Championship · 2025Fri, 26 Dec 2025, 15:00 UTCFull timeThe HawthornsFull-time recap
12Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricWest Bromwich AlbionBristol City
Shots16 shots/match6 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match3 shots/match
Expected goals1.59 xG/match0.74 xG/match
Possession65%35%
Corners9 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls14 fouls/match10 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Karlan Grant · West Bromwich Albion · 89′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMikey Johnston · West Bromwich Albion · 3′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Diakité · West Bromwich Albion · 26′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAdam Randell · Bristol City · 53′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAdam Randell · Bristol City · 58′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAnis Mehmeti · Bristol City · 4′ · 0.03 xG · goalAune Selland Heggebø · West Bromwich Albion · 72′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCallum Styles · West Bromwich Albion · 74′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Price · West Bromwich Albion · 14′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAnis Mehmeti · Bristol City · 21′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKarlan Grant · West Bromwich Albion · 49′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAune Selland Heggebø · West Bromwich Albion · 83′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRoss McCrorie · Bristol City · 22′ · 0.06 xG · goalKarlan Grant · West Bromwich Albion · 2′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedGeorge Campbell · West Bromwich Albion · 44′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedKarlan Grant · West Bromwich Albion · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedKarlan Grant · West Bromwich Albion · 61′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Price · West Bromwich Albion · 11′ · 0.10 xG · on targetOusmane Diakité · West Bromwich Albion · 85′ · 0.21 xG · goalOusmane Diakité · West Bromwich Albion · 14′ · 0.23 xG · on targetAune Selland Heggebø · West Bromwich Albion · 68′ · 0.49 xG · off target or blockedNeto Borges · Bristol City · 59′ · 0.53 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

West Bromwich Albion: 16 shots, 4 on target, 1.57 xG. Bristol City: 6 shots, 3 on target, 0.71 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Ousmane Diakité · West Bromwich Albion · 85′Anis Mehmeti · Bristol City · 4′Ross McCrorie · Bristol City · 22′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: West Bromwich Albion 1.57 xG · Bristol City 0.71 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: West Bromwich Albion's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. A second useful context is: West Bromwich Albion's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

West Bromwich Albion have a visible home split

moderate

West Bromwich Albion's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.5 shots/matchShotsHome only · Season14 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.5 shots/match14 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

West Bromwich Albion show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

West Bromwich Albion's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14 shots/matchShotsWest Bromwich Albion · Bristol City13.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricWest Bromwich AlbionBristol CityBaseline
Shots14 shots/match13.7 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against11.3 shots/match14 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

West Bromwich Albion favored in 4 of 14 directional metrics · Bristol City in 5 · 5 too close

1.13 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 23/231.39 goals/match
1.35 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 23/231.09 goals/match
1.24 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 23/231.37 xG/match
1.15 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 23/231.38 xG/match
14 shots/matchShotsseason · 23/2213.7 shots/match
11.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 23/2214 shots/match
4.13 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 23/224.36 shots/match
3.52 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 23/224.23 shots/match
52.7%Possessionseason · 23/2246.3%
5.3 corners/matchCornersseason · 23/225.27 corners/match
3.96 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 23/225.05 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
10 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 23/229.82 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
22%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 23/2335%
74%Scoring frequencyseason · 23/2374%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

West Bromwich Albion68.8
Bristol City27.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 96%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

West Bromwich Albion61.1
Bristol City71.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

West Bromwich Albion69.4
Bristol City47.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

West Bromwich Albion68.8
Bristol City89.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 96%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

West Bromwich Albion27.1
Bristol City16.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 48%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

West Bromwich Albion64.6
Bristol City58.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 96%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

West Bromwich Albion60.4
Bristol City56.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 96%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.2 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51 goals/match
1.66 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.37 xG/match
15.2 shots/matchShots5/513.6 shots/match
4.4 shots/matchShots on target5/56.6 shots/match
53.6%Possession5/546.8%
6.4 corners/matchCorners5/56 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.4 fouls/matchFouls5/59.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.1 goals/match
1.7 goals/matchGoals allowed10/100.9 goals/match
1.53 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.27 xG/match
16.1 shots/matchShots10/1013.3 shots/match
4.8 shots/matchShots on target10/105.3 shots/match
52%Possession10/1046.4%
5.7 corners/matchCorners10/105.3 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.2 fouls/matchFouls10/109.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

23 / 23 matches
1.13 goals/matchGoals scored23/231.39 goals/match
1.35 goals/matchGoals allowed23/231.09 goals/match
1.24 xG/matchExpected goals23/231.37 xG/match
14 shots/matchShots23/2213.7 shots/match
4.13 shots/matchShots on target23/224.36 shots/match
52.7%Possession23/2246.3%
5.3 corners/matchCorners23/225.27 corners/match
Cards0/0
10 fouls/matchFouls23/229.82 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

11 / 11 matches
1.27 goals/matchGoals scored11/111.27 goals/match
0.91 goals/matchGoals allowed11/111.09 goals/match
1.39 xG/matchExpected goals11/111.29 xG/match
16.5 shots/matchShots11/1113.1 shots/match
5.27 shots/matchShots on target11/114.82 shots/match
55.5%Possession11/1142.7%
6.64 corners/matchCorners11/115.18 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.6 fouls/matchFouls11/1110.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 26 Dec 2025, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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