Championship · 2025Tue, 20 Jan 2026, 19:45 UTCFull timeThe HawthornsFull-time recap
05Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricWest Bromwich AlbionNorwich City
Shots13 shots/match9 shots/match
Shots on target2 shots/match7 shots/match
Expected goals1.34 xG/match0.83 xG/match
Possession52%48%
Corners10 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls13 fouls/match9 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Oscar Schwartau · Norwich City · 16′ · 0.02 xG · goalJed Wallace · West Bromwich Albion · 61′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPapa Amadou Diallo · Norwich City · 79′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBen Chrisene · Norwich City · 33′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Iling Junior · West Bromwich Albion · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKarlan Grant · West Bromwich Albion · 54′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMikey Johnston · West Bromwich Albion · 59′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBen Chrisene · Norwich City · 73′ · 0.03 xG · goalKrystian Bielik · West Bromwich Albion · 37′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Iling Junior · West Bromwich Albion · 62′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAnis Ben Slimane · Norwich City · 69′ · 0.07 xG · on targetAune Selland Heggebø · West Bromwich Albion · 85′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedKarlan Grant · West Bromwich Albion · 18′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedKellen Fisher · Norwich City · 50′ · 0.08 xG · on targetMikey Johnston · West Bromwich Albion · 83′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAnis Ben Slimane · Norwich City · 69′ · 0.10 xG · goalAune Selland Heggebø · West Bromwich Albion · 87′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedAli Ahmed · Norwich City · 49′ · 0.13 xG · goalMikey Johnston · West Bromwich Albion · 31′ · 0.24 xG · on targetSamuel Iling Junior · West Bromwich Albion · 32′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedChris Mepham · West Bromwich Albion · 55′ · 0.30 xG · off target or blockedMathias Kvistgaarden · Norwich City · 89′ · 0.34 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

West Bromwich Albion: 13 shots, 2 on target, 1.35 xG. Norwich City: 9 shots, 7 on target, 0.82 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Oscar Schwartau · Norwich City · 16′Ali Ahmed · Norwich City · 49′Anis Ben Slimane · Norwich City · 69′Ben Chrisene · Norwich City · 73′Mathias Kvistgaarden · Norwich City · 89′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: West Bromwich Albion 1.35 xG · Norwich City 0.82 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Norwich City's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for West Bromwich Albion, Norwich City. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Norwich City's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Norwich City's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.25 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.25 goals/match1.36 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for West Bromwich Albion, Norwich City.

3.99 daysRest daysWest Bromwich Albion · Norwich City3.2 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricWest Bromwich AlbionNorwich CityBaseline
Rest days3.99 days3.2 days
Matches last 14 days1 matches1 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1West Bromwich Albion
0Draws
0Norwich City
Norwich CityWest Bromwich Albion · Championship01

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

West Bromwich Albion favored in 7 of 14 directional metrics · Norwich City in 3 · 4 too close

1.11 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 28/281.25 goals/match
1.54 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 28/281.43 goals/match
1.24 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 28/281.21 xG/match
1.06 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 28/281.56 xG/match
13.9 shots/matchShotsseason · 28/2711.7 shots/match
10.9 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 28/2713.7 shots/match
4.36 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 28/273.85 shots/match
3.54 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 28/274.19 shots/match
51.6%Possessionseason · 28/2751.2%
5.5 corners/matchCornersseason · 28/274.52 corners/match
3.79 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 28/275.7 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
10.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 28/279.67 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
18%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 28/2811%
71%Scoring frequencyseason · 28/2879%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

West Bromwich Albion64.6
Norwich City52.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 96%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

West Bromwich Albion61.1
Norwich City42.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

West Bromwich Albion56.2
Norwich City26.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

West Bromwich Albion72.9
Norwich City18.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 96%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

West Bromwich Albion27.1
Norwich City14.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 48%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

West Bromwich Albion72.9
Norwich City22.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 96%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

West Bromwich Albion64.6
Norwich City31.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 96%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.8 goals/match
2.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51 goals/match
1.21 xG/matchExpected goals5/50.89 xG/match
13 shots/matchShots5/58.6 shots/match
5.4 shots/matchShots on target5/53.4 shots/match
46.8%Possession5/549.4%
6.4 corners/matchCorners5/53.4 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.4 fouls/matchFouls5/59 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.1 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.6 goals/match
2.1 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.1 goals/match
1.44 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.05 xG/match
14.1 shots/matchShots10/1010.9 shots/match
4.9 shots/matchShots on target10/103.8 shots/match
50.2%Possession10/1050%
6.4 corners/matchCorners10/103.8 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.9 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

28 / 28 matches
1.11 goals/matchGoals scored28/281.25 goals/match
1.54 goals/matchGoals allowed28/281.43 goals/match
1.24 xG/matchExpected goals28/281.21 xG/match
13.9 shots/matchShots28/2711.7 shots/match
4.36 shots/matchShots on target28/273.85 shots/match
51.6%Possession28/2751.2%
5.5 corners/matchCorners28/274.52 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.1 fouls/matchFouls28/279.67 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

14 / 15 matches
1.29 goals/matchGoals scored14/151.53 goals/match
1.36 goals/matchGoals allowed14/151.4 goals/match
1.37 xG/matchExpected goals14/151.18 xG/match
15.6 shots/matchShots14/1410.4 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target14/143.93 shots/match
53.6%Possession14/1448.3%
6.86 corners/matchCorners14/143.64 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.5 fouls/matchFouls14/1410.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.99 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.2 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 20 Jan 2026, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

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