Championship · 2025Swansea.com Stadium

Swansea City 2–0 Oxford United · Championship

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Swansea City won 2–0.

Shots
1512
Shots on target
44
Expected goals
0.891.41
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Swansea City beat Oxford United 2–0. Recorded in this match (Swansea City – Oxford United): shots 15–12, shots on target 4–4, expected goals 0.89–1.41, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Oxford United's recent record differs from the season

weak

Oxford United's last-five shots average is below their season average.

11 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots11 shots/match13.3 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Oxford United.

7 days ▲Rest daysSwansea City · Oxford United7.79 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricSwansea CityOxford UnitedBaseline
Rest days7 days7.79 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Swansea City have recorded the higher season possession share.

54.9% ●PossessionSwansea City · Oxford United41.9%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.9 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricSwansea CityOxford UnitedBaseline
Possession54.9%41.9%50.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots12 shotsSwansea City 15 shots, Oxford United 12 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots4 shotsSwansea City 4 shots, Oxford United 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.89 xG1.41 xGSwansea City 0.89 xG, Oxford United 1.41 xG
  • Possession51%49%Swansea City 51%, Oxford United 49%
  • Corners10 corners2 cornersSwansea City 10 corners, Oxford United 2 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls13 foulsSwansea City 8 fouls, Oxford United 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Will Vaulks · Oxford United · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJosh Tymon · Swansea City · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBrian De Keersmaecker · Oxford United · 90′ · 0.01 xG · on targetEthan Galbraith · Swansea City · 76′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJosh Tymon · Swansea City · 9′ · 0.03 xG · on targetŽan Vipotnik · Swansea City · 18′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJosh Tymon · Swansea City · 45′ · 0.03 xG · goalMarko Stamenić · Swansea City · 65′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedWill Lankshear · Oxford United · 74′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBrian De Keersmaecker · Oxford United · 88′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJi-sung Eom · Swansea City · 48′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedŽan Vipotnik · Swansea City · 65′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFilip Krastev · Oxford United · 51′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBrian De Keersmaecker · Oxford United · 62′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedEthan Galbraith · Swansea City · 80′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedStanley Mills · Oxford United · 9′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedBen Cabango · Swansea City · 67′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedWill Lankshear · Oxford United · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedEthan Galbraith · Swansea City · 38′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJi-sung Eom · Swansea City · 59′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLiam Cullen · Swansea City · 82′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedOle Romeny · Oxford United · 87′ · 0.13 xG · on targetMarko Stamenić · Swansea City · 40′ · 0.15 xG · goalBen Cabango · Swansea City · 11′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedCiaron Brown · Oxford United · 29′ · 0.17 xG · on targetWill Lankshear · Oxford United · 66′ · 0.39 xG · off target or blockedMichał Helik · Oxford United · 54′ · 0.47 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Swansea City: 15 shots, 4 on target, 0.89 xG. Oxford United: 12 shots, 4 on target, 1.46 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Marko Stamenić · Swansea City · 40′Josh Tymon · Swansea City · 45′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Swansea City 0.89 xG · Oxford United 1.46 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Swansea City
1Draws
0Oxford United
Swansea City — Oxford United · Championship3–3
Oxford United — Swansea City · Championship1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Swansea City favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Oxford United in 4 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Swansea City19 matchesOxford United19 matches
1.05 goals/matchGoals scored19/191.05 goals/match
1.42 goals/matchGoals allowed19/191.42 goals/match
0.78 xG/matchExpected goals19/19▲ 1.12 xG/match
10.7 shots/matchShots18/18▲ 13.3 shots/match
3.44 shots/matchShots on target18/18▲ 3.89 shots/match
54.9% ●Possession18/1841.9%
4.61 corners/match ●Corners18/183.67 corners/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls17/1711 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 6 Dec 2025, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

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