Championship · 2025Ewood Park

Blackburn Rovers 1–1 Oxford United · Championship

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Blackburn Rovers and Oxford United drew 1–1.

Shots
166
Shots on target
51
Expected goals
2.280.29
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Blackburn Rovers and Oxford United drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Blackburn Rovers – Oxford United): shots 16–6, shots on target 5–1, expected goals 2.28–0.29, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Blackburn Rovers, Oxford United.

7 days ▲Rest daysBlackburn Rovers · Oxford United3.2 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricBlackburn RoversOxford UnitedBaseline
Rest days7 days3.2 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Oxford United's recent record differs from the season

weak

Oxford United's last-five shots average is below their season average.

10.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots10.4 shots/match12.9 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Oxford United have a visible away split

moderate

Oxford United's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.9 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.9 shots/match12.9 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots6 shotsBlackburn Rovers 16 shots, Oxford United 6 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots1 shotBlackburn Rovers 5 shots, Oxford United 1 shot
  • Expected goals2.28 xG0.29 xGBlackburn Rovers 2.28 xG, Oxford United 0.29 xG
  • Possession55%45%Blackburn Rovers 55%, Oxford United 45%
  • Corners9 corners3 cornersBlackburn Rovers 9 corners, Oxford United 3 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls14 foulsBlackburn Rovers 9 fouls, Oxford United 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Moussa Baradji · Blackburn Rovers · 87′ · 0.01 xG · on targetGreg Leigh · Oxford United · 8′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedWill Vaulks · Oxford United · 11′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSidnei Tavares · Blackburn Rovers · 54′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTodd Cantwell · Blackburn Rovers · 69′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTaylor Gardner-Hickman · Blackburn Rovers · 33′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTyler Goodrham · Oxford United · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLewis Miller · Blackburn Rovers · 37′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMichał Helik · Oxford United · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRyoya Morishita · Blackburn Rovers · 75′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAndri Guðjohnsen · Blackburn Rovers · 56′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedTaylor Gardner-Hickman · Blackburn Rovers · 11′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLewis Miller · Blackburn Rovers · 14′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRyan Alebiosu · Blackburn Rovers · 22′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMark Harris · Oxford United · 44′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedCiaron Brown · Oxford United · 45′ · 0.09 xG · goalSean McLoughlin · Blackburn Rovers · 84′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedRyoya Morishita · Blackburn Rovers · 76′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedLewis Miller · Blackburn Rovers · 48′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedTaylor Gardner-Hickman · Blackburn Rovers · 11′ · 0.21 xG · on targetYuki Ohashi · Blackburn Rovers · 51′ · 0.43 xG · on targetTodd Cantwell · Blackburn Rovers · 78′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Blackburn Rovers: 16 shots, 5 on target, 2.38 xG. Oxford United: 6 shots, 1 on target, 0.29 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Todd Cantwell · Blackburn Rovers · 78′Ciaron Brown · Oxford United · 45′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Blackburn Rovers 2.38 xG · Oxford United 0.29 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Blackburn Rovers
0Draws
1Oxford United
Oxford United — Blackburn Rovers · Championship1–0
Blackburn Rovers — Oxford United · Championship2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Blackburn Rovers favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Oxford United in 0 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Blackburn Rovers19 matchesOxford United20 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored19/201.05 goals/match
1.26 goals/match ▲Goals allowed19/201.4 goals/match
1.46 xG/match ▲Expected goals19/201.07 xG/match
12.6 shots/matchShots18/1912.9 shots/match
3.72 shots/matchShots on target18/193.74 shots/match
49.4% ●Possession18/1942.1%
6.06 corners/match ●Corners18/193.63 corners/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls18/1811.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 9 Dec 2025, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

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