Championship · 2025St. Mary's Stadium

Southampton 1–0 Sheffield United · Championship

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Southampton won 1–0.

Shots
1516
Shots on target
34
Expected goals
0.821.13
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Southampton beat Sheffield United 1–0. Recorded in this match (Southampton – Sheffield United): shots 15–16, shots on target 3–4, expected goals 0.82–1.13, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Southampton's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Southampton's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.43 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.43 goals/match1.35 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Sheffield United have a visible away split

moderate

Sheffield United's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.3 shots/match13.5 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.74 corners/matchCornersSouthampton · Sheffield United● 7.35 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricSouthamptonSheffield UnitedBaseline
Corners5.74 corners/match7.35 corners/match5.11 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots16 shotsSouthampton 15 shots, Sheffield United 16 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots4 shotsSouthampton 3 shots, Sheffield United 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.82 xG1.13 xGSouthampton 0.82 xG, Sheffield United 1.13 xG
  • Possession54%46%Southampton 54%, Sheffield United 46%
  • Corners6 corners7 cornersSouthampton 6 corners, Sheffield United 7 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls14 foulsSouthampton 11 fouls, Sheffield United 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ki-Jana Hoever · Sheffield United · 18′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTaylor Harwood-Bellis · Southampton · 85′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedHarrison Burrows · Sheffield United · 32′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMark McGuinness · Sheffield United · 57′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLeo Scienza · Southampton · 76′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGustavo Hamer · Sheffield United · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSydie Peck · Sheffield United · 3′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTahith Chong · Sheffield United · 18′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedThomas Cannon · Sheffield United · 49′ · 0.03 xG · on targetTom Fellows · Southampton · 67′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Bamford · Sheffield United · 70′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLeo Scienza · Southampton · 7′ · 0.04 xG · goalRoss Stewart · Southampton · 22′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFinn Azaz · Southampton · 23′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCaspar Jander · Southampton · 35′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFinn Azaz · Southampton · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRoss Stewart · Southampton · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLeo Scienza · Southampton · 68′ · 0.05 xG · on targetLeo Scienza · Southampton · 51′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedCallum O'Hare · Sheffield United · 57′ · 0.06 xG · on targetAdam Armstrong · Southampton · 62′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedTyrese Campbell · Sheffield United · 37′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedThomas Cannon · Sheffield United · 77′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLeo Scienza · Southampton · 41′ · 0.09 xG · on targetCallum O'Hare · Sheffield United · 48′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedTom Fellows · Southampton · 68′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMark McGuinness · Sheffield United · 90′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMark McGuinness · Sheffield United · 71′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedFinn Azaz · Southampton · 30′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Bamford · Sheffield United · 89′ · 0.17 xG · on targetCallum O'Hare · Sheffield United · 58′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Southampton: 15 shots, 3 on target, 0.83 xG. Sheffield United: 16 shots, 4 on target, 1.14 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Leo Scienza · Southampton · 7′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Southampton 0.83 xG · Sheffield United 1.14 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Southampton
0Draws
0Sheffield United
Sheffield United — Southampton · Championship1–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Southampton favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Sheffield United in 4 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Southampton28 matchesSheffield United27 matches
1.43 goals/match ▲Goals scored28/271.33 goals/match
1.43 goals/matchGoals allowed28/271.48 goals/match
1.7 xG/match ▲Expected goals28/271.6 xG/match
15 shots/match ▲Shots27/2613.5 shots/match
5.11 shots/match ▲Shots on target27/264 shots/match
57.4% ●Possession27/2651.4%
5.74 corners/matchCorners27/26● 7.35 corners/match
10.5 fouls/matchFouls26/2510.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 21 Jan 2026, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

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