PitchMath
Championship · 2025Fratton Park

Portsmouth 1–1 Queens Park Rangers · Championship

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Portsmouth and Queens Park Rangers drew 1–1.

Shots
88
Shots on target
23
Expected goals
0.530.47
Possession
67%33%

Full time

What the match recorded

Portsmouth and Queens Park Rangers drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Portsmouth – Queens Park Rangers): shots 8–8, shots on target 2–3, expected goals 0.53–0.47, possession 67%–33%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Queens Park Rangers's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Queens Park Rangers's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.43 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.43 goals/match1.35 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Portsmouth have a visible home split

strong

Portsmouth's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.9 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.9 shots/match11.5 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots8 shotsPortsmouth 8 shots, Queens Park Rangers 8 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots3 shotsPortsmouth 2 shots, Queens Park Rangers 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.53 xG0.47 xGPortsmouth 0.53 xG, Queens Park Rangers 0.47 xG
  • Possession67%33%Portsmouth 67%, Queens Park Rangers 33%
  • Corners9 corners3 cornersPortsmouth 9 corners, Queens Park Rangers 3 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls14 foulsPortsmouth 9 fouls, Queens Park Rangers 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Callum Lang · Portsmouth · 80′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAmadou Salif Mbengue · Queens Park Rangers · 84′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedColby Bishop · Portsmouth · 22′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKaramoko Dembélé · Queens Park Rangers · 55′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRichard Kone · Queens Park Rangers · 79′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedConor Chaplin · Portsmouth · 13′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedColby Bishop · Portsmouth · 43′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRichard Kone · Queens Park Rangers · 76′ · 0.04 xG · on targetRumarn Burrell · Queens Park Rangers · 49′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedHarvey Blair · Portsmouth · 8′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedColby Bishop · Portsmouth · 73′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJimmy Dunne · Queens Park Rangers · 83′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedTerry Devlin · Portsmouth · 45′ · 0.11 xG · goalJimmy Dunne · Queens Park Rangers · 61′ · 0.11 xG · goalRichard Kone · Queens Park Rangers · 58′ · 0.12 xG · on targetColby Bishop · Portsmouth · 30′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Portsmouth: 8 shots, 2 on target, 0.53 xG. Queens Park Rangers: 8 shots, 3 on target, 0.47 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Terry Devlin · Portsmouth · 45′Jimmy Dunne · Queens Park Rangers · 61′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Portsmouth 0.53 xG · Queens Park Rangers 0.47 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Portsmouth
0Draws
0Queens Park Rangers
Portsmouth — Queens Park Rangers · Championship2–1
Queens Park Rangers — Portsmouth · Championship1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Portsmouth favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Queens Park Rangers in 8 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Portsmouth22 matchesQueens Park Rangers23 matches
0.86 goals/matchGoals scored22/23▲ 1.43 goals/match
1.32 goals/match ▲Goals allowed22/231.52 goals/match
1.07 xG/matchExpected goals22/23▲ 1.3 xG/match
11.5 shots/matchShots21/22▲ 13.2 shots/match
3.33 shots/matchShots on target21/22▲ 4.05 shots/match
49.5% ●Possession21/2246.2%
5.33 corners/match ●Corners21/224.91 corners/match
9.95 fouls/matchFouls21/2110.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples22 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 26 Dec 2025, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsPortsmouthQueens Park Rangers
CompetitionChampionshipChampionship 2025/26
Head-to-headPortsmouth — Queens Park Rangers
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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