Championship · 2025Vicarage Road

Watford 1–1 Portsmouth · Championship

Watford

WWWWL
1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Watford and Portsmouth drew 1–1.

Shots
159
Shots on target
42
Expected goals
0.80.62
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Watford and Portsmouth drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Watford – Portsmouth): shots 15–9, shots on target 4–2, expected goals 0.8–0.62, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Portsmouth have a visible away split

strong

Portsmouth's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8 shots/match11.3 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Watford's recent record differs from the season

weak

Watford's last-five shots average is below their season average.

11.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots11.6 shots/match13.7 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots9 shotsWatford 15 shots, Portsmouth 9 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots2 shotsWatford 4 shots, Portsmouth 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.8 xG0.62 xGWatford 0.8 xG, Portsmouth 0.62 xG
  • Possession56%44%Watford 56%, Portsmouth 44%
  • Corners8 corners7 cornersWatford 8 corners, Portsmouth 7 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls12 foulsWatford 9 fouls, Portsmouth 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

John Swift · Portsmouth · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedOthmane Maamma · Watford · 28′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedImrân Louza · Watford · 39′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAdrian Segečić · Portsmouth · 61′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMillenic Alli · Portsmouth · 8′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGiorgi Chakvetadze · Watford · 20′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTom Ince · Watford · 57′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJeremy Ngakia · Watford · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedConor Chaplin · Portsmouth · 9′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMarc Bola · Watford · 71′ · 0.04 xG · on targetHector Kyprianou · Watford · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetRegan Poole · Portsmouth · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLuca Kjerrumgaard · Watford · 68′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedEdo Kayembe · Watford · 88′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLuca Kjerrumgaard · Watford · 24′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedConor Chaplin · Portsmouth · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRocco Vata · Watford · 89′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedImrân Louza · Watford · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMamadou Doumbia · Watford · 79′ · 0.09 xG · goalEbou Adams · Portsmouth · 6′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedOthmane Maamma · Watford · 35′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedRocco Vata · Watford · 89′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedIbane Bowat · Portsmouth · 90′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedAdrian Segečić · Portsmouth · 73′ · 0.17 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Watford: 15 shots, 4 on target, 0.82 xG. Portsmouth: 9 shots, 2 on target, 0.61 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Mamadou Doumbia · Watford · 79′Adrian Segečić · Portsmouth · 73′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Watford 0.82 xG · Portsmouth 0.61 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Watford
1Draws
1Portsmouth
Portsmouth — Watford · Championship2–2
Portsmouth — Watford · Championship1–0
Watford — Portsmouth · Championship2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Watford favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Portsmouth in 1

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Watford27 matchesPortsmouth26 matches
1.41 goals/match ▲Goals scored27/260.88 goals/match
1.19 goals/match ▲Goals allowed27/261.38 goals/match
1.3 xG/match ▲Expected goals27/261.04 xG/match
13.7 shots/match ▲Shots27/2511.3 shots/match
4.67 shots/match ▲Shots on target27/253.28 shots/match
51.5% ●Possession27/2549.2%
4.56 corners/matchCorners27/25● 5.24 corners/match
10.8 fouls/matchFouls26/2510.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 21 Jan 2026, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

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