Championship · 2025Carrow Road

Norwich City 2–1 Southampton · Championship

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Norwich City won 2–1.

Shots
1612
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
1.332.12
Possession
37%63%

Full time

What the match recorded

Norwich City beat Southampton 2–1. Recorded in this match (Norwich City – Southampton): shots 16–12, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 1.33–2.12, possession 37%–63%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Norwich City's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Norwich City's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.14 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.14 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Norwich City, Southampton.

3.7 days ▲Rest daysNorwich City · Southampton3.7 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricNorwich CitySouthamptonBaseline
Rest days3.7 days3.7 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Southampton show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Southampton's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.5 shots/match ▲ShotsNorwich City · Southampton14.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricNorwich CitySouthamptonBaseline
Shots12.5 shots/match14.2 shots/match12.6 shots/match
Shots against14.7 shots/match12.7 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots12 shotsNorwich City 16 shots, Southampton 12 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsNorwich City 5 shots, Southampton 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.33 xG2.12 xGNorwich City 1.33 xG, Southampton 2.12 xG
  • Possession37%63%Norwich City 37%, Southampton 63%
  • Corners6 corners5 cornersNorwich City 6 corners, Southampton 5 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls10 foulsNorwich City 15 fouls, Southampton 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Harry Darling · Norwich City · 48′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPelle Mattsson · Norwich City · 53′ · 0.01 xG · on targetFinn Azaz · Southampton · 10′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBen Chrisene · Norwich City · 16′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLeo Scienza · Southampton · 44′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedForson Amankwah · Norwich City · 52′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRyan Manning · Southampton · 79′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRyan Manning · Southampton · 57′ · 0.03 xG · goalForson Amankwah · Norwich City · 5′ · 0.04 xG · on targetNathan Wood · Southampton · 27′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAdam Armstrong · Southampton · 30′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedForson Amankwah · Norwich City · 47′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJacob Wright · Norwich City · 51′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHarry Darling · Norwich City · 61′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNathan Wood · Southampton · 7′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedForson Amankwah · Norwich City · 18′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedEmiliano Marcondes · Norwich City · 89′ · 0.05 xG · on targetFinn Azaz · Southampton · 7′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedForson Amankwah · Norwich City · 47′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJovon Makama · Norwich City · 39′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedEmiliano Marcondes · Norwich City · 81′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedLeo Scienza · Southampton · 2′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedJacob Wright · Norwich City · 19′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedJovon Makama · Norwich City · 48′ · 0.27 xG · goalAdam Armstrong · Southampton · 59′ · 0.31 xG · on targetJovon Makama · Norwich City · 61′ · 0.32 xG · goalFlynn Downes · Southampton · 2′ · 0.53 xG · on targetAdam Armstrong · Southampton · 27′ · 0.82 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Norwich City: 16 shots, 5 on target, 1.33 xG. Southampton: 12 shots, 4 on target, 2.06 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Jovon Makama · Norwich City · 48′Jovon Makama · Norwich City · 61′Ryan Manning · Southampton · 57′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Norwich City 1.33 xG · Southampton 2.06 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Norwich City
2Draws
1Southampton
Norwich City — Southampton · Championship1–1
Southampton — Norwich City · Championship4–4
Southampton — Norwich City · Premier League2–0
Norwich City — Southampton · Premier League2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Norwich City favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Southampton in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Norwich City21 matchesSouthampton21 matches
1.14 goals/matchGoals scored21/21▲ 1.67 goals/match
1.62 goals/matchGoals allowed21/21▲ 1.43 goals/match
1.32 xG/matchExpected goals21/21▲ 1.79 xG/match
12.5 shots/matchShots20/20▲ 14.2 shots/match
4.05 shots/matchShots on target20/20▲ 5.2 shots/match
51.1%Possession20/20● 56.3%
4.85 corners/matchCorners20/20● 5.55 corners/match
9.5 fouls/matchFouls20/1910.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 13 Dec 2025, 16:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

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