Championship · 2025Ewood Park

Blackburn Rovers 1–1 Watford · Championship

1–1Historical match

Watford

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A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Blackburn Rovers and Watford drew 1–1.

Shots
714
Shots on target
34
Expected goals
0.891.15
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Blackburn Rovers and Watford drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Blackburn Rovers – Watford): shots 7–14, shots on target 3–4, expected goals 0.89–1.15, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Blackburn Rovers, Watford.

3.8 days ▲Rest daysBlackburn Rovers · Watford2.8 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricBlackburn RoversWatfordBaseline
Rest days3.8 days2.8 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Watford have a visible away split

moderate

Watford's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.2 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.2 shots/match13.7 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Blackburn Rovers's recent record differs from the season

weak

Blackburn Rovers's last-five shots average is below their season average.

10.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots10.2 shots/match12.1 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots14 shotsBlackburn Rovers 7 shots, Watford 14 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots4 shotsBlackburn Rovers 3 shots, Watford 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.89 xG1.15 xGBlackburn Rovers 0.89 xG, Watford 1.15 xG
  • Possession56%44%Blackburn Rovers 56%, Watford 44%
  • Corners7 corners8 cornersBlackburn Rovers 7 corners, Watford 8 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls7 foulsBlackburn Rovers 8 fouls, Watford 7 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Othmane Maamma · Watford · 19′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEdo Kayembe · Watford · 26′ · 0.02 xG · goalMarc Bola · Watford · 45′ · 0.02 xG · on targetYuki Ohashi · Blackburn Rovers · 55′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNestory Irankunda · Watford · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLuca Kjerrumgaard · Watford · 4′ · 0.03 xG · on targetOthmane Maamma · Watford · 52′ · 0.03 xG · on targetSondre Tronstad · Blackburn Rovers · 86′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLewis Miller · Blackburn Rovers · 28′ · 0.05 xG · goalLuca Kjerrumgaard · Watford · 48′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKévin Keben Biakolo · Watford · 79′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMarc Bola · Watford · 9′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedNestory Irankunda · Watford · 77′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedSondre Tronstad · Blackburn Rovers · 84′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedSondre Tronstad · Blackburn Rovers · 58′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedNestory Irankunda · Watford · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedYuki Ohashi · Blackburn Rovers · 63′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedNestory Irankunda · Watford · 90′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedLuca Kjerrumgaard · Watford · 20′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedGiorgi Chakvetadze · Watford · 56′ · 0.31 xG · off target or blockedYuki Ohashi · Blackburn Rovers · 84′ · 0.49 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Blackburn Rovers: 7 shots, 3 on target, 0.87 xG. Watford: 14 shots, 4 on target, 1.11 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Lewis Miller · Blackburn Rovers · 28′Edo Kayembe · Watford · 26′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Blackburn Rovers 0.87 xG · Watford 1.11 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Blackburn Rovers
0Draws
2Watford
Watford — Blackburn Rovers · Championship0–1
Blackburn Rovers — Watford · Championship2–1
Watford — Blackburn Rovers · Championship1–0
Blackburn Rovers — Watford · Championship1–2
Watford — Blackburn Rovers · Championship0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Blackburn Rovers favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Watford in 6 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Blackburn Rovers28 matchesWatford28 matches
0.93 goals/matchGoals scored28/28▲ 1.39 goals/match
1.32 goals/matchGoals allowed28/28▲ 1.18 goals/match
1.31 xG/matchExpected goals28/281.3 xG/match
12.1 shots/matchShots27/28▲ 13.7 shots/match
3.3 shots/matchShots on target27/28▲ 4.64 shots/match
50.1%Possession27/28● 51.3%
5.59 corners/match ●Corners27/284.68 corners/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls27/2710.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 Jan 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

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