PitchMath
Championship · 2025Deepdale

Preston North End 0–3 Hull City · Championship

0–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Hull City won 0–3.

Shots
1717
Shots on target
59
Expected goals
0.91.67
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Hull City beat Preston North End 3–0. Recorded in this match (Preston North End – Hull City): shots 17–17, shots on target 5–9, expected goals 0.9–1.67, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Preston North End, Hull City.

3.2 days ▲Rest daysPreston North End · Hull City3.2 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricPreston North EndHull CityBaseline
Rest days3.2 days3.2 days—
Matches last 14 days1 match1 match—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Preston North End's recent record differs from the season

weak

Preston North End's last-five shots average is above their season average.

13.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots13.4 shots/match11.3 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots17 shotsPreston North End 17 shots, Hull City 17 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots9 shotsPreston North End 5 shots, Hull City 9 shots
  • Expected goals0.9 xG1.67 xGPreston North End 0.9 xG, Hull City 1.67 xG
  • Possession56%44%Preston North End 56%, Hull City 44%
  • Corners6 corners6 cornersPreston North End 6 corners, Hull City 6 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls12 foulsPreston North End 13 fouls, Hull City 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Pol Valentín · Preston North End · 7′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAlfie Devine · Preston North End · 39′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedOliver McBurnie · Hull City · 49′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLiam Millar · Hull City · 8′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLiam Millar · Hull City · 41′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAmir Hadžiahmetović · Hull City · 53′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBen Whiteman · Preston North End · 60′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlfie Devine · Preston North End · 67′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBrad Potts · Preston North End · 79′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJordan Thompson · Preston North End · 33′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJordan Thompson · Preston North End · 59′ · 0.03 xG · on targetCharlie Hughes · Hull City · 73′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAlfie Devine · Preston North End · 7′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBen Whiteman · Preston North End · 7′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAkin Famewo · Hull City · 45′ · 0.05 xG · goalAmir Hadžiahmetović · Hull City · 71′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedOliver McBurnie · Hull City · 5′ · 0.06 xG · on targetJordan Thompson · Preston North End · 29′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMilutin Osmajić · Preston North End · 63′ · 0.06 xG · on targetCharlie Hughes · Hull City · 65′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAlfie Devine · Preston North End · 66′ · 0.06 xG · on targetJoe Gelhardt · Hull City · 78′ · 0.06 xG · on targetThierry Small · Preston North End · 33′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAkin Famewo · Hull City · 15′ · 0.08 xG · on targetJordan Thompson · Preston North End · 29′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedOliver McBurnie · Hull City · 70′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMilutin Osmajić · Preston North End · 29′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedOliver McBurnie · Hull City · 49′ · 0.10 xG · goalJordan Storey · Preston North End · 37′ · 0.11 xG · on targetOliver McBurnie · Hull City · 72′ · 0.11 xG · on targetOliver McBurnie · Hull City · 72′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedLiam Millar · Hull City · 64′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedPol Valentín · Preston North End · 22′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedLiam Millar · Hull City · 33′ · 0.51 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Preston North End: 17 shots, 5 on target, 0.94 xG. Hull City: 17 shots, 9 on target, 1.51 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Liam Millar · Hull City · 33′Akin Famewo · Hull City · 45′Oliver McBurnie · Hull City · 49′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Preston North End 0.94 xG · Hull City 1.51 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Preston North End
2Draws
2Hull City
Hull City — Preston North End · Championship2–2
Hull City — Preston North End · Championship2–1
Preston North End — Hull City · Championship1–0
Preston North End — Hull City · Championship0–0
Hull City — Preston North End · Championship1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Preston North End favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Hull City in 5 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Preston North End28 matchesHull City27 matches
1.29 goals/matchGoals scored28/27▲ 1.67 goals/match
1.04 goals/match ▲Goals allowed28/271.44 goals/match
1.15 xG/matchExpected goals28/27▲ 1.35 xG/match
11.3 shots/matchShots27/2611.5 shots/match
3.7 shots/matchShots on target27/26▲ 4.23 shots/match
45.3%Possession27/26● 46.1%
4.15 corners/matchCorners27/26● 4.58 corners/match
10.2 fouls/matchFouls27/2611.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 20 Jan 2026, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsPreston North EndHull City
CompetitionChampionshipChampionship 2025/26
Head-to-headPreston North End — Hull City
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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