PitchMath
Championship · 2025Ashton Gate

Bristol City 0–2 Preston North End · Championship

0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Preston North End won 0–2.

Shots
1112
Shots on target
23
Expected goals
0.421.08
Possession
64%36%

Full time

What the match recorded

Preston North End beat Bristol City 2–0. Recorded in this match (Bristol City – Preston North End): shots 11–12, shots on target 2–3, expected goals 0.42–1.08, possession 64%–36%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Bristol City's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Bristol City's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.46 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.46 goals/match1.37 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Bristol City, Preston North End.

3 days ▲Rest daysBristol City · Preston North End3 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricBristol CityPreston North EndBaseline
Rest days3 days3 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots12 shotsBristol City 11 shots, Preston North End 12 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots3 shotsBristol City 2 shots, Preston North End 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.42 xG1.08 xGBristol City 0.42 xG, Preston North End 1.08 xG
  • Possession64%36%Bristol City 64%, Preston North End 36%
  • Corners6 corners3 cornersBristol City 6 corners, Preston North End 3 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls14 foulsBristol City 11 fouls, Preston North End 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jason Knight · Bristol City · 61′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNeto Borges · Bristol City · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAnis Mehmeti · Bristol City · 19′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJordan Storey · Preston North End · 44′ · 0.02 xG · on targetBen Whiteman · Preston North End · 50′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSam Morsy · Bristol City · 57′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEmil Riis Jacobsen · Bristol City · 66′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNeto Borges · Bristol City · 44′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRoss McCrorie · Bristol City · 62′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRobert Atkinson · Bristol City · 24′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAndrew Hughes · Preston North End · 39′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAlfie Devine · Preston North End · 47′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLewis Dobbin · Preston North End · 50′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAlfie Devine · Preston North End · 70′ · 0.04 xG · goalSam Bell · Bristol City · 84′ · 0.04 xG · on targetLewis Dobbin · Preston North End · 2′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAdam Randell · Bristol City · 32′ · 0.05 xG · on targetLewis Dobbin · Preston North End · 43′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJamal Lewis · Preston North End · 45′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLewis Dobbin · Preston North End · 65′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAlfie Devine · Preston North End · 42′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedSinclair Armstrong · Bristol City · 6′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedLewis Dobbin · Preston North End · 8′ · 0.51 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Bristol City: 11 shots, 2 on target, 0.41 xG. Preston North End: 12 shots, 3 on target, 1.05 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Lewis Dobbin · Preston North End · 8′Alfie Devine · Preston North End · 70′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Bristol City 0.41 xG · Preston North End 1.05 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Bristol City
3Draws
1Preston North End
Preston North End — Bristol City · Championship0–0
Bristol City — Preston North End · Championship2–2
Preston North End — Bristol City · Championship1–3
Preston North End — Bristol City · Championship2–0
Bristol City — Preston North End · Championship1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bristol City favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Preston North End in 3 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bristol City26 matchesPreston North End26 matches
1.46 goals/match ▲Goals scored26/261.38 goals/match
1.12 goals/matchGoals allowed26/26▲ 0.96 goals/match
1.32 xG/match ▲Expected goals26/261.16 xG/match
13.7 shots/match ▲Shots25/2511 shots/match
4.32 shots/match ▲Shots on target25/253.72 shots/match
48.1% ●Possession25/2544.6%
5.24 corners/match ●Corners25/254.04 corners/match
9.64 fouls/matchFouls25/2510.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 4 Jan 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBristol CityPreston North End
CompetitionChampionshipChampionship 2025/26
Head-to-headBristol City — Preston North End
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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