204.25 shots/match
55.9% ●Possession19/2052.1%
5.58 corners/match ●Corners19/205.1 corners/match
10.9 fouls/matchFouls18/209.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 9 Dec 2025, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

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