Championship · 2025Loftus Road Stadium

Queens Park Rangers 2–3 Wrexham · Championship

2–3Historical match

Wrexham

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A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Wrexham won 2–3.

Shots
1311
Shots on target
37
Expected goals
0.990.49
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

Wrexham beat Queens Park Rangers 3–2. Recorded in this match (Queens Park Rangers – Wrexham): shots 13–11, shots on target 3–7, expected goals 0.99–0.49, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Wrexham have a visible away split

strong

Wrexham's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

7.71 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots7.71 shots/match11.3 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Queens Park Rangers, Wrexham.

3.8 days ▲Rest daysQueens Park Rangers · Wrexham3.79 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricQueens Park RangersWrexhamBaseline
Rest days3.8 days3.79 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Wrexham's recent record differs from the season

weak

Wrexham's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.48 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.48 goals/match1.34 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots11 shotsQueens Park Rangers 13 shots, Wrexham 11 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots7 shotsQueens Park Rangers 3 shots, Wrexham 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.99 xG0.49 xGQueens Park Rangers 0.99 xG, Wrexham 0.49 xG
  • Possession46%54%Queens Park Rangers 46%, Wrexham 54%
  • Corners7 corners3 cornersQueens Park Rangers 7 corners, Wrexham 3 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls13 foulsQueens Park Rangers 13 fouls, Wrexham 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Steve Cook · Queens Park Rangers · 23′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRayan Kolli · Queens Park Rangers · 83′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedOliver Rathbone · Wrexham · 90′ · 0.01 xG · goalGeorge Thomason · Wrexham · 54′ · 0.02 xG · on targetIsaac Hayden · Queens Park Rangers · 79′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Hayden · Queens Park Rangers · 85′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJosh Windass · Wrexham · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetGeorge Dobson · Wrexham · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNicolas Madsen · Queens Park Rangers · 57′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKieffer Moore · Wrexham · 60′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJosh Windass · Wrexham · 88′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJosh Windass · Wrexham · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHarvey Vale · Queens Park Rangers · 6′ · 0.04 xG · goalAmadou Salif Mbengue · Queens Park Rangers · 30′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSteve Cook · Queens Park Rangers · 80′ · 0.05 xG · goalNicolas Madsen · Queens Park Rangers · 72′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJosh Windass · Wrexham · 88′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJosh Windass · Wrexham · 90′ · 0.07 xG · goalCallum Doyle · Wrexham · 54′ · 0.09 xG · goalHarvey Vale · Queens Park Rangers · 21′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedBen Sheaf · Wrexham · 69′ · 0.10 xG · on targetKaramoko Dembélé · Queens Park Rangers · 6′ · 0.14 xG · on targetRichard Kone · Queens Park Rangers · 89′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedPaul Smyth · Queens Park Rangers · 17′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Queens Park Rangers: 13 shots, 3 on target, 0.95 xG. Wrexham: 11 shots, 7 on target, 0.48 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Harvey Vale · Queens Park Rangers · 6′Steve Cook · Queens Park Rangers · 80′Callum Doyle · Wrexham · 54′Josh Windass · Wrexham · 90′Oliver Rathbone · Wrexham · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Queens Park Rangers 0.95 xG · Wrexham 0.48 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Queens Park Rangers
0Draws
0Wrexham
Wrexham — Queens Park Rangers · Championship1–3

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Queens Park Rangers favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Wrexham in 2 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Queens Park Rangers29 matchesWrexham29 matches
1.38 goals/matchGoals scored29/29▲ 1.48 goals/match
1.45 goals/matchGoals allowed29/29▲ 1.28 goals/match
1.18 xG/matchExpected goals29/291.21 xG/match
12.5 shots/match ▲Shots28/2811.3 shots/match
3.75 shots/matchShots on target28/283.79 shots/match
46.2%Possession28/28● 46.9%
4.96 corners/match ●Corners28/284.36 corners/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls27/279.59 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 Jan 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

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