Championship · 2025Sat, 17 Jan 2026, 15:00 UTCFull timeThe ValleyFull-time recap
10Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricCharlton AthleticSheffield United
Shots12 shots/match11 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match2 shots/match
Expected goals1.07 xG/match0.73 xG/match
Possession58%42%
Corners9 corners/match7 corners/match
Fouls13 fouls/match7 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Andre Brooks · Sheffield United · 9′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAndre Brooks · Sheffield United · 26′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJaphet Tanganga · Sheffield United · 34′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGustavo Hamer · Sheffield United · 78′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLloyd Jones · Charlton Athletic · 89′ · 0.01 xG · on targetAndre Brooks · Sheffield United · 1′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAndre Brooks · Sheffield United · 16′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTyler Bindon · Sheffield United · 19′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTyreece Campbell · Charlton Athletic · 54′ · 0.02 xG · on targetKaroy Anderson · Charlton Athletic · 58′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJoe Rankin-Costello · Charlton Athletic · 60′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSonny Carey · Charlton Athletic · 71′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLloyd Jones · Charlton Athletic · 55′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMiles Leaburn · Charlton Athletic · 59′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Bamford · Sheffield United · 7′ · 0.06 xG · on targetAndre Brooks · Sheffield United · 31′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedKayne Ramsay · Charlton Athletic · 85′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedDjibril Soumaré · Sheffield United · 31′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMiles Leaburn · Charlton Athletic · 48′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedSonny Carey · Charlton Athletic · 46′ · 0.18 xG · goalSonny Carey · Charlton Athletic · 77′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedMiles Leaburn · Charlton Athletic · 84′ · 0.26 xG · on targetThomas Cannon · Sheffield United · 15′ · 0.35 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Charlton Athletic: 12 shots, 4 on target, 1.09 xG. Sheffield United: 11 shots, 2 on target, 0.74 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Sonny Carey · Charlton Athletic · 46′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Charlton Athletic 1.09 xG · Sheffield United 0.74 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Sheffield United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Sheffield United's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Sheffield United's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sheffield United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.38 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.38 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Sheffield United have a visible away split

moderate

Sheffield United's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.9 shots/matchShotsAway only · Season13.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.9 shots/match13.4 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Sheffield United show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Sheffield United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.2 shots/matchShotsCharlton Athletic · Sheffield United13.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCharlton AthleticSheffield UnitedBaseline
Shots11.2 shots/match13.4 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against14.9 shots/match12 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Charlton Athletic
0Draws
0Sheffield United
Sheffield UnitedCharlton Athletic · Championship01

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Charlton Athletic favored in 3 of 14 directional metrics · Sheffield United in 7 · 4 too close

1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 26/261.38 goals/match
1.23 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 26/261.5 goals/match
0.98 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 26/261.62 xG/match
1.31 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 26/261.14 xG/match
11.2 shots/matchShotsseason · 25/2513.4 shots/match
14.9 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 25/2512 shots/match
3.44 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 25/254 shots/match
3.84 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 25/254 shots/match
42.9%Possessionseason · 25/2551.6%
4.4 corners/matchCornersseason · 25/257.36 corners/match
4.72 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 25/254.44 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
12.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 24/2410.6 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
31%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 26/2627%
77%Scoring frequencyseason · 26/2665%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Charlton Athletic10.4
Sheffield United60.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 96%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Charlton Athletic19.5
Sheffield United59
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Charlton Athletic45.1
Sheffield United38.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Charlton Athletic64.6
Sheffield United56.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 96%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Charlton Athletic93.8
Sheffield United47.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 46%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Charlton Athletic10.4
Sheffield United97.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 96%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Charlton Athletic36
Sheffield United66.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 95%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/52.2 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.6 goals/match
1.06 xG/matchExpected goals5/52.06 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots5/514.4 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target5/55.4 shots/match
45.6%Possession5/551.2%
8 corners/matchCorners5/55.6 corners/match
Cards0/0
14.8 fouls/matchFouls5/58.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
0.9 goals/matchGoals scored10/102.2 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.3 goals/match
0.83 xG/matchExpected goals10/102 xG/match
9.8 shots/matchShots10/1014.7 shots/match
2.9 shots/matchShots on target10/105 shots/match
42.1%Possession10/1048.8%
5.6 corners/matchCorners10/106.3 corners/match
Cards0/0
14 fouls/matchFouls10/108.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

26 / 26 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored26/261.38 goals/match
1.23 goals/matchGoals allowed26/261.5 goals/match
0.98 xG/matchExpected goals26/261.62 xG/match
11.2 shots/matchShots25/2513.4 shots/match
3.44 shots/matchShots on target25/254 shots/match
42.9%Possession25/2551.6%
4.4 corners/matchCorners25/257.36 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.7 fouls/matchFouls24/2410.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

12 / 14 matches
1.17 goals/matchGoals scored12/141.29 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed12/141.86 goals/match
1.07 xG/matchExpected goals12/141.32 xG/match
12.8 shots/matchShots12/1310.9 shots/match
4.17 shots/matchShots on target12/133.15 shots/match
44.5%Possession12/1346.8%
5.25 corners/matchCorners12/136.62 corners/match
Cards0/0
13.2 fouls/matchFouls11/1311 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

13 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/115.9 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 Jan 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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