Championship · 2025Racecourse Ground

Wrexham 1–2 Norwich City · Championship

Wrexham

LWWWW
1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Norwich City won 1–2.

Shots
177
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
0.850.24
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Norwich City beat Wrexham 2–1. Recorded in this match (Wrexham – Norwich City): shots 17–7, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 0.85–0.24, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Wrexham's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Wrexham's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.44 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.44 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Wrexham have a visible home split

strong

Wrexham's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.8 shots/match11.2 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots7 shotsWrexham 17 shots, Norwich City 7 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsWrexham 3 shots, Norwich City 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.85 xG0.24 xGWrexham 0.85 xG, Norwich City 0.24 xG
  • Possession56%44%Wrexham 56%, Norwich City 44%
  • Corners7 corners1 cornerWrexham 7 corners, Norwich City 1 corner
  • Fouls8 fouls9 foulsWrexham 8 fouls, Norwich City 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Nathan Broadhead · Wrexham · 38′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNathan Broadhead · Wrexham · 7′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBen Sheaf · Wrexham · 19′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNathan Broadhead · Wrexham · 26′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJosh Windass · Wrexham · 7′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNathan Broadhead · Wrexham · 40′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAli Ahmed · Norwich City · 12′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedSam Smith · Wrexham · 44′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedSam Smith · Wrexham · 24′ · 0.14 xG · goalAnis Ben Slimane · Norwich City · 9′ · 0.16 xG · goalJosh Windass · Wrexham · 23′ · 0.47 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Wrexham: 9 shots, 1 on target, 0.86 xG. Norwich City: 2 shots, 1 on target, 0.24 xG. · 13 unplaced

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Sam Smith · Wrexham · 24′Anis Ben Slimane · Norwich City · 9′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Wrexham 0.86 xG · Norwich City 0.24 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Wrexham
0Draws
0Norwich City
Norwich City — Wrexham · Championship2–3

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Wrexham favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Norwich City in 3 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Wrexham27 matchesNorwich City27 matches
1.44 goals/match ▲Goals scored27/271.11 goals/match
1.26 goals/match ▲Goals allowed27/271.48 goals/match
1.25 xG/matchExpected goals27/271.22 xG/match
11.2 shots/matchShots26/26▲ 11.8 shots/match
3.69 shots/matchShots on target26/263.73 shots/match
46.5%Possession26/26● 51.3%
4.46 corners/matchCorners26/26● 4.62 corners/match
9.36 fouls/matchFouls25/269.69 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 Jan 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

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